Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

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The Walkthroughtape Letters

My Dear Wormwood, you have no idea how to exploit NFL scandals for demonic gain. Allow me to set the record straight. Your affectionate uncle, Screwtape. Plus: Top 5 Rams and 49ers running backs.

Recent Features

Football Outsiders Features

The Walkthroughtape Letters

My Dear Wormwood, you have no idea how to exploit NFL scandals for demonic gain. Allow me to set the record straight. Your affectionate uncle, Screwtape. Plus: Top 5 Rams and 49ers running backs.

43 comments, Last Comment at 8:08pm by Mike Tanier

May 24, 2012 11:48am by Mike Tanier || read all Walkthrough articles

Conference Championship DVOA Ratings

Updated DVOA ratings, and an explanation of why 2007 isn't exactly like 2011.

206 comments, Last Comment at 02 Feb 2012, 9:04pm by NYGiantfan427

Jan 23, 2012 02:34pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Super Bowl XLVI Quick Reads

Eli Manning and Tom Brady were nearly equal in value in the Super Bowl. One of them had to lose. What effect will that have on their legacies? Plus, the best players of Super Bowl XLVI and the game's DVOA ratings.

311 comments, Last Comment at 11 Feb 2012, 6:05pm by Intropy

Feb 07, 2012 05:39am GMT by Vince Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Cover-2: The No-Huddle Defense

John Wooden used to say, "Be quick, but don't hurry." The best way to beat complex defenses is to find ways to do both on a regular basis.

18 comments, Last Comment at 28 Nov 2011, 5:28pm by tuluse

Oct 20, 2011 12:56pm by Doug Farrar || read all Cover-2 articles

Scramble for the Ball: Super Bowl XLVI Recap

Mike and Tom play nice for once and highlight a few commercials that made them smile. Plus: prop bet results, the FO Staff Playoff League, and the results of our first ever Playoff Fantasy Challenge!

46 comments, Last Comment at 14 Feb 2012, 11:44am by tuluse

Feb 08, 2012 02:08pm by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower || read all Scramble articles

Word of Muth: Scouting the Bears

Word of Muth revisits the Week 17 Bears-Vikings game and finds, yes, a multitude of problems with Chicago's offensive line.

113 comments, Last Comment at 12 May 2012, 9:57pm by LionInAZ

May 08, 2012 11:49am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

Audibles at the Line: Super Bowl XLVI

It's ... still 2007 all over again. But were the Patriots really that good this season?

470 comments, Last Comment at 29 Feb 2012, 9:51pm by rich31689

Feb 06, 2012 05:32am GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Audibles articles

Final 2011 FEI Ratings

FEI says LSU still had the best overall season, even if it wasn't the national champion. We also produce a list of the best single-game performances this season, by FEI.

41 comments, Last Comment at 18 Jan 2012, 1:20am by AnonymousBoob

Jan 11, 2012 05:31am by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

One Foot Inbounds: Bama Beatdown

A retrospective of the decisive BCS Championship game, where Alabama redeemed itself.

97 comments, Last Comment at 11 Jan 2012, 5:16pm by Authentic Sellout

Jan 10, 2012 09:10am by Robert Weintraub || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: BCS Championship Preview

SDA takes aim at the BCS title game. Who has the advantage in the LSU-Alabama rematch?

8 comments, Last Comment at 10 Jan 2012, 10:15am by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

Jan 09, 2012 12:13pm by Brian Fremeau || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Varsity Numbers: 2012 Adj. POE and Draftability

It's time for the annual look at advanced college running back statistics and what they may tell us about this weekend's draft prospects.

3 comments, Last Comment at 27 Apr 2012, 11:47am by MVPFF

Apr 25, 2012 06:22pm by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Under the Cap: NFC North Cap Overview

Restructures are the name of the game in the NFC North as every team but Chicago is cutting the salary cap close. Plus: With Finley resigned, does Flynn get franchised?

24 comments, Last Comment at 13 Mar 2012, 9:32pm by Subrata Sircar

Feb 23, 2012 12:19pm by Brian McIntyre || read all Under The Cap articles

The Month In Quotes: April 2012

This offseason edition of The Month in Quotes goes over the new rookies, spring practice, and, of course, more Tim Tebow.

39 comments, Last Comment at 04 May 2012, 6:14pm by tuluse

Apr 30, 2012 10:27am by Rivers McCown || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Innovative Statistics

2011 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1GB28.3% 1NO30.1%
2PIT23.7% 2PIT29.9%
3NO23.3% 3GB26.1%
4NE22.5% 4NE23.7%
5HOU19.4% 5PHI22.9%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2011 OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1GB39.2% 1NO44.0%
2NO37.8% 2GB38.9%
3NE36.8% 3NE36.0%
4CAR23.0% 4CAR24.6%
5SD17.7% 5SD23.4%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2011 DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1BAL-13.7% 1CHI-13.6%
2NYJ-11.9% 2ATL-9.8%
3SF-10.3% 3NYJ-9.8%
4CHI-10.2% 4PIT-9.1%
5JAC-6.6% 5BAL-8.8%
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2011 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1CHI7.3% 1TEN9.6%
2SF7.0% 2CHI7.1%
3TEN5.5% 3NE5.3%
4NYJ5.0% 4SF4.8%
5NE3.7% 5MIA4.3%
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2011 QUARTERBACKS

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1D.BreesNO2,544 1A.RodgersGB52.6%
2A.RodgersGB2,268 2D.BreesNO44.5%
3T.BradyNE2,235 3T.BradyNE41.0%
4T.RomoDAL1,591 4T.RomoDAL33.8%
5M.StaffordDET1,446 5M.SchaubHOU31.2%
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2011 RUNNING BACKS

Rush DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
Rush DVOA Leaders
(Value per Play)
Rec DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
1L.McCoyPHI324 1P.ThomasNO32.6% 1D.SprolesNO274
2M.Jones-DrewJAC231 2J.StewartCAR24.4% 2R.RiceBAL242
3M.LynchSEA230 3D.WilliamsCAR21.0% 3R.MathewsSD158
4J.StewartCAR202 4L.McCoyPHI17.4% 4M.BushOAK156
5R.MathewsSD197 5D.BrownIND16.7% 5A.FosterHOU137
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2011 WIDE RECEIVERS

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1C.JohnsonDET586 1J.NelsonGB54.1%
2J.NelsonGB530 2M.FloydSD51.9%
3W.WelkerNE475 3L.RobinsonDAL43.1%
4V.CruzNYG468 4J.JonesGB42.4%
5M.WallacePIT410 5M.ColstonNO35.4%
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2011 TIGHT ENDS

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1R.GronkowskiNE505 1R.GronkowskiNE52.0%
2J.GrahamNO331 2J.DreessenHOU48.9%
3A.GatesSD287 3A.GatesSD40.3%
4T.GonzalezATL237 4K.BossOAK36.2%
5J.FinleyGB205 5S.ChandlerBUF35.0%
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Most Recent Articles

24 May 2012, 11:48am by Mike Tanier

The Walkthroughtape Letters

My Dear Wormwood, you have no idea how to exploit NFL scandals for demonic gain. Allow me to set the record straight. Your affectionate uncle, Screwtape. Plus: Top 5 Rams and 49ers running backs.

» More...

43 comments, Last at 8:08pm by Mike Tanier

23 May 2012, 11:16am by Aaron Schatz

2011 Defeats

Who had the most Defeats in 2012? Well, nearly setting the all-time sack record puts you in a pretty good position to claim that crown.

» More...

23 comments, Last at 1:35pm by Joseph

21 May 2012, 12:11pm by Aaron Schatz

2011 Special Teams Tackles

A look at Heath Farwell, Akeem Dent, and the other top special teams playmakers of 2011.

» More...

31 comments, Last at 11:04am by tuluse

18 May 2012, 11:38am by Danny Tuccitto

2011 Adjusted Games Lost for Team Units

While the rest of the league was competing for a Lombardi trophy, the Rams and Panthers were busy trying to break AGL records at every position. They almost succeeded.

» More...

35 comments, Last at 23 May 2012, 8:36am by Dean

17 May 2012, 10:17am by Mike Tanier

Walkthrough: Suh Love

Ndamukong Suh's upcoming reality dating show has Mike Tanier wondering where all the NFL's eligible, non-crazy bachelors have gone. Plus, the Arizona Cardinals' all-time best running backs.

» More...

114 comments, Last at 10:49am by Steve in WI

16 May 2012, 05:14pm by Aaron Schatz

FOA 2012 Preview: Strategic Tendencies Tables

The New York Giants are our example for what the new Strategic Tendencies tables will look like in Football Outsiders Almanac 2012, including information on performance by personnel on offense and defense. (Click to read more.)

» More...

16 comments, Last at 17 May 2012, 6:29pm by John Courage

16 May 2012, 12:48pm by Vince Verhei

Four Downs: NFC East

The Eagles and Redskins could use some fixes in the secondary, while the Cowboys are in need of some interior offensive line help. And who is the eventual successor to Osi Umenyiora in New York?

» More...

35 comments, Last at 8:31pm by bravehoptoad

15 May 2012, 10:54am by Danny Tuccitto

Four Downs: AFC North

Veterans like Chris Crocker, Bryant McFadden, and Andre Gurode have left unsettled situations in their wake. How will the AFC North turn them over?

» More...

45 comments, Last at 21 May 2012, 7:15pm by Coop

14 May 2012, 11:37am by Rivers McCown

Four Downs: AFC South

Will the Texans trust in Rashad Butler be rewarded? Is Kamerion Wimbley a solution to the Titans pass rushing woes?

» More...

40 comments, Last at 22 May 2012, 7:38pm by commissionerleaf

11 May 2012, 12:44pm by Danny Tuccitto

2011 Adjusted Games Lost

A neck injury in Indianapolis got most of the headlines, but plenty of other NFL teams were affected by poor health in 2011. Which overcame it, and which didn't?

» More...

84 comments, Last at 17 May 2012, 4:54pm by Intropy

10 May 2012, 09:51am by Mike Tanier

Walkthrough: Concussions

Mike Tanier states his position on concussions, CTEs, how they are addressed by the NFL and how they are reported by the media. Also, the top five Tampa Bay running backs.

» More...

180 comments, Last at 19 May 2012, 2:48am by Bright Blue Shorts

09 May 2012, 04:19pm by Tom Gower

Four Downs: AFC West

Time for AFC West questions, including: Will the Chiefs get competent play from Matt Cassel this year? And can Cory Liuget step up for San Diego?

» More...

36 comments, Last at 18 May 2012, 10:59pm by Insancipitory

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