Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

Football Outsiders Features

Week 16 DVOA Ratings

Seattle surges but still trails New England (weighted DVOA) and Denver (total DVOA). Plus: Can Big Ben break the long dominance of Brady-Manning-Brees in our passing DYAR stats?

133 comments, Last Comment at 8:59am by Mr Shush

Dec 23, 2014 06:38pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Word of Muth: Rams Wrap-Up

With the season almost through, Ben Muth takes one final look at the St. Louis line. There's hope for the future here, but some serious questions will need to be answered in the offseason.

5 comments, Last Comment at 20 Dec 2014, 2:16pm by shailandesman

Dec 18, 2014 10:19am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

Week 16 Quick Reads

The advanced numbers confirm what most already knew: Odell Beckham, Jr., is wrapping up one of the great rookie seasons of all time.

119 comments, Last Comment at 24 Dec 2014, 12:43pm by Raiderfan

Dec 22, 2014 06:26pm GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Film Room: Chris Harris

Is Harris one of the league's top cover corners, or a product of the system in which he plays? Cian Fahey says the answer lies somewhere in the middle.

25 comments, Last Comment at 20 Dec 2014, 2:12am by arias

Dec 18, 2014 11:49am by Cian Fahey || read all Film Room articles

Audibles at the Line: Week 16

The FO crew takes on the top contenders as the playoff field rounds into shape. Plus: the great Drew Brees debate of 2014.

225 comments, Last Comment at 24 Dec 2014, 6:22pm by chemical burn

Dec 22, 2014 10:25am GMT by Andrew Potter || read all Audibles articles

FEI Week 15: Tiebreakers

Brian Fremeau dives into the TCU vs. Baylor debate for the last time -- this season.

1 comment, Last Comment at 13 Dec 2014, 12:14pm by DFJinPgh

Dec 10, 2014 01:51pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: The First Final Four

All of the Playoff contenders won this week, but the Buckeyes jumped the Horned Frogs to make the Playoff cut. Do the advanced statistics agree with the Committee's decision?

18 comments, Last Comment at 09 Dec 2014, 4:28pm by Pat

Dec 08, 2014 12:16pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: Bowl Spectacular Part II

The bowl games heat up with ranked teams facing one another, including matchups between Louisville-Georgia, Nebraska-USC, and Clemson-Oklahoma.

0 comments

Dec 26, 2014 04:42pm by Chad Peltier || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

VN: The 2014 College Receiver Crop

With Amari Cooper getting Heisman hype and Championship Weekend upon us, Bill Connelly takes a look at which college wideouts, tight ends, and pass-catching running backs have been the most successful in 2014.

2 comments, Last Comment at 05 Dec 2014, 7:11pm by Kal

Dec 05, 2014 04:14pm by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Any Given Sunday: Texans Over Ravens

J.J. Watt showed once again that he's the best defensive player in football. While we all turn down for Watt, though, that doesn't make him the MVP.

6 comments, Last Comment at 26 Dec 2014, 3:06pm by LionInAZ

Dec 23, 2014 02:01pm GMT by Andrew Healy || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Week In Quotes: December 26, 2014

Christmas Day has come and gone, but the holiday spirit is still running wild in this edition of TWIQ.

5 comments, Last Comment at 26 Dec 2014, 6:31pm by Athelas

Dec 26, 2014 10:43am by Rory Hickey || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble for the Ball: A Representative Pro Bowl Roster

Mike and Tom try to work out a Pro Bowl roster where every team in the NFL is represented. This year is harder than most!

32 comments, Last Comment at 26 Dec 2014, 8:55pm by Theo

Dec 24, 2014 01:31pm by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower || read all Scramble articles

Futures: UCLA QB Brett Hundley

Beyond the immediate considerations of Hundley's potential, the quarterback's tape raises larger questions about the position.

0 comments

Dec 20, 2014 12:11pm by Matt Waldman || read all Futures articles

Innovative Statistics

DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

Odds to Win Super Bowl
1NE25.9% 6PIT3.7% 11ATL1.2%
2SEA20.9% 7DET3.5% 12ARI0.6%
3DEN17.2% 8BAL2.0% 13SD0.3%
4GB14.5% 9IND1.6% 14CAR0.2%
5DAL6.8% 10CIN1.5% 15HOU/KC< 0.1%
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2014 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1DEN29.2% 1NE35.8%
2SEA28.9% 2SEA29.1%
3NE24.9% 3DEN24.3%
4GB22.5% 4GB23.6%
5BAL22.2% 5BAL22.0%
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2014 OFFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1GB23.0% 1PIT24.1%
2PIT23.0% 2GB24.1%
3DEN20.0% 3NE21.0%
4SEA17.8% 4DAL16.9%
5DAL16.4% 5SEA16.1%
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2014 DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1DET-15.5% 1BUF-17.3%
2BUF-14.4% 2SEA-15.6%
3DEN-13.6% 3DEN-14.5%
4SEA-13.4% 4SF-14.2%
5SF-12.1% 5DET-13.3%
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2014 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1BAL8.1% 1BAL11.2%
2PHI7.7% 2KC8.3%
3BUF6.3% 3CIN7.8%
4KC6.3% 4PHI7.3%
5CIN6.0% 5NE6.8%
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QUARTERBACKS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1B.RoethlisbergerPIT1,436 1T.RomoDAL29.5%
2P.ManningDEN1,385 2A.RodgersGB28.3%
3A.RodgersGB1,362 3B.RoethlisbergerPIT25.8%
4D.BreesNO1,250 4P.ManningDEN25.7%
5T.BradyNE1,172 5D.AndersonCAR24.8%
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RUNNING BACKS 2014

Rush DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
Rush DVOA Leaders
(Value per Play)
Rec DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
1M.LynchSEA356 1M.LynchSEA24.4% 1L.BellPIT270
2D.MurrayDAL352 2J.CharlesKC20.5% 2M.ForteCHI169
3J.CharlesKC239 3L.MillerMIA14.8% 3A.BradshawIND152
4L.BellPIT215 4D.MurrayDAL14.1% 4B.CunninghamSTL110
5L.MillerMIA200 5J.HillCIN13.6% 5P.ThomasNO108
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WIDE RECEIVERS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1A.BrownPIT511 1K.StillsNO32.6%
2E.SandersDEN457 2O.BeckhamNYG31.9%
3J.NelsonGB450 3R.CobbGB31.4%
4R.CobbGB419 4E.SandersDEN30.5%
5D.BryantDAL404 5T.WilliamsDAL30.2%
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TIGHT ENDS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1R.GronkowskiNE236 1T.WrightNE36.8%
2A.GatesSD192 2D.AllenIND24.1%
3G.OlsenCAR163 3A.GatesSD23.7%
4T.KelceKC155 4J.ThomasDEN23.7%
5J.ThomasDEN136 5N.PaulWAS23.6%
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Most Recent Articles

26 Dec 2014, 04:42pm by Chad Peltier

SDA: Bowl Spectacular Part II

The bowl games heat up with ranked teams facing one another, including matchups between Louisville-Georgia, Nebraska-USC, and Clemson-Oklahoma.

» More...

0 comments

26 Dec 2014, 04:11pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 17 Game Previews

The FO crew previews three games in the final week of the season with critical playoff implications: Bengals-Steelers, Lions-Packers, and Panthers-Falcons.

» More...

7 comments, Last at 2:10am by RickD

26 Dec 2014, 10:43am by Rory Hickey

The Week In Quotes: December 26, 2014

Christmas Day has come and gone, but the holiday spirit is still running wild in this edition of TWIQ.

» More...

5 comments, Last at 26 Dec 2014, 6:31pm by Athelas

24 Dec 2014, 01:31pm by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower

Scramble for the Ball: A Representative Pro Bowl Roster

Mike and Tom try to work out a Pro Bowl roster where every team in the NFL is represented. This year is harder than most!

» More...

32 comments, Last at 26 Dec 2014, 8:55pm by Theo

24 Dec 2014, 03:14am by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: Week 17 Fantasy Matchups

This is probably the week to avoid fantasy players from the Patriots and Colts with those teams locked into their playoff seed. Some of our favorite Week 17 matchups for salary-cap leagues include Cam Newton, Teddy Bridgewater, Justin Forsett and Terrance Williams.

» More...

0 comments

23 Dec 2014, 06:38pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 16 DVOA Ratings

Seattle surges but still trails New England (weighted DVOA) and Denver (total DVOA). Plus: Can Big Ben break the long dominance of Brady-Manning-Brees in our passing DYAR stats?

» More...

133 comments, Last at 8:59am by Mr Shush

23 Dec 2014, 03:01pm by Scott Kacsmar

Clutch Encounters: Week 16

The Bengals win in prime time. Also: milestone for Rivers, Rex's last stand, the bizarre NFC South, and why didn't Chip Kelly let Washington score?

» More...

12 comments, Last at 27 Dec 2014, 12:17am by spujr

23 Dec 2014, 02:01pm by Andrew Healy

Any Given Sunday: Texans Over Ravens

J.J. Watt showed once again that he's the best defensive player in football. While we all turn down for Watt, though, that doesn't make him the MVP.

» More...

6 comments, Last at 26 Dec 2014, 3:06pm by LionInAZ

22 Dec 2014, 06:26pm by Vincent Verhei

Week 16 Quick Reads

The advanced numbers confirm what most already knew: Odell Beckham, Jr., is wrapping up one of the great rookie seasons of all time.

» More...

119 comments, Last at 24 Dec 2014, 12:43pm by Raiderfan

22 Dec 2014, 10:25am by Andrew Potter

Audibles at the Line: Week 16

The FO crew takes on the top contenders as the playoff field rounds into shape. Plus: the great Drew Brees debate of 2014.

» More...

225 comments, Last at 24 Dec 2014, 6:22pm by chemical burn

21 Dec 2014, 07:22pm by Scott Kacsmar

Game Preview: DEN-CIN

Maybe the Bengals are a paper tiger, but are they really that bad in prime time games? Is Peyton Manning struggling in Denver's new offense? We detail the Monday night clash.

» More...

17 comments, Last at 23 Dec 2014, 11:02pm by intel_chris

20 Dec 2014, 12:11pm by Matt Waldman

Futures: UCLA QB Brett Hundley

Beyond the immediate considerations of Hundley's potential, the quarterback's tape raises larger questions about the position.

» More...

0 comments

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