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Top 5 Total DVOA

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (52.0%)
  2. IND (33.1%)
  3. DAL (24.3%)
  4. JAC (23.7%)
  5. GB (21.2%)

Top 5 Offense

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (42.6%)
  2. IND (28.3%)
  3. JAC (20.7%)
  4. DAL (19.0%)
  5. GB (17.3%)

Top 5 Defense

2007 FINAL

  1. TEN (-13.4%)
  2. PIT (-12.3%)
  3. IND (-10.7%)
  4. TB (-10.2%)
  5. SD (-9.8%)

Top 5 Special Teams

2007 FINAL

  1. CHI (9.3%)
  2. CLE (6.9%)
  3. HOU (5.7%)
  4. SF (4.5%)
  5. SD (4.5%)


MMQB: Sobering Start

Peter King writes about the somber mood in Buffalo’s locker room following the loss to Denver, a mood that had everything to do with tight end Kevin Everett, who went down hard after a collision with Denver’s Domenik Hixon on a kickoff return. Everett suffered a cervical spine injury, underwent surgery last night, and news about his condition will be released after the swelling goes down, according to doctors. We can only hope for the best.

posted 9-10-2007 at 9:23 AM by Doug Farrar || Extra Points


59 Comments »

  1. So did Jets fans really cheer when Pennington got hurt!?

    Classy………

    :: Flounder — 9/10/2007 @ 9:44 am




  2. yeah, and then they cheered even louder when Clemens came into the game.

    :: keith — 9/10/2007 @ 9:50 am




  3. I don’t think they were actually cheering when Pennington got hurt, but they defintely gave Clemens a HUGE ovation.

    :: White Rose Duelist — 9/10/2007 @ 9:57 am




  4. I don’t remember the last time I saw a finish of a game decided by a field goal that I’d call exciting.

    He does remember drinking some wine after Super Bowl XXXVI.

    :: Theo, Holland — 9/10/2007 @ 9:58 am




  5. I was at the Jets/Pats game. A significant number of fans cheered when Pennington got hurt and Clemens replaced him. It was embarrassing. Not just the lack of class displayed, but the low football IQ. Once again Pennington played pretty well with no running game and lots of pressure. When your OL, RB, defense and special teams poop the bed, don’t blame with the QB averaging 8 yards an attempt w/ 2 TDs and no picks.

    :: Led — 9/10/2007 @ 10:10 am




  6. I saw the Pats/Jets game on TV, and it certainly sounded like cheering when Pennington was trying to hobble off the field and fall over.

    Yes, they cheered louder when Clemens entered, but it sounded like cheering for the injury as well. I actually had to agree with the Nantz/Simms commentary when that happened.

    :: James G — 9/10/2007 @ 10:15 am




  7. So did Jets fans really cheer when Pennington got hurt!?

    Yes, and no.

    Some were cheering because Pennington was able to make it off the field with only minimal assistance from the trainers.

    Others were cheering because the most popular man in town, the backup quarterback, was coming into the game. (For the record, Pennington looked much, much better overall than did Clemens, but Clemens looks like he could grow into a prettty good passer.)

    Some were cheering because they heard other people cheering. Psychology of crowds, and all.

    And I’m sure some were cheering because Pennington was out.Get 70,000 or so people of any kind together, you’re sure to get a fair amount of classless jerks.

    :: Starshatterer — 9/10/2007 @ 10:16 am




  8. No, they were cheering when Pennington got hurt. They were cheering louder when Clemens came in, but they were definitely cheering when Pennington came up hopping on one foot.

    :: DGL — 9/10/2007 @ 10:18 am




  9. Please, someone, write a column every week with interviews of Peyton Manning about his memories of previous years’ games.

    Peyton gives great interview.

    :: John — 9/10/2007 @ 10:22 am




  10. My vote for most ridiculous statement? When praising Freddie Keiaho, LB for the Colts, for his play against NO, PK notes that Keiaho replaced “the well-respected Cato June.”

    :: Brad — 9/10/2007 @ 10:23 am




  11. Could’ve been Patriots fans.

    :: Theo, Holland — 9/10/2007 @ 10:26 am




  12. “he Jets did nothing right against New England. That playoff season of 2006 looked mighty fluky. How do you let someone take a ball eight yards deep in the end zone and let him run it back for a touchdown — without any real challenges along the way?”

    You mean, other than the defensive lineman hanging off of him at the 20?

    :: Rich Conley — 9/10/2007 @ 10:30 am




  13. Hmm. King simultaneously calls the Pats “great”, lists them only behind the Colts in his power rankings, and says they won’t make the AFC championship game. What’s up with that? Seems like a bit of a random, unsupported prediction. Who does he think will beat them?

    :: RickD — 9/10/2007 @ 10:38 am




  14. that was a good MMQB. the holcomb-manning story was very interesting.

    :: throughthelookingglass — 9/10/2007 @ 10:41 am




  15. 10: Not entirely inaccurate… June seems to be respected by many pundits who don’t seem to know much about the numbers. You’re right about PK’s intent, though.

    :: mmm... sacrilicious — 9/10/2007 @ 10:44 am




  16. “Get 70,000 or so people of any kind together, you’re sure to get a fair amount of classless jerks.”

    Starshatterer, quit making excuses for classless jets fans. 70,000 Packer fans wouldn’t cheer a Favre injury. Nor would Cleveland fans cheer a Charlie Frye injury, just because they are fans of Brady Quinn.

    jets fans are a special breed of classless jerks. I’ve been to plenty of games at Giants stadium and have witnessed it first hand.

    :: Andy — 9/10/2007 @ 10:50 am




  17. RE: #13

    I had to read King’s sentence a few times to maek sense of it:

    “If Moss has 14 relatively healthy games, there is going to be a great football team … and I mean great, that gets eliminated before the AFC championship weekend.”

    He meant that one great team (whether the Pats, Colts, Chargers, or other) won’t make the AFC championship game, without specifying or predicting which one.

    :: Hollis T. — 9/10/2007 @ 11:03 am




  18. “King simultaneously calls the Pats “greatâ€?, lists them only behind the Colts in his power rankings, and says they won’t make the AFC championship game”

    That was poorly written - I also read it that way, and did a double-take. What he actually said was that “there is going to be a great football team … and I mean great, that gets eliminated before the AFC championship weekend”. He did not say that it would be New England. He’s basically saying that there are three great AFC teams. Obviously, only two of them play in the AFCCG.

    But it was awkwardly put, and, in context, it was easy to infer that he was talking about New England…

    :: Lyford — 9/10/2007 @ 11:03 am




  19. #13: I think he meant to say that if the Patriots remain this good, there will be three incredibly talented AFC Teams (Colts, Chargers, Pats), and one of the three great AFC Teams won’t make the AFC Chamionship Game. He didn’t say which one.

    :: GermanVikesFan — 9/10/2007 @ 11:06 am




  20. OK, my internet connection was the slowest, but I think we have now explained the crap out of that sentence.

    :: GermanVikesFan — 9/10/2007 @ 11:07 am




  21. Re: King: “The Broncos don’t have the Chargers’ D.”

    That’s a poor choice for comparison. According to the 2007 DVOA projections, the Broncos’ defense ranks 24th and the Chargers’ defense ranks 29th. Both of those rankings seem low to me, but, last year, Denver finished 12th in defensive DVOA (13th weighted), and San Diego finished 14th (16th weighted). The Broncos do have the Chargers’ D, so to speak.

    :: CA — 9/10/2007 @ 11:21 am




  22. i didn’t see the pats game, but i can’t imagine the pats line played better than the titans line. so-called running backs chris brown and fatdale white had such enormous holes that they could have run through them side-by-side, which is saying something. i don’t remember the jets’ defensive front seven to have quite the same reputation as the jags’, as well…

    :: ajn — 9/10/2007 @ 11:24 am




  23. Nor would Cleveland fans cheer a Charlie Frye injury,

    no..they only cheer a Tim Couch injury

    :: princeton73 — 9/10/2007 @ 11:33 am




  24. Andy (#16 )–

    Not making excuses. Just saying, there were other reasons for fans to cheer when they did.

    I try to give the benefit of the doubt, even to Jets fans. ;)

    :: Starshatterer — 9/10/2007 @ 11:35 am




  25. Re 9, 14: Peter is at his best when using his access to guys like Manning to give inside accounts of stuff like how he changed that play. Same with last week, having established a relationship with a player who was just released gives him the opportunity to share that player’s story with his readers, and it was an interesting story.

    :: Michael David Smith — 9/10/2007 @ 11:36 am




  26. #23, did they cheer’s a Couch injury? That’s pathetic.

    #24, you are too kind.

    :: Andy — 9/10/2007 @ 11:38 am




  27. 23, did they cheer a Couch injury? That’s pathetic.

    indeed they did

    this game
    http://www.cleveland.com/brownshistory/plaindealer/index.ssf?/browns/more/history/20021006BROWNS.html

    :: princeton73 — 9/10/2007 @ 11:46 am




  28. RickD
    What I think everybody is trying to say is that one great team (whether the Pats, Colts or Chargers) won’t make the AFC championship game.

    But I could be wrong.

    :: Phil — 9/10/2007 @ 11:54 am




  29. Thanks to PK for reportorial perch to give us the kind of stories we can’t get otherwise. Everett deserved to be first and was. The Manning/Holcomb piece was great. The factoid is also pretty neat, though now that I’ve thought about it I think the play was part of the “Top 5 Reasons” episode on the Favre trade. MMQB was worth my reading time, as it almost always is.

    :: NewsToTom — 9/10/2007 @ 12:24 pm




  30. Re: 16

    “Starshatterer, quit making excuses for classless jets fans. 70,000 Packer fans wouldn’t cheer a Favre injury. Nor would Cleveland fans cheer a Charlie Frye injury, just because they are fans of Brady Quinn.”

    Given the cheering and high fives that erupted when Tim Couch was injured, I find this statement less than credible.

    Now for another comment …

    “jets fans are a special breed of classless jerks. I’ve been to plenty of games at Giants stadium and have witnessed it first hand.”

    Don’t kid yourself. I’ve walked out of Dolphins stadium twice under cover of pelting plastic bottles, obscenities, etc … Redneck Dolphins fans are hands-down the worst scumbags the NFL has to offer.

    See how easy it was to lower the level of discourse when blanket, rude statements about a class of individuals?

    (FWIW the actual statement is factual. The “worst scumbags” is, of course, an opinion.)

    :: Will — 9/10/2007 @ 12:41 pm




  31. King just earned a taint kicking for #8 on his “what I think I think”, with pointy shoes.

    #10 c. - does this mean that Ellsbury is deceptively good at math?

    :: AlexDL — 9/10/2007 @ 12:48 pm




  32. Uhm… that says booing. Unless I missed it (I did speedread), I didn’t see any sentence about cheering on his injury.

    :: LnGrrrR — 9/10/2007 @ 12:51 pm




  33. Re 30: Ever been to an Eagles home game?

    :: brian — 9/10/2007 @ 1:05 pm




  34. that says booing. Unless I missed it (I did speedread), I didn’t see any sentence about cheering on his injury.

    take a look at this link

    http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=1818941

    “hat season was marked by an ugly incident in a home game against Baltimore when some Browns fans cheered as Couch was helped off the field with a concussion.

    Couch tearfully and profanely lashed out at fans after the game.

    “If fans don’t like the way I’m playing or the way we’re playing, they have a right to boo us or boo me,” he said. “But to cheer when I got hurt, that’s a whole other level with me. I don’t agree with that at all.”"

    :: princeton73 — 9/10/2007 @ 1:07 pm




  35. Hey, how are Patriots fans? I am one, but military, so I never get to attend games. I hope they don’t have too bad of a reputation. At least not as bad as our driving rep, I hope.

    :: LnGrrrR — 9/10/2007 @ 1:17 pm




  36. Ah, thanks for the better link Princeton.

    :: LnGrrrR — 9/10/2007 @ 1:18 pm




  37. King’s thoughts on Randy Moss don’t make much sense to me. No, the Patriots don’t go out of their way to feed their stars’ egos. But if Moss is open/healthy regularly enough to net 1,700 yards and 21 touchdowns, Bradychick won’t avoid him just to keep his head from swelling.

    :: Old James — 9/10/2007 @ 1:34 pm




  38. “Bradychick won’t avoid him just to keep his head from swelling.”

    Right, if Moss is as open as he was yesterday, hes going to put up Stats that look like that. I think he played about 25-50% of the offensive snaps, and put up 180 yards and a Td, and was tackled inside the 10 maybe 3 or 4 times. Just like Corey Dillon put up 1700 yds a couple years ago. If its there, they’ll take it.

    The one thing that looked very un-randy was that he had the ball a couple times in space, and didnt fake anyone out. I remember him in Minn being a bear to tackle, and that wasnt the case.

    There were a couple of balls that Brady forced to Moss, but they were generally to the outside on 2nd/3rd down, and he was just too big for the CB to deal with.

    :: Rich Conley — 9/10/2007 @ 1:50 pm




  39. Others have already said most of what I think about the column, but I’ll add that he’s absolutely right about the hundreds of great little Italian restaurants in Jersey. It’s one of the biggest things I miss about the place sine I’ve moved to VA.

    :: JasonK — 9/10/2007 @ 1:56 pm




  40. Peyton Manning’s story about stealing plays is great. I predict that Peyton Manning will become one of the great commentators after his playing days are done (unless he becomes a coach).

    :: Richie — 9/10/2007 @ 2:03 pm




  41. Any idea if King’s cap space numbers are correct? The sarcastic part of me is saying “But the Colts will never be able to put a good team around Manning because he’s too selfish with his big contract.”

    Have those stories stopped yet? Local talk radio was blissfully silent this offseason with the whole “Polian/Dungy/Manning will never win the big one” complaints.

    :: Todd S. — 9/10/2007 @ 2:39 pm




  42. It’d be hilarious if Holcomb reads MMQB and calls up all his old teammates over this.

    “I TOLD YOU IT WAS A SLANT!!”

    :: cd6 — 9/10/2007 @ 2:41 pm




  43. “Any idea if King’s cap space numbers are correct? The sarcastic part of me is saying “But the Colts will never be able to put a good team around Manning because he’s too selfish with his big contract.â€?”

    I really doubt they’re correct. I remember him saying last year at one point that the Pats had like $15M, when in reality they had like $2.37, because they’d extended a couple people like 3 weeks before.

    :: Rich Conley — 9/10/2007 @ 2:49 pm




  44. He named Scott O’Brien the coach of the week?

    That really perplexes me. I mean, sure, Denver one that game with a last second field goal and that was nice and all, but Denver also gave up a touchdown punt return, Hixon failed to make a fair catch around the thirteen while Buffalo downed the ball on the one and Denver allowed a 48 yard kickoff return that would have been a touchdown if not for a tough tackle by Champ Bailey.

    Otherwise it was just a typical game. That last second field goal was nice, but this was overall a poor showing by the Denver special teams. The Bills’ special teams played much better overall.

    :: Archimedes Owl — 9/10/2007 @ 3:11 pm




  45. (seahawksjoe) “Pollard is too old - laughable starting TE!

    There, I got that out of my system. I know the stats justify Farrar’s comments in FP, but I also thought the intangibles are worth considering. He certainly looked better than Jerramy Stevens heads up, by a long ways.

    :: calbuzz — 9/10/2007 @ 3:25 pm




  46. 44: Not to mention the fact that it was a mistake. Cutler should have spiked the ball to stop the clock, but somebody (like the ST coach, for example) mistakenly called for the field goal unit to rush out and attempt a last-second field-goal.

    :: B — 9/10/2007 @ 3:30 pm




  47. 46:That too. I was thinking, “Wasn’t that a first down? What’s taking so long for him to spike the ball?” And then I they pan out and the field goal team is on the field.

    I’m hoping that our special teams are improved this year. And the fact that they are willing to play Champ Bailey on special teams shows that they are serious, but he shouldn’t have won the coach of the week award.

    As a Broncos fan, I’m just glad we won, but considering the two missed field goals, the touchdown run and the generally worse coverage and returns, our special teams almost cost us a game in which the defense and offense both outplayed the Bills.

    :: Archimedes Owl — 9/10/2007 @ 3:58 pm




  48. Talk about perfect storm. Simmons tethers his preview of the Jets to uber fan Larry David. David’s show returns to HBO last night. And Jets fans cannot curb their enthusism for Pennington’s injury. (Not that there’s anything wrong with that.)

    :: Dan Riley — 9/10/2007 @ 4:01 pm




  49. 46: With only 12 seconds left, I don’t think the Broncos had time to wait and find out if they got the first down. They just had the FG unit ready to go in any situation. I wouldn’t call that a mistake.

    :: jaredtaskin — 9/10/2007 @ 5:05 pm




  50. Re: 46, 47, 49

    Couldn’t they have asked the officials to measure? Measuring temporarily stops the clock, and I’m pretty sure you can lobby them to do it.

    :: The McNabb Bowl Game Anomaly — 9/10/2007 @ 5:11 pm




  51. “Muff: funny word.”

    Do you think he knows…?

    :: ammek — 9/10/2007 @ 5:28 pm




  52. Couldn’t they have asked the officials to measure? Measuring temporarily stops the clock, and I’m pretty sure you can lobby them to do it.

    They snapped the ball with one second left. Not a lot of time to play with.

    What if the ref just says: “It’s a first down, run your next play”? Is the offense or the kicking team out on the field? Are they ready to go? How long did it take to get that ruling?

    The Invesco Fire Drill seemed to work.

    :: Starshatterer — 9/10/2007 @ 8:39 pm




  53. i didn’t see the pats game, but i can’t imagine the pats line played better than the titans line. so-called running backs chris brown and fatdale white had such enormous holes that they could have run through them side-by-side, which is saying something. i don’t remember the jets’ defensive front seven to have quite the same reputation as the jags’, as well…

    I didn’t see the Titans/Jags game, but judging from Vince Young’s stat line, the Titans O-line couldn’t have played THAT well. Either that, or Young must be the world’s most inept QB to put up a stat line like he did if the Titans line was playing as well as the Pats’.

    Seriously, in something like 28 pass attempts, a Jet got a hand on Brady ONCE. And Brady wasn’t dumping the ball off quickly–he was surveying the field for 5-10 (yes, probably 10) seconds on every pass attempt. Add to that that the Pats put together a decent running attack featuring Sammy Morris, of all people, pretty much equally splitting time with Maroney.

    Yes, I know that the Jags front seven are probably much better than the Jets’. But, neglecting strength of opponent, I don’t see how any line could have played better than that Pats on Sunday…

    :: MJK — 9/10/2007 @ 8:44 pm




  54. From the broncos vantage point, they just simply couldn’t be certain of whether it was a first down. It was either wait 2-3 seconds to find out, or send out the field goal team immediately. Considering they snapped it with one second left, there wasn’t time to take the risk. It was a great, great call, and an amazing display.

    Far worse news, the news for Everett doesn’t look good at all. Paralysis likely, and it’s still life-threatening. The surgeon uses words like “catastrophic”, “bleak”, and “dismal”, which… are words that mean particular things in medical jargon I believe, but don’t seem a lot better than they sound to my ears. What’s good is that he can feel everywhere and has very limited mobility, but there’s still a lot of risk. So… keep those good vibes flowing out to the east coast I guess. :(

    :: tunesmith — 9/10/2007 @ 9:03 pm




  55. In all this talk about how great the pass protection of the Pats was, is it possible that the refs are calling a lot less holding calls this year than past years?

    It seems like the Saints were able to hold Dwight Freeney all day long in the Colts game (although it did not help that much) and there were barely any flags on either O Line that game except for the Tony Ugoh hold.

    :: Papa Narb — 9/10/2007 @ 9:10 pm




  56. This article shows the broad and naive brush that King uses to cover the NFL.

    Naming the the Broncos special teams coach the coach of the week after the special teams nearly cost Denver a game where they had a 470yd to 184yd total yards offensive advantage demonstrates either laziness or a significant lack of insight. Scary to think that this guy holds the keys to the HOF.

    :: gasman — 9/11/2007 @ 1:32 am




  57. King updated his piece for Monday Night football.

    Name links to last page.

    :: Insancipitory — 9/11/2007 @ 2:46 am




  58. Cutler should have spiked the ball to stop the clock, but somebody (like the ST coach, for example) mistakenly called for the field goal unit to rush out and attempt a last-second field-goal.

    I didn’t see the game, but the play-by-play says the last pass was third down, which means a spike turns the ball over if it’s not a first down (a real question if I’m reading other posts correctly).

    And how many times have you seen a team try to line up for a spike and either not get it snapped in time or commit the false start that runs off the last few seconds? Kudos to the Broncos for getting their FG unit on in time.

    :: Jerry — 9/11/2007 @ 5:36 am




  59. The Eagles got zero going offensively in Green Bay. And McNabb had the mobility of Byron Leftwich. Not good signs.

    Odd, because I thought one of the silver linings was McNabb’s mobility in the pocket, given how early he is in his recovery. Not that he’s “Back Scramblin’” necessarily … FO was right in reducing his rushing yards estimate. But he did a pretty good job of reacting to the rush (at least in the pocket … a couple of times scrambling outside he got pulled down when vintage McNabb might have known better).

    Unless PK read the portion of PFP07 outlining Leftwich’s low sack rate compared to other, more mobile QBs, and he’s saying this tongue-in-cheek. You think?

    :: Bad Doctor — 9/11/2007 @ 9:42 am




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