Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

Football Outsiders Features

Walkthrough: The Teal Deal

Tony Boselli doesn't want to hear any more about the Jaguars' ticket woes, and he's doing something about it. Plus, thoughts on soccer, functional fitness, and the Shreveport-Bossier BattleWings.

101 comments, Last Comment at 28 Jul 2010, 1:27pm by Dean

Jul 21, 2010 12:32pm by Mike Tanier || read all Walkthrough articles

1993 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

Two weeks ago, Jerry Rice and Emmitt Smith were elected to the Hall of Fame. Sixteen years ago, they battled for NFL supremacy. Revisit their prime seasons, and learn about the weird rollercoaster ride of the 1993 Houston Oilers, as we add another year of DVOA to our database.

71 comments, Last Comment at 22 Jul 2010, 12:06pm by Majorajam

Feb 16, 2010 04:16pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Super Bowl XLIV Quick Reads

Before running down DYAR numbers from Super Bowl XLIV, Bill Barnwell gives his thoughts on Sean Payton's aggressive and intelligent play calls.

85 comments, Last Comment at 11 Feb 2010, 11:40am by imafreak

Feb 08, 2010 10:24pm GMT by Bill Barnwell || read all Quick Reads articles

Cover-3: Super Bowl Edition

In the Cover-3 season finale, Doug Farrar details the best quarter-million Sean Payton ever spent, why the extra "g" in Gregg Williams' name may indeed stand for genius, and how the Saints enhance their protection concepts.

10 comments, Last Comment at 02 Feb 2010, 11:42pm by mediator12

Feb 01, 2010 11:45am by Doug Farrar || read all Cover-3 articles

Scramble for the Ball: Wrap Party

Your Scramble writers wrap up the postseason's loose ends, hand out Super Bowl awards, and review the best of Sunday's commercials.

45 comments, Last Comment at 16 Feb 2010, 12:56am by Raiderjoe

Feb 10, 2010 05:45pm by Mike Kurtz || read all Scramble articles

Black and Blue Report: January 14, 2010

Will Carroll triumphantly returns with a look at the remaining playoff teams, and how their injuries affect the road to the Super Bowl.

20 comments, Last Comment at 15 Jan 2010, 1:39pm by Scott C

Jan 14, 2010 03:18pm by Will Carroll || read all Black And Blue articles

Audibles at the Line: Super Bowl XLIV

The Saints are champions. FO breaks down the game with analysis of the gutsy calls, the big mistakes, and the interception that broke Twitter.

258 comments, Last Comment at 14 Feb 2010, 8:52pm by tuluse

Feb 08, 2010 01:47am GMT by Bill Barnwell || read all Audibles articles

F/+ 2009 Projection Retrospective

With the release of College Football Almanac 2010, we take a look at the success of the F/+ projection formula against the 2009 schedule.

11 comments, Last Comment at 13 Jul 2010, 7:50pm by John

Jul 02, 2010 06:23pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

One Foot Inbounds: Texas Toast

McCoy makes an early exit with a shoulder injury, and Alabama holds off a fourth-quarter comeback to win.

109 comments, Last Comment at 10 Jan 2010, 2:29am by Stravinsky

Jan 08, 2010 01:12am by Robert Weintraub || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

BCS Championship Preview + Live Blog

Brian, Rob and Bill give you an in-depth look at tonight's BCS title game. Can Colt McCoy cap his career with a title, or do the favored Tide have the edge? Come back at 8pm for a Cover It Live in-game blog.

10 comments, Last Comment at 08 Jan 2010, 1:19am by Will Allen

Jan 07, 2010 11:52am by Bill Connelly || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Varsity Numbers: Top 100 Redux

To wrap up the Top 100 series, Bill Connelly visits with ESPN's Beano Cook and the captain of the 1959 Ole Miss Rebels, Charlie Flowers.

10 comments, Last Comment at 1:31am by Jeff Fogle

Jul 30, 2010 04:16pm by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Under the Cap: Cash Budgets

There have been varying reports about the D'Brickashaw Ferguson's contract extension, but J.I. Halsell unveils the true value.

16 comments, Last Comment at 20 Jul 2010, 10:12am by WF

Jul 16, 2010 11:33am by J.I. Halsell || read all Under The Cap articles

The Spring in Quotes: April/May 2010

Looking back at the NFL over the past six weeks: Jets' owner Woody Johnson gets as cocky as his coach, Albert Haynesworth is just waiting on a few more million, and the Eagles may have found another T.O.

32 comments, Last Comment at 20 May 2010, 10:43am by JeremyJ

May 18, 2010 12:16pm by Rory Hickey || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Innovative Statistics

2009 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1BAL30.5% 1GB37.3%
2GB30.4% 2DAL31.4%
3NE29.1% 3BAL29.2%
4PHI28.4% 4CAR28.4%
5DAL25.5% 5NE27.9%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2009 OFFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1NE29.6% 1SD29.4%
2NO27.8% 2NE26.5%
3DAL24.9% 3GB25.2%
4SD22.9% 4NO24.5%
5GB22.5% 5DAL23.3%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2009 DEFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1NYJ-23.4% 1NYJ-27.1%
2GB-14.0% 2CAR-18.1%
3SF-11.8% 3GB-18.0%
4BAL-11.8% 4SF-14.5%
5CAR-10.9% 5BAL-11.0%
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2009 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1CLE8.4% 1CLE7.8%
2PHI4.3% 2TB5.3%
3CHI4.1% 3PHI4.0%
4MIN4.1% 4BAL3.7%
5TB3.2% 5STL3.5%
Full SeasonWeighted
1CLE8.8% 1CLE8.3%
2PHI4.3% 2TB5.2%
3MIN4.2% 3PHI4.0%
4CHI4.0% 4BAL3.6%
5TB3.1% 5STL3.5%
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QUARTERBACKS 2009

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1T.BradyNE2,170 1P.RiversSD45.9%
2P.ManningIND1,936 2T.BradyNE44.2%
3P.RiversSD1,915 3D.BreesNO41.0%
4D.BreesNO1,845 4B.FavreMIN39.0%
5B.FavreMIN1,808 5P.ManningIND38.2%
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RUNNING BACKS 2009

Rush DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
Rush DVOA Leaders
(Value per Play)
Rec DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
1C.JohnsonTEN343 1P.ThomasNO26.2% 1D.SprolesSD181
2R.GrantGB252 2J.CharlesKC20.3% 2S.SlatonHOU168
3R.RiceBAL249 3W.McGaheeBAL19.7% 3K.SmithDET127
4J.CharlesKC233 4J.ForsettSEA18.2% 4F.JacksonBUF123
5P.ThomasNO222 5F.JonesDAL17.0% 5R.MendenhallPIT117
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WIDE RECEIVERS 2009

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1S.RiceMIN476 1R.MeachemNO39.2%
2V.JacksonSD448 2V.JacksonSD38.7%
3W.WelkerNE424 3S.RiceMIN35.4%
4M.AustinDAL396 4M.WallacePIT29.6%
5R.MossNE395 5M.AustinDAL28.3%
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TIGHT ENDS 2009

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1A.GatesSD358 1B.WatsonNE49.3%
2D.ClarkIND260 2A.GatesSD38.4%
3V.ShiancoeMIN226 3V.ShiancoeMIN33.7%
4J.WittenDAL216 4T.HeapBAL27.4%
5B.CelekPHI201 5O.DanielsHOU27.3%
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DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

SUPER BOWL ODDS
New Orleans: 52.2%
Indianapolis: 47.8%

Most Recent Articles

30 Jul 2010, 04:16pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Top 100 Redux

To wrap up the Top 100 series, Bill Connelly visits with ESPN's Beano Cook and the captain of the 1959 Ole Miss Rebels, Charlie Flowers.

» More...

10 comments, Last at 1:31am by Jeff Fogle

29 Jul 2010, 07:28pm by Aaron Schatz

The Jim Mora All-Stars

Four great linebackers, a Hall of Fame quarterback, and the former USFL Man of the Year all highlight this all-star team from the career of Jim Mora the Elder.

» More...

30 comments, Last at 30 Jul 2010, 4:37pm by tuluse

29 Jul 2010, 06:58pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: AFC South Salary Analysis

It isn't a shock that Andre' Davis may not be worth the money in Houston... but could the Colts possibly decide that Bob Sanders' unhealthy body isn't worth the money either?

» More...

0 comments

28 Jul 2010, 03:36pm by Bill Barnwell

Adjusting Plus-Minus For Team, Part II

We fully remove the lid from team-adjusted plus-minus, looking at both the record-holders and 2009 aberrations alike.

» More...

29 comments, Last at 30 Jul 2010, 12:18am by famous_dad

28 Jul 2010, 01:30pm by J.I. Halsell

ESPN: AFC East Salary Analysis

Here's our salary cap analysis for the AFC East, where players like Jason Allen and Vernon Gholston need to finally live up to their draft position, and the Patriots have to figure out how to pay Randy Moss and Tom Brady.

» More...

0 comments

28 Jul 2010, 01:27pm by J.I. Halsell

ESPN: AFC North Salary Analysis

This week, J.I. Halsell's salary cap analysis moves on to the AFC, starting with the fourth teams in the North.

» More...

1 comment, Last at 28 Jul 2010, 8:45pm by HostileGospel

27 Jul 2010, 03:52pm by Bill Connelly

The Top 100 College Football Teams of the Last 100 Years: Part V

In the final part of the countdown, Bill Connelly reveals the top team in college football history -- a team that wasn't perfect.

» More...

91 comments, Last at 12:08am by jebmak

26 Jul 2010, 11:41am by Bill Barnwell

Wisdom Of Crowds 2010: QB Part I

Our Wisdom of Crowds feature returns with a look at projecting five prominent quarterbacks, including the star man in New England.

» More...

34 comments, Last at 27 Jul 2010, 8:45pm by Big Johnson

23 Jul 2010, 01:15pm by Bill Barnwell

ESPN: NFC South Salary Analysis

The NFC South is next on J.I. Halsell's salary cap analysis list.

» More...

4 comments, Last at 23 Jul 2010, 4:34pm by theshadowj

23 Jul 2010, 12:40pm by Bill Barnwell

Adjusting Plus-Minus For Team, Part I

We introduce team-adjusted plus-minus for receivers by breaking down four years of Colts' offenses.

» More...

162 comments, Last at 26 Jul 2010, 11:25pm by Nathan

22 Jul 2010, 01:34pm by Bill Barnwell

ESPN: NFC East Salary Analysis

J.I. Halsell's feature continues on to the NFC East, where the Cowboys may decide that 2010 is the end of Marion Barber's run in Big D.

» More...

1 comment, Last at 22 Jul 2010, 1:59pm by Tim Wilson

22 Jul 2010, 12:30pm by Aaron Schatz

The Marty Schottenheimer All-Stars

Our series on head coach all-star teams continues as we stick the 80s Browns, 90s Chiefs, and early-00s Chargers into a blender.

» More...

76 comments, Last at 26 Jul 2010, 1:28pm by Jeff Fogle