Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

Football Outsiders Features

Walkthrough: Super Diary

Walkthrough's dispatches from Indianapolis, featuring Under Armour and Rob Gronkowski's ankle injury.

25 comments, Last Comment at 06 Feb 2012, 9:37am by Kevin from Philly

Feb 02, 2012 10:36am by Mike Tanier || read all Walkthrough articles

Conference Championship DVOA Ratings

Updated DVOA ratings, and an explanation of why 2007 isn't exactly like 2011.

206 comments, Last Comment at 02 Feb 2012, 9:04pm by NYGiantfan427

Jan 23, 2012 02:34pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Conf. Championship Quick Reads

With Tom Brady and Eli Manning set to square off in the Super Bowl (again), we measure their status among playoff quarterbacks in recent history.

162 comments, Last Comment at 29 Jan 2012, 3:26am by greybeard

Jan 24, 2012 06:33am GMT by Vince Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Cover-2: The No-Huddle Defense

John Wooden used to say, "Be quick, but don't hurry." The best way to beat complex defenses is to find ways to do both on a regular basis.

18 comments, Last Comment at 28 Nov 2011, 5:28pm by tuluse

Oct 20, 2011 12:56pm by Doug Farrar || read all Cover-2 articles

Super Bowl XVLI Prop Bet Extravaganza!

It's that time of year! Grab on to your brain cells, grab a stash of fake cash, and join Mike and Tom in some of the most insane bets you'll ever pretend to make!

54 comments, Last Comment at 05 Feb 2012, 7:34pm by shaezychick

Feb 01, 2012 03:40pm by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower || read all Scramble articles

Word of Muth: Super Bowl Preview

Word of Muth looks at the Super Bowl offensive lines and speculates that Nate Solder may need some help on Sunday.

119 comments, Last Comment at 04 Feb 2012, 12:15am by Dean

Jan 31, 2012 09:57am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

Audibles at the Line: Super Bowl XLVI

It's ... still 2007 all over again. But were the Patriots really that good this season?

380 comments, Last Comment at 3:21am by dmstorm22

Feb 06, 2012 05:32am GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Audibles articles

Final 2011 FEI Ratings

FEI says LSU still had the best overall season, even if it wasn't the national champion. We also produce a list of the best single-game performances this season, by FEI.

41 comments, Last Comment at 18 Jan 2012, 1:20am by AnonymousBoob

Jan 11, 2012 05:31am by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

One Foot Inbounds: Bama Beatdown

A retrospective of the decisive BCS Championship game, where Alabama redeemed itself.

97 comments, Last Comment at 11 Jan 2012, 5:16pm by Authentic Sellout

Jan 10, 2012 09:10am by Robert Weintraub || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: BCS Championship Preview

SDA takes aim at the BCS title game. Who has the advantage in the LSU-Alabama rematch?

8 comments, Last Comment at 10 Jan 2012, 10:15am by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

Jan 09, 2012 12:13pm by Brian Fremeau || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Varsity Numbers Puts a Bow on 2011

In the season-ending edition of Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly takes a look at what put Alabama ahead of LSU, both in the BCS title game and in the 2011 F/+ rankings, and looks at the winners and losers of bowl season.

12 comments, Last Comment at 18 Jan 2012, 9:34am by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

Jan 16, 2012 03:28pm by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Under the Cap: 2012 Defense Tag Projections

Under the Cap has projections of how this offseason might look before free agency officially begins. This article covers defense.

3 comments, Last Comment at 03 Jan 2012, 5:14pm by navin

Jan 03, 2012 03:01pm by Brian McIntyre || read all Under The Cap articles

The Week In Quotes: February 3, 2012

In the season finale of The Week In Quotes, we look at the best of the Super Bowl media frenzy and National Signing Day.

22 comments, Last Comment at 06 Feb 2012, 7:40pm by The Hypno-Toad

Feb 03, 2012 10:48am by Rivers McCown || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Innovative Statistics

2011 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1GB28.3% 1NO30.1%
2PIT23.7% 2PIT29.9%
3NO23.3% 3GB26.1%
4NE22.5% 4NE23.7%
5HOU19.4% 5PHI22.9%
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2011 OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1GB39.2% 1NO44.0%
2NO37.8% 2GB38.9%
3NE36.8% 3NE36.0%
4CAR23.0% 4CAR24.6%
5SD17.7% 5SD23.4%
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2011 DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1BAL-13.7% 1CHI-13.6%
2NYJ-11.9% 2ATL-9.8%
3SF-10.3% 3NYJ-9.8%
4CHI-10.2% 4PIT-9.1%
5JAC-6.6% 5BAL-8.8%
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2011 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1CHI7.3% 1TEN9.6%
2SF7.0% 2CHI7.1%
3TEN5.5% 3NE5.3%
4NYJ5.0% 4SF4.8%
5NE3.7% 5MIA4.3%
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2011 QUARTERBACKS

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1D.BreesNO2,544 1A.RodgersGB52.6%
2A.RodgersGB2,268 2D.BreesNO44.5%
3T.BradyNE2,235 3T.BradyNE41.0%
4T.RomoDAL1,591 4T.RomoDAL33.8%
5M.StaffordDET1,446 5M.SchaubHOU31.2%
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2011 RUNNING BACKS

Rush DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
Rush DVOA Leaders
(Value per Play)
Rec DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
1L.McCoyPHI324 1P.ThomasNO32.6% 1D.SprolesNO274
2M.Jones-DrewJAC231 2J.StewartCAR24.4% 2R.RiceBAL242
3M.LynchSEA230 3D.WilliamsCAR21.0% 3R.MathewsSD158
4J.StewartCAR202 4L.McCoyPHI17.4% 4M.BushOAK156
5R.MathewsSD197 5D.BrownIND16.7% 5A.FosterHOU137
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2011 WIDE RECEIVERS

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1C.JohnsonDET586 1J.NelsonGB54.1%
2J.NelsonGB530 2M.FloydSD51.9%
3W.WelkerNE475 3L.RobinsonDAL43.1%
4V.CruzNYG468 4J.JonesGB42.4%
5M.WallacePIT410 5M.ColstonNO35.4%
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2011 TIGHT ENDS

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1R.GronkowskiNE505 1R.GronkowskiNE52.0%
2J.GrahamNO331 2J.DreessenHOU48.9%
3A.GatesSD287 3A.GatesSD40.3%
4T.GonzalezATL237 4K.BossOAK36.2%
5J.FinleyGB205 5S.ChandlerBUF35.0%
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Most Recent Articles

06 Feb 2012, 05:32am by Rivers McCown

Audibles at the Line: Super Bowl XLVI

It's ... still 2007 all over again. But were the Patriots really that good this season?

» More...

380 comments, Last at 3:21am by dmstorm22

06 Feb 2012, 05:22am by Rivers McCown

ESPN: Can the Giants Become a Dynasty?

A look at New York's chances of contending for the crown again next season shows a lot of reasons to be optimistic.

» More...

14 comments, Last at 2:46am by Shattenjager

03 Feb 2012, 10:48am by Rivers McCown

The Week In Quotes: February 3, 2012

In the season finale of The Week In Quotes, we look at the best of the Super Bowl media frenzy and National Signing Day.

» More...

22 comments, Last at 06 Feb 2012, 7:40pm by The Hypno-Toad

02 Feb 2012, 09:51pm by Aaron Schatz

Super Bowl XLVI Preview

Aaron Schatz pores over all the FO stats to break down Sunday's matchups. Do they agree with the oddsmakers and lean Patriots, or do they agree with the general public and lean Giants?

» More...

215 comments, Last at 06 Feb 2012, 3:31pm by KK Probs

02 Feb 2012, 01:14pm by Danny Tuccitto

ESPN: The Future of New England's Pass Offense

The Patriots are in the Super Bowl after spending three years undoing Josh McDaniels' pass offense. How soon they get back depends in part on the degree to which he undoes the undoing. In this Insider piece, we use game charting data to chronicle the history of the former, and explore potential options regarding the latter.

» More...

23 comments, Last at 06 Feb 2012, 4:55am by Vince Verhei

02 Feb 2012, 10:36am by Mike Tanier

Walkthrough: Super Diary

Walkthrough's dispatches from Indianapolis, featuring Under Armour and Rob Gronkowski's ankle injury.

» More...

25 comments, Last at 06 Feb 2012, 9:37am by Kevin from Philly

01 Feb 2012, 03:40pm by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower

Super Bowl XVLI Prop Bet Extravaganza!

It's that time of year! Grab on to your brain cells, grab a stash of fake cash, and join Mike and Tom in some of the most insane bets you'll ever pretend to make!

» More...

54 comments, Last at 05 Feb 2012, 7:34pm by shaezychick

31 Jan 2012, 09:32pm by Brian Fremeau

ESPN: Recruiting Versus Results

Brian Fremeau compares five-year recruiting success with results on the field to indentify the most overachieving and underachieving programs.

» More...

0 comments

31 Jan 2012, 09:57am by Ben Muth

Word of Muth: Super Bowl Preview

Word of Muth looks at the Super Bowl offensive lines and speculates that Nate Solder may need some help on Sunday.

» More...

119 comments, Last at 04 Feb 2012, 12:15am by Dean

30 Jan 2012, 01:01pm by Vince Verhei

ESPN AGS: Lessons from New England's Losses

Looking at the Patriots' four worst games of the season suggests that the Giants need to shut down the Patriots' midrange passing game, especially to Rob Gronkowski.

» More...

11 comments, Last at 04 Feb 2012, 3:18pm by bigpig666

30 Jan 2012, 11:22am by J.J. Cooper

Under Pressure: Playoff Log

This week, Under Pressure looks at the composition of the Giants and Patriots regular season sacks, as well as checking out playoff sacks and the sacks of the year.

» More...

24 comments, Last at 03 Feb 2012, 7:56pm by Mercury529

27 Jan 2012, 01:39pm by Guest

Aggressiveness Index 2011

Which coaches were most aggressive when it came to fourth downs in 2011? And could a couple high-profile plays be hiding the fact that NFL coaches are actually getting less aggressive?

» More...

78 comments, Last at 01 Feb 2012, 3:11pm by Muldrake

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