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AFC Championship Preview 2018

To stop Blake Bortles, the Patriots will have to stop throws in the short middle of the field. To stop Tom Brady, the Jaguars will have to get pressure with four even though Brady was among the best QBs in the league under pressure this season.

Recent Features

Football Outsiders Features

Week 19 DVOA Ratings

Weighted DVOA ratings after the divisional round show that No. 1 New England and No. 2 Minnesota have been trending up while Philadelphia and Jacksonville have been trending down.

34 comments, Last Comment at 18 Jan 2018, 11:14am by Alec B

Jan 15, 2018 02:49pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Film Room: Case Keenum

The surgical efficiency of the Vikings quarterback has been one of the biggest shocks of the 2017 season. Derrik Klassen explains what Keenum does well -- and what the Eagles can do to shut him down in the NFC Championship Game.

21 comments, Last Comment at 19 Jan 2018, 6:22pm by ChrisS

Jan 18, 2018 12:45pm by Derrik Klassen || read all Film Room articles

Word of Muth: Au Revoir, New Orleans

Ben Muth says goodbye to the Saints with this reminder: bad plays, even bad runs, can't always be blamed on the offensive line.

6 comments, Last Comment at 19 Jan 2018, 1:25pm by Will Allen

Jan 19, 2018 10:09am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

Divisional Round Quick Reads

If this year's playoffs have taught us anything, it's that there is a huge difference between Good Blake Bortles and Bad Blake Bortles, and you can never be sure which will show up in a given week.

50 comments, Last Comment at 18 Jan 2018, 5:33am by t.d.

Jan 15, 2018 07:15am GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Audibles at the Line: Divisional Round

The NFC playoff teams have spent the entire season serving up engrossing, entertaining games, but nothing could prepare us for the final play of this weekend's playoff slate.

179 comments, Last Comment at 18 Jan 2018, 11:15am by t.d.

Jan 14, 2018 10:29pm GMT by Andrew Potter || read all Audibles articles

FEI Final Ratings

Another year, another Alabama championship. Is it a good thing for the sport of college football that one program is so dominant over its competition?

0 comments

Jan 10, 2018 06:32pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Freshmen Propel Alabama

Replacing starter Jalen Hurts, Alabama quarterback Tua Tagavailoa threw a 41-yard walk-off touchdown pass to fellow freshman DeVonta Smith on second-and-26 in overtime for yet another Alabama championship.

12 comments, Last Comment at 10 Jan 2018, 2:27pm by Anger...rising

Jan 09, 2018 12:47pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: National Championship Preview

Most expected Georgia to face Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. We're finally getting that matchup, but the stakes are even higher than anticipated.

0 comments

Jan 07, 2018 02:53pm by Ian Boyd || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Any Given Sunday: Jaguars Over Steelers

Wow, an underdog upset the Steelers? Get out of town -- then, head to New England, for the AFC Championship Game.

12 comments, Last Comment at 19 Jan 2018, 11:31am by sbond101

Jan 16, 2018 02:55pm GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Week In Quotes: January 19, 2018

This week: celebration, prognostication, education, penetration, animation, and an unusually high amount of profanity. Oh, and of course: Skol!

0 comments

Jan 19, 2018 09:07am by Vincent Verhei || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble for the Ball: Championship Quartets

Blake Bortles. Nick Foles. Case Keenum. Can it get worse than that? Andrew steps out of the way and lets Bryan throw up a dozen tables to try to come to an answer.

24 comments, Last Comment at 19 Jan 2018, 2:33am by Bryan Knowles

Jan 17, 2018 01:25pm by Bryan Knowles and Andrew Potter || read all Scramble articles

DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

Win Super Bowl
1NE42.2% 3PHI18.9%
2MIN27.0% 4JAC11.9%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 19

Most Recent Articles

19 Jan 2018, 04:53pm by Aaron Schatz

AFC Championship Preview 2018

To stop Blake Bortles, the Patriots will have to stop throws in the short middle of the field. To stop Tom Brady, the Jaguars will have to get pressure with four even though Brady was among the best QBs in the league under pressure this season.

» More...

12 comments, Last at 20 Jan 2018, 12:28am by mathesond

19 Jan 2018, 01:52pm by Aaron Schatz

NFC Championship Preview 2018

Somebody has to Jeff Hostetler their way into Super Bowl LII. Will it be the Eagles, with a tenacious defense and home-field advantage? Or will it be the Vikings, who've gotten a better performance (and more of it) from backup-turned-MVP candidate Case Keenum?

» More...

15 comments, Last at 2:33am by Hextall_27

19 Jan 2018, 10:09am by Ben Muth

Word of Muth: Au Revoir, New Orleans

Ben Muth says goodbye to the Saints with this reminder: bad plays, even bad runs, can't always be blamed on the offensive line.

» More...

6 comments, Last at 19 Jan 2018, 1:25pm by Will Allen

19 Jan 2018, 09:07am by Vincent Verhei

The Week In Quotes: January 19, 2018

This week: celebration, prognostication, education, penetration, animation, and an unusually high amount of profanity. Oh, and of course: Skol!

» More...

0 comments

19 Jan 2018, 12:38am by Aaron Schatz

2018 Conference Championship Open Thread

Here's the open thread for pregame and live discussion of Sunday's two conference championship games: Jacksonville at New England (CBS, 3:05 pm EST) and Minnesota at Philadelphia (FOX, 6:40 pm EST).

» More...

20 comments, Last at 19 Jan 2018, 5:24pm by Eddo

18 Jan 2018, 05:06pm by Aaron Schatz

Off The Charts Podcast: January 18

This week's Off The Charts podcast is packed to the gills with stats to help preview the AFC and NFC Championship Games. Did you know how good the Jaguars are on play-action? Who's better against pressure: Tom Brady or Case Keenum? Are you curious which teams should run with zone-blocking and which with power? (Click for audio link.)

» More...

0 comments

18 Jan 2018, 12:45pm by Derrik Klassen

Film Room: Case Keenum

The surgical efficiency of the Vikings quarterback has been one of the biggest shocks of the 2017 season. Derrik Klassen explains what Keenum does well -- and what the Eagles can do to shut him down in the NFC Championship Game.

» More...

21 comments, Last at 19 Jan 2018, 6:22pm by ChrisS

17 Jan 2018, 01:25pm by Bryan Knowles and Andrew Potter

Scramble for the Ball: Championship Quartets

Blake Bortles. Nick Foles. Case Keenum. Can it get worse than that? Andrew steps out of the way and lets Bryan throw up a dozen tables to try to come to an answer.

» More...

24 comments, Last at 19 Jan 2018, 2:33am by Bryan Knowles

16 Jan 2018, 02:55pm by Rivers McCown

Any Given Sunday: Jaguars Over Steelers

Wow, an underdog upset the Steelers? Get out of town -- then, head to New England, for the AFC Championship Game.

» More...

12 comments, Last at 19 Jan 2018, 11:31am by sbond101

15 Jan 2018, 03:23pm by Scott Kacsmar

Clutch Encounters: Divisional Round

Stefon Diggs saves the Vikings after one of the greatest touchdowns in NFL history. Also: Atlanta's horrific red zone sequence, and Pittsburgh's odd history of high-scoring playoff losses.

» More...

23 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2018, 8:03pm by t.d.

15 Jan 2018, 02:49pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 19 DVOA Ratings

Weighted DVOA ratings after the divisional round show that No. 1 New England and No. 2 Minnesota have been trending up while Philadelphia and Jacksonville have been trending down.

» More...

34 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2018, 11:14am by Alec B

15 Jan 2018, 07:15am by Vincent Verhei

Divisional Round Quick Reads

If this year's playoffs have taught us anything, it's that there is a huge difference between Good Blake Bortles and Bad Blake Bortles, and you can never be sure which will show up in a given week.

» More...

50 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2018, 5:33am by t.d.

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