25 Jul 2004, 11:07am by Aaron Schatz
Or, as the article was originally titled, Ricky Williams is Pretty Much Screwed. Perhaps Ricky knew this and it helped him make his decision. Here's the article we wrote for the new book Pro Football Forecast, when everyone thought Ricky was coming back for 2004 and wanted to know if he would return to his 2002 performance level. Read and learn something you didn't know about Eric Dickerson -- and something Ravens fans won't want to know about Jamal Lewis. Plus, some comments on possible Ricky replacements, and the picture that clearly shows why Miami is in trouble.
2 comments, Last at 30 Jul 2009, 9:18am by Reliable but
21 Jul 2004, 11:14am by Aaron Schatz
From July 2004, here's our look at what to expect after the renewed enforcement of illegal contact, along with a 2005 update on where we were right, and where we were wrong. Hint: The prediction of one veteran receiver's first 1,000-yard season was right on the money.
8 comments, Last at 13 Jun 2005, 5:33pm by Jeff F
21 Jul 2004, 06:07am by admin
With apologies to John Madden, we actually wrote some of a book. A big announcement about Brassey's Pro Football Forecast, a combined effort of Football Outsiders and Football Project that will be appearing in bookstores this preseason. Plus, a few other site-related notes, including the names of the winners of the Football Outsiders Offseason Contest.
21 Jul 2004, 02:59am by Al & Aaron
Part II of our look at AFC over-under lines. This week, learn who might be the worst kicker of all time, why Oakland has a very bad dentist, and Al's pick for sleeper team and sleeper running back. Plus, who will win the most mediocre division in football, the AFC North? And a new cartoon from Jason Beattie shows that Drew Bledsoe has been hit in the head one too many times.
14 Jul 2004, 11:25am by Al & Aaron
Scramble is back! Al and Aaron (sitting in for a busy Ian) debate the 2004 over-under lines and predict which teams are headed up and down this season. Learn the horrible secret about Baltimore, the hidden advantage of the AFC East, and the reason why Hanukkah will be a cause for celebration in Denver this year. Plus a new cartoon from Jason Beattie.
12 Jul 2004, 05:43am by admin
Pete Prisco of CBS Sportsline made his picks for the top 50 players in the NFL. Now, the Football Outsiders team discusses who should have been higher, who should have been lower, and who Prisco missed completely. The result: Our own first annual top 50 list. Guaranteed to start a thousand arguments!
2 comments, Last at 15 Nov 2010, 9:23pm by hero
09 Jul 2004, 01:05pm by Michael David Smith
Only four teams that made the playoffs in 2003 had made the playoffs the year before. So why is there so much agreement on the newstands when it comes to the 2004 forecast? Michael David Smith has a closer look at five magazines that want your seven dollars.
08 Jul 2004, 02:00am by Aaron Schatz
It started as an article about Terrell Owens moving to the Eagles. Look closer, however, and an interesting pattern emerges. Marvin Harrison, Eric Moulds, Amani Toomer, Keyshawn Johnson, Owens: all of them declined in 2003. What is in store for the greatest wide receiver draft class of all time as they enter their ninth seasons in the NFL?
22 Jun 2004, 11:07am by Aaron Schatz
The Green Bay Packers are one of the teams at the forefront of using statistical analysis to improve on-field performance, and the man who leads that effort is Director of Research and Development Mike Eayrs. Aaron recently had a chance to ask him a few questions about his career and the work he does with the Packers.
21 Jun 2004, 02:06am by Michael David Smith
Ladies and gentlemen, start your arguments. Instead of a list of the best ever, Michael David Smith traces the history of football's premier position with a timeline of the best signal-callers. Find out why Otto Graham, Brett Favre, and Y.A. Tittle are here... while John Elway and Joe Namath are not.