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Football Outsiders Features

Week 2 DVOA Ratings

Stomping the Jags leaves Washington No. 2 behind only Denver. But what can we really learn from one big win early in the season, before we are applying opponent adjustments?

75 comments, Last Comment at 18 Sep 2014, 5:43pm by Rick_and_Roll

Sep 16, 2014 06:55pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Word of Muth: Bears Upset 49ers

The Bears got the win and Kyle Long had the block of his dreams, but Ben Muth found plenty of room for improvement in Chicago's offensive line.

15 comments, Last Comment at 20 Sep 2014, 12:06pm by Benzki

Sep 18, 2014 01:56pm by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

Week 2 Quick Reads

How dramatic was Jay Cutler's improvement from the first half to the second against San Francisco?

39 comments, Last Comment at 17 Sep 2014, 1:31pm by TomC

Sep 15, 2014 04:37pm GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Film Room: Philip Rivers

The "blueprint" the Chargers used to beat the Seahawks? It starts with a Pro Bowl quarterback playing at the absolute top of his game.

5 comments, Last Comment at 18 Sep 2014, 6:56pm by gecko85

Sep 18, 2014 09:20am by Cian Fahey || read all Film Room articles

Audibles at the Line: Week 2

Topics this week include the Wilson-Rivers shootout in San Diego, the Bears' ugly comeback in San Francisco, and Jake's first-half a-Locker-lypse in Tennessee.

126 comments, Last Comment at 18 Sep 2014, 4:58pm by nat

Sep 15, 2014 10:05am GMT by Luke McKenna || read all Audibles articles

FEI Week 3: Bulldogs Bog Down

Georgia had a significant field-position and turnover-value advantage over South Carolina, but couldn't convert with the game on the line.

0 comments

Sep 17, 2014 12:20pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Letdown Saturday

A week after big upsets of Stanford and Ohio State, the USC and Virginia Tech themselves fell to less-talented opponents. Georgia also fell to South Carolina after pummeling Clemson in the opener.

0 comments

Sep 15, 2014 02:36pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: Big Tests for Playoff Front Runners

Oklahoma, Florida State, Alabama, Auburn, and LSU all have tough matchups this weekend. Are any at risk of an upset?

3 comments, Last Comment at 18 Sep 2014, 6:03pm by Scott de B.

Sep 18, 2014 02:05pm by Chad Peltier || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Varsity Numbers: Cry Havoc

Bill Connelly takes a look at what we can learn from defensive box score stats and general rates of havoc.

0 comments

Sep 19, 2014 11:25am by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Any Given Sunday: Browns Over Saints

Why have Kenny Vaccaro and the Saints' secondary been such a headache for New Orleans this year?

0 comments

Sep 16, 2014 10:33am GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Week In Quotes: September 19, 2014

Yes, people are still talking about Adrian Peterson, Greg Hardy, and Ray McDonald. But hey, we also get Chip Kelly exchanging pleasantries with reporters.

4 comments, Last Comment at 20 Sep 2014, 1:19am by LionInAZ

Sep 19, 2014 04:17am by Rory Hickey || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble for the Ball: The Best Losers

Tom and Mike perform the ritual "complimenting of the Loser League team names," pile on Marty Mornhinweg, and actually find a scenario where starting Geno Smith is a good idea.

18 comments, Last Comment at 19 Sep 2014, 6:35am by Noah of Arkadia

Sep 17, 2014 08:47am by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower || read all Scramble articles

Futures: Miami RB Duke Johnson

Is Johnson capable of NFL brilliance? Burst will ultimately tell the tale.

0 comments

Sep 19, 2014 04:50pm by Matt Waldman || read all Futures articles

Innovative Statistics

DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

Odds to Make Playoffs Odds to Win Super Bowl Odds to Get No. 1 Pick
1DEN91.7% 1DEN21.7% 1OAK22.8%
2CIN77.6% 2CIN9.4% 2KC17.2%
3PHI70.1% 3SEA8.4% 3JAC11.9%
4SEA69.5% 4CAR6.7% 4NYG11.9%
5CAR66.9% 5PHI6.6% 5TB9.2%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 2

2014 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Forecast)
1DEN46.8% 1DEN29.7%
2WAS40.4% 2SEA19.7%
3BUF33.8% 3NE15.9%
4CIN33.1% 4GB14.1%
5SEA29.2% 5CIN11.6%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 2

2014 OFFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Forecast)
1DEN41.3% 1DEN27.6%
2SEA38.4% 2GB16.7%
3CIN22.6% 3SEA12.3%
4NO22.3% 4SD11.9%
5CLE22.2% 5NO11.9%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 2

2014 DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Forecast)
1WAS-37.8% 1CAR-11.3%
2CAR-26.8% 2WAS-9.8%
3DET-25.2% 3SEA-6.4%
4NE-25.2% 4NE-6.4%
5ARI-22.1% 5ARI-6.2%
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2014 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

Full SeasonDAVE (2014 + Forecast)
1BUF16.8% 1BUF4.5%
2GB8.5% 2NE3.4%
3ARI5.5% 3CLE1.6%
4NO4.6% 4ATL1.3%
5DAL4.5% 5GB1.1%
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QUARTERBACKS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1P.ManningDEN300 1P.ManningDEN62.6%
2M.StaffordDET184 2K.CousinsWAS43.2%
3D.BreesNO158 3R.FitzpatrickHOU34.7%
4A.DaltonCIN157 4A.DaltonCIN29.0%
5J.CutlerCHI153 5C.PalmerARI25.6%
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RUNNING BACKS 2014

Rush DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
Rush DVOA Leaders
(Value per Play)
Rec DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
1D.MurrayDAL87 1M.IngramNO63.4% 1A.BradshawIND63
2M.IngramNO74 2I.CrowellCLE52.1% 2L.BellPIT55
3K.MorenoMIA61 3K.MorenoMIA49.5% 3D.SprolesPHI43
4M.LynchSEA56 4J.ForsettBAL48.3% 4P.ThomasNO30
5J.ForsettBAL46 5J.HillCIN47.4% 5A.SmithATL26
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WIDE RECEIVERS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1R.CobbGB87 1R.CobbGB58.8%
2C.JohnsonDET80 2J.CotcheryCAR49.6%
3A.BrownPIT71 3J.EdelmanNE43.6%
4J.EdelmanNE68 4A.J.GreenCIN43.0%
5J.NelsonGB65 5A.BrownPIT38.4%
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TIGHT ENDS 2014

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1A.GatesSD71 1J.CarlsonARI82.7%
2Z.ErtzPHI60 2Z.ErtzPHI82.6%
3J.GrahamNO59 3A.GatesSD63.8%
4J.ThomasDEN52 4V.DavisSF55.3%
5N.PaulWAS40 5J.ThomasDEN53.6%
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Most Recent Articles

19 Sep 2014, 04:50pm by Matt Waldman

Futures: Miami RB Duke Johnson

Is Johnson capable of NFL brilliance? Burst will ultimately tell the tale.

» More...

0 comments

19 Sep 2014, 11:25am by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Cry Havoc

Bill Connelly takes a look at what we can learn from defensive box score stats and general rates of havoc.

» More...

0 comments

19 Sep 2014, 04:17am by Rory Hickey

The Week In Quotes: September 19, 2014

Yes, people are still talking about Adrian Peterson, Greg Hardy, and Ray McDonald. But hey, we also get Chip Kelly exchanging pleasantries with reporters.

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4 comments, Last at 20 Sep 2014, 1:19am by LionInAZ

18 Sep 2014, 05:05pm by Chad Peltier

SDA: Big Tests for Playoff Front Runners

Oklahoma, Florida State, Alabama, Auburn, and LSU all have tough matchups this weekend. Are any at risk of an upset?

» More...

3 comments, Last at 18 Sep 2014, 9:03pm by Scott de B.

18 Sep 2014, 01:56pm by Ben Muth

Word of Muth: Bears Upset 49ers

The Bears got the win and Kyle Long had the block of his dreams, but Ben Muth found plenty of room for improvement in Chicago's offensive line.

» More...

15 comments, Last at 20 Sep 2014, 12:06pm by Benzki

18 Sep 2014, 11:00am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Panthers, Bills Can Sustain Success

Today's ESPN Insider feature looks at four surprise 2-0 teams. Carolina and Buffalo look most likely to continue their success into the playoffs; Houston hasn't actually played that well and Arizona still has hellish division competition.

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1 comment, Last at 20 Sep 2014, 4:29am by Topas

18 Sep 2014, 09:20am by Cian Fahey

Film Room: Philip Rivers

The "blueprint" the Chargers used to beat the Seahawks? It starts with a Pro Bowl quarterback playing at the absolute top of his game.

» More...

5 comments, Last at 18 Sep 2014, 6:56pm by gecko85

18 Sep 2014, 09:17am by Brian Fremeau

ESPN: Wreaking Poll Havoc

Kansas State and three other teams poised to ruin the College Football Playoff hopes of contenders.

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0 comments

17 Sep 2014, 12:20pm by Brian Fremeau

FEI Week 3: Bulldogs Bog Down

Georgia had a significant field-position and turnover-value advantage over South Carolina, but couldn't convert with the game on the line.

» More...

0 comments

17 Sep 2014, 11:59am by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: Week 3 Fantasy Matchups

Need advice on which players to target in salary-cap leagues, or sit/start advice for your regular league? Here are our picks for Week 3, including Ryan Tannehill and Cordarrelle Patterson.

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1 comment, Last at 21 Sep 2014, 12:10am by james parrott

17 Sep 2014, 11:47am by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower

Scramble for the Ball: The Best Losers

Tom and Mike perform the ritual "complimenting of the Loser League team names," pile on Marty Mornhinweg, and actually find a scenario where starting Geno Smith is a good idea.

» More...

18 comments, Last at 19 Sep 2014, 9:35am by Noah of Arkadia

16 Sep 2014, 06:55pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 2 DVOA Ratings

Stomping the Jags leaves Washington No. 2 behind only Denver. But what can we really learn from one big win early in the season, before we are applying opponent adjustments?

» More...

75 comments, Last at 18 Sep 2014, 5:43pm by Rick_and_Roll

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