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2017 KUBIAK vs. ADP: The Underrated

Who are the players who have been going off the boards too late in fantasy drafts this summer? And why do so many of them play in Detroit?

Recent Features

Football Outsiders Features

1987 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

Let's go back in time 30 years, when a four-week player strike threw the entire league into turmoil. We've got advanced stats for both the regular players and the strikebreakers, plus a San Francisco 49ers team that led the league in both offense and defense but imploded in one of the greatest upsets in NFL postseason history.

109 comments, Last Comment at 28 May 2017, 10:37pm by The Ninjalectual

Mar 13, 2017 02:10pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Film Room: Receiving Backs in Super Bowl LI

The Patriots and Falcons each have a couple of high-quality receiving backs, but which defense is more likely to continue to struggle covering running backs in the passing game? Also: the greatness of the wheel route.

7 comments, Last Comment at 07 Feb 2017, 1:41pm by Guest789

Feb 02, 2017 03:09pm by Scott Kacsmar || read all Film Room articles

Word of Muth: Super Bowl Preview

The Falcons and Patriots got to the Super Bowl thanks in part to the excellent play of their offensive lines -- but that doesn't mean they don't have flaws to exploit.

11 comments, Last Comment at 04 Feb 2017, 6:07pm by Andrew Potter

Jan 31, 2017 03:20pm by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

QR Bonus: Keys To Beating New England

It was difficult to find New England's weaknesses this year, but Atlanta's best bet is likely to test the depth of the Patriots secondary.

19 comments, Last Comment at 03 Feb 2017, 3:59pm by nat

Jan 31, 2017 01:46pm GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Audibles: 2017 NFL Draft Day 2

Your Audibles crew discusses the second and third rounds of the 2017 NFL Draft.

45 comments, Last Comment at 03 May 2017, 11:01pm by eagle97a

Apr 29, 2017 04:07am GMT by Andrew Potter || read all Audibles articles

FEI 2016 Final Ratings

In many ways, the National Championship game looked like many of Alabama's wins. In other ways it was like no game they had ever played before.

12 comments, Last Comment at 15 Jan 2017, 5:31pm by mehllageman56

Jan 11, 2017 02:23pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Wearing the Tide Down

The dam never fully broke, but eventually Deshaun Watson and the Clemson offense wore down an incredible Crimson Tide defense because Alabama's offense couldn't stay on the field.

2 comments, Last Comment at 11 Jan 2017, 2:05pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

Jan 10, 2017 09:31pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA National Championship Preview

It's the rematch we all hoped for when Alabama narrowly beat Clemson in last year's National Championship. Can the Tide fend off Deshaun Watson and the Tigers once more?

14 comments, Last Comment at 19 Jan 2017, 4:13am by Amily

Jan 08, 2017 06:57pm by Ian Boyd || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Any Given Sunday: Jaguars Over Titans

Ditch Gus Bradley, then hand the division crown to the Texans while messing with your draft position. That was Jacksonville's plan on Sunday as the Titans stumbled even before Marcus Mariota got hurt.

2 comments, Last Comment at 29 Dec 2016, 4:39am by bubqr

Dec 27, 2016 02:17pm GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Week In Quotes: August 18, 2017

In the world of NFL quotes, Marshawn Lynch is the gift that keeps on giving. Plus: some great plays in practice, some terrible plays in practice, wicked rhymes, and Guy Fieri.

11 comments, Last Comment at 22 Aug 2017, 7:14pm by ThePride87

Aug 18, 2017 03:16am by Guest || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble: 2017 South Over/Unders

In honor of Thursday night's nationally televised Jags-Bucs contest, Scramble takes on the two South divisions. Can Atlanta's late-season surge to greatness continue in 2017?Are the bandwagons in Tennessee and Tampa Bay ready for prime time? And does Houston actually need a quarterback at all?

35 comments, Last Comment at 8:06am by t.d.

Aug 16, 2017 06:33pm by Bryan Knowles and Andrew Potter || read all Scramble articles

DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

Odds to Make 2017 Playoffs
1NE87.5% 6OAK50.4% 11NYG39.9%
2PIT77.9% 7CAR46.4% 12ARI39.4%
3SEA63.7% 8TEN43.0% 13BAL38.0%
4GB59.8% 9KC42.5% 14LACH35.2%
5DAL54.7% 10ATL41.9% 15IND35.1%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!from Football Outsiders Almanac 2017

Most Recent Articles

22 Aug 2017, 06:15pm by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: The 10 Least Accurate QBs of 2016

The second part in our series for ESPN Insider looks at the bottom 10 quarterbacks in C%+ (passing plus-minus as a rate stat) in 2016. Cam Newton had the third-lowest C%+ of any quarterback with at least 400 attempts since 2006.

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0 comments

22 Aug 2017, 11:57am by Vincent Verhei

2017 KUBIAK vs. ADP: The Underrated

Who are the players who have been going off the boards too late in fantasy drafts this summer? And why do so many of them play in Detroit?

» More...

9 comments, Last at 12:20am by The Ninjalectual

21 Aug 2017, 01:38pm by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: Top 10 QBs in Adjusted Completion Rate

In the first part of a week-long series on ESPN Insider, we looked at the top 10 quarterbacks in 2016 in C%+ (passing-plus minus as a rate stat). Sam Bradford may have set the single-season record for completion percentage, but he only ranked third in C%+ when adjusting for down-and-distance.

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1 comment, Last at 22 Aug 2017, 2:39pm by BlueStarDude

21 Aug 2017, 08:49am by Vincent Verhei

ESPN: Most Likely Teams to Go Worst to First

Hey, it's a special rare NON-INSIDER piece of FO content at ESPN.com, taking a look at the eight teams that finished in last place in 2016 and looking at which of those teams are most likely to finish first in 2017. If you've read FOA 2017, you know Carolina is No. 1, but the the 2016 last-place team with the second-highest chance of winning its division is different from the team with the second-highest chance of making the playoffs.

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9 comments, Last at 22 Aug 2017, 11:35pm by MilkmanDanimal

18 Aug 2017, 03:16am by Guest

The Week In Quotes: August 18, 2017

In the world of NFL quotes, Marshawn Lynch is the gift that keeps on giving. Plus: some great plays in practice, some terrible plays in practice, wicked rhymes, and Guy Fieri.

» More...

11 comments, Last at 22 Aug 2017, 7:14pm by ThePride87

16 Aug 2017, 06:33pm by Bryan Knowles and Andrew Potter

Scramble: 2017 South Over/Unders

In honor of Thursday night's nationally televised Jags-Bucs contest, Scramble takes on the two South divisions. Can Atlanta's late-season surge to greatness continue in 2017?Are the bandwagons in Tennessee and Tampa Bay ready for prime time? And does Houston actually need a quarterback at all?

» More...

35 comments, Last at 8:06am by t.d.

16 Aug 2017, 05:47pm by Vincent Verhei

FOA 2017 MEDIA: Locked on Jets

If you enjoyed my run on Locked on Seahawks last season, you should check out my recent appearance on Locked on Jets with John Butchko. We discuss the New York Jets chapter of Football Outsiders Almanac 2017, including thoughts on the team's weaknesses (many!) and strengths (more than you might think).

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16 Aug 2017, 05:42pm by Vincent Verhei

FOA 2017 MEDIA: AFC North with Bill Barnwell

I hooked up with FO alumnus Bill Barnwell on his ESPN podcast to discuss the Football Outsiders Almanac 2017 chapters of the AFC North. Find out just how good Pittsburgh can be this year; why we're lower on Baltimore and higher on Cincinnati than most; and just how bad the Browns were in 2016.

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15 Aug 2017, 01:34am by Vincent Verhei

2017 KUBIAK vs. ADP: The Overrated

We're back again with our annual look at which players are going too high in fantasy drafts. The lesson this year: watch out for running backs who were not in the NFL last season.

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11 comments, Last at 17 Aug 2017, 6:14pm by Tom Gower

14 Aug 2017, 05:44pm by Scott Kacsmar

DVOA by Routes: Defenses

Our final part to the 2016 pass route study focuses on defenses. Which routes have the best trade-off between throwing touchdowns and limiting interceptions? We also offer some thoughts on the evolution and future of advanced stats analysis.

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2 comments, Last at 15 Aug 2017, 9:21am by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

14 Aug 2017, 06:02am by Guest

The Week In Quotes: August 14, 2017

This week: Free beer, barbecue, fist fights, Lavar Ball, unemployed quarterbacks, and creepy wax statues. Plus: DANCE PARTY!!!

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10 comments, Last at 17 Aug 2017, 3:13pm by The Ninjalectual

11 Aug 2017, 10:31am by Aaron Schatz

Aaron Schatz on Sports-Casters Podcast

Hey kids, more podcasts! I talk to the Sports-Casters podcast here about Football Outsiders Almanac 2017, Cam Newton's performance, whether the Bills can ever make the playoffs, and why FO has not gone to a subscription content model. Sorry for the poor audio quality, I had to do the interview from the car because my schedule's been a bit packed this week.

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