Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

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Four Downs: NFC North

Who will be Minnesota's quarterback? Mitchell Trubisky is QB1 in Chicago, but who's catching the ball? Can the Lions ever find a running back again? Finally, the Packers could use an upgrade at edge rusher, but this may be the wrong draft to do so.

Recent Features

Football Outsiders Features

Super Bowl LII DVOA/Quick Reads

Here are all our advanced numbers from Super Bowl LII. As you can imagine, the offensive numbers are pretty high. The Patriots end up with the higher DVOA, but that's not how games get decided.

39 comments, Last Comment at 22 Feb 2018, 7:31pm by eagle97a

Feb 05, 2018 06:50am by Vincent Verhei || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Film Room: Rob Gronkowski

The skeleton key in New England's offense, Gronk is a matchup nightmare for any defense -- and an especially difficult opponent for the Philadelphia Eagles.

8 comments, Last Comment at 21 Feb 2018, 9:02pm by Obat Pembesar Penis

Jan 31, 2018 03:18pm by Derrik Klassen || read all Film Room articles

Word of Muth: Getting the Job Done

Philadelphia's offensive line wasn't perfect against Minnesota, but did enough to lead the Eagles to an NFC championship -- and there's reason to believe they'll be even more effective in the Super Bowl.

2 comments, Last Comment at 02 Feb 2018, 5:43pm by Sifter

Feb 01, 2018 10:26am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

QR Bonus: Keys To Beating Philadelphia

The Patriots won't necessarily need a big game from Tom Brady to win the Super Bowl -- but the Eagles absolutely will need one from Nick Foles.

26 comments, Last Comment at 21 Feb 2018, 8:15pm by Obat Pembesar Penis

Jan 30, 2018 11:46am GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Audibles at the Line: Super Bowl LII

The Philadelphia Eagles dethrone the New England Patriots in a game that sets the all-time record for most total yards from scrimmage.

260 comments, Last Comment at 08 Feb 2018, 10:46am by Pat

Feb 05, 2018 12:22am GMT by Andrew Potter || read all Audibles articles

FEI Final Ratings

Another year, another Alabama championship. Is it a good thing for the sport of college football that one program is so dominant over its competition?

0 comments

Jan 10, 2018 06:32pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Freshmen Propel Alabama

Replacing starter Jalen Hurts, Alabama quarterback Tua Tagavailoa threw a 41-yard walk-off touchdown pass to fellow freshman DeVonta Smith on second-and-26 in overtime for yet another Alabama championship.

12 comments, Last Comment at 10 Jan 2018, 2:27pm by Anger...rising

Jan 09, 2018 12:47pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: National Championship Preview

Most expected Georgia to face Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. We're finally getting that matchup, but the stakes are even higher than anticipated.

0 comments

Jan 07, 2018 02:53pm by Ian Boyd || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Any Given Sunday: Jaguars Over Steelers

Wow, an underdog upset the Steelers? Get out of town -- then, head to New England, for the AFC Championship Game.

12 comments, Last Comment at 19 Jan 2018, 11:31am by sbond101

Jan 16, 2018 02:55pm GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Week In Quotes: February 9, 2018

The Super Bowl, of course, dominated conversation this week, but people were also talking baseball, engagements, and asparagus.

22 comments, Last Comment at 16 Feb 2018, 6:10pm by LionInAZ

Feb 09, 2018 04:40pm by Cale Clinton || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble for the Ball: Parting is Such Sweet Sorrow

Bryan and Andrew say good-bye to the 2017 season by looking back at the staff's preseason predictions. Also: a record-setting Prop Bets result!

19 comments, Last Comment at 12 Feb 2018, 10:29am by idembsky

Feb 07, 2018 11:02am by Bryan Knowles and Andrew Potter || read all Scramble articles

Most Recent Articles

22 Feb 2018, 12:35pm by Scott Kacsmar

Four Downs: NFC North

Who will be Minnesota's quarterback? Mitchell Trubisky is QB1 in Chicago, but who's catching the ball? Can the Lions ever find a running back again? Finally, the Packers could use an upgrade at edge rusher, but this may be the wrong draft to do so.

» More...

12 comments, Last at 2:21pm by Will Allen

21 Feb 2018, 12:57pm by Derrik Klassen

Futures: Baker Mayfield

Oklahoma's quarterback isn't just a product of the system, and he didn't just put up great numbers because he got to play in the Big 12. Derrik Klassen says the Heisman Trophy winner has what it takes to be a quality starter in the NFL.

» More...

5 comments, Last at 22 Feb 2018, 2:58pm by Derrik Klassen

20 Feb 2018, 12:19pm by Vincent Verhei

Four Downs: NFC East

Your reigning Super Bowl champs look well-prepared to defend their title, while Dallas, New York, and Washington are in dire need of defensive help. Plus: Each team's impending free-agent losses, including the subject of the hottest bidding war ever.

» More...

19 comments, Last at 22 Feb 2018, 11:22am by Theo

19 Feb 2018, 12:09pm by Guest

2017 Adjusted Pythagorean Wins

Blake Bortles made his name as the king of garbage time -- so it's ironic that if you take garbage time away, the Jacksonville Jaguars (and divisional rival Houston Texans) come out as two teams most likely to improve in 2018.

» More...

11 comments, Last at 20 Feb 2018, 6:13pm by dmstorm22

15 Feb 2018, 12:45pm by Scott Kacsmar

Failed Completions 2017

2017 was indeed The Year of the Failed Completion. This is the stat where Joe Flacco stands out, but not in a good way. Also: a most conservative rookie, weird splits for Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers, and more Jarvis Landry shortcomings.

» More...

17 comments, Last at 21 Feb 2018, 10:13am by garion333

14 Feb 2018, 01:30pm by Charles McDonald

Futures: Roquan Smith

In the pass-happy world of the NFL in 2018, it takes a very special player to make an impact as an inside linebacker. The reigning Butkus Award winner is just such a player. Charles McDonald shows why.

» More...

12 comments, Last at 17 Feb 2018, 12:46pm by Al13

13 Feb 2018, 12:20pm by Vincent Verhei

2017 Football Outsiders Awards

It's time for you, the readers, to look at the players, the coaches, the teams, and the commercials of the past year, and tell us which were best, and which were worst. Dilly Dilly indeed.

» More...

54 comments, Last at 20 Feb 2018, 9:17am by The Ninjalectual

12 Feb 2018, 02:18pm by Guest

Rushing Success and Play-Action Passing

Conventional wisdom says you need a strong running game to get the most out of play-action passing. Guest columnist Ben Baldwin breaks down the numbers to find if that's really true.

» More...

31 comments, Last at 20 Feb 2018, 2:01pm by Pat

09 Feb 2018, 04:40pm by Cale Clinton

The Week In Quotes: February 9, 2018

The Super Bowl, of course, dominated conversation this week, but people were also talking baseball, engagements, and asparagus.

» More...

22 comments, Last at 16 Feb 2018, 6:10pm by LionInAZ

08 Feb 2018, 03:18pm by Scott Kacsmar

Postseason QB Stats: 2017 Update

Nick Foles channeled his inner Joe Montana and Jeff Hostetler for one of the best, most improbable playoff runs of the DVOA era. Tom Brady also saw his best postseason not result in a ring, which has been common in his career.

» More...

22 comments, Last at 10 Feb 2018, 10:33pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

07 Feb 2018, 11:02am by Bryan Knowles and Andrew Potter

Scramble for the Ball: Parting is Such Sweet Sorrow

Bryan and Andrew say good-bye to the 2017 season by looking back at the staff's preseason predictions. Also: a record-setting Prop Bets result!

» More...

19 comments, Last at 12 Feb 2018, 10:29am by idembsky

06 Feb 2018, 01:33pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Projecting Top 10 Picks in 2019 NFL Draft

Is this way too early and a little ridiculous? Yes! Did I do it anyway when the ESPN editors asked? Yes! On average, two playoff teams will decline enough to pick in the top 10 of the following draft, and I think you can guess which two playoff teams got into the article.

» More...

2 comments, Last at 08 Feb 2018, 12:02am by Chip

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