Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

04 Jan 2005, 02:13am by Aaron Schatz

Final 2004 Team Efficiency Ratings

New England ranks as the top team of 2004 according to the final Football Outsiders DVOA ratings, by the slimmest of margins over both Pittsburgh and Indianapolis. What about the Philadelphia Eagles, who led these ratings for much of the season but have set an NFL record for most apathetic performance over two straight losses? In his weekly commentary, Aaron explores the idea that the Eagles began to fall apart before they sat their starters in Week 16.

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1 comment, Last at 10 Apr 2006, 2:33pm by cari arneson

03 Jan 2005, 06:11pm by Russell Levine

Confessions of a Football Junkie: BCS Me ASAP

Coming off a 72-hour football bender and halfway through the BCS, Russell checks in with a slew of bowl observations. Should Dolphins fans be worried about Nick Saban? Why is Bobby Petrino still the Louisville coach? Will Russell actually give Michigan coach Lloyd Carr the Mike Martz Award? Plus, a stunning admission from the author -- he's OK with the BCS.

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1 comment, Last at 05 Dec 2006, 3:38pm by Cat In The Hat

31 Dec 2004, 12:43pm by

Seventh Day Adventure: Bowl Spectacular, Part II

The first season of our college column Seventh Day Adventure draws to a close, as Vinny and Russell weigh in with their opinions on the bowl games that actually matter. They also discuss the Music City Bowl. Use this thread to discuss the big BCS games all weekend.

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30 Dec 2004, 12:17pm by scramble

Scramble for the Ball: A Series of Unfortunate Games

With a schedule full of meaningless games on tap this week, Al and Vivek do what they do best -- talk about how awful the Jets and Giants are. Plus, the Scramble Mailbag, a Loser League Update, the final results of the Scramble Survivor League, Best Bets, and the Keep Choppin' Wood Award. This is also the place for fantasy football discussion and questions if your league is crazy enough to count Week 17.

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30 Dec 2004, 12:10am by Aaron Schatz

VOA Mailbag

It's time for another edition of our mailbag, where Aaron answers your questions related to VOA and other statistics from Football Outsiders. What does "variance" represent, and why does it think New Orleans and Jacksonville are the most consistent teams in the NFL? Is "first downs per touch" a valuable stat? Was Philadelphia's offense really that bad last season without Terrell Owens? Which quarterback is set to be the Drew Brees of 2005? Plus, the results from recent seasons when playoff teams rested their starters in the final game might surprise you.

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1 comment, Last at 29 Dec 2005, 2:35pm by Miles

30 Dec 2004, 12:10am by Aaron Schatz

VOA Mailbag

It's time for another edition of our mailbag, where Aaron answers your questions related to VOA and other statistics from Football Outsiders. What does "variance" represent, and why does it think New Orleans and Jacksonville are the most consistent teams in the NFL? Is "first downs per touch" a valuable stat? Was Philadelphia's offense really that bad last season without Terrell Owens? Which quarterback is set to be the Drew Brees of 2005? Plus, the results from recent seasons when playoff teams rested their starters in the final game might surprise you.

» More...

1 comment, Last at 29 Dec 2005, 2:35pm by Miles

29 Dec 2004, 11:19am by Michael David Smith

Every Free Agent Counts

You know Edgerrin James and Drew Brees and Shaun Alexander. But which free agents who don't get much attention will make a splash in 2005? Find out this week in Every Play Counts.

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28 Dec 2004, 03:32pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 16 DVOA Ratings

Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 16, along with Aaron's usual commentary for the math-o-phobic. Indianapolis moves into the top spot this week, but the top four teams are all bunched up together, and an unprecedented "sit the starters" effect is about to muck things up completely. Aaron discusses that problem, the continued rise of Buffalo, the unexpected rise of Minnesota, and the best and worst DVOA games of the season.

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27 Dec 2004, 06:53pm by Russell Levine

Confessions of a Football Junkie: Holiday Feast?

The holiday weekend was supposed to be a four-day NFL festival, but without flexible scheduling, a number of the matchups fell short. Russell breaks down all the NFL developments, plus offers his commentary on the AP's decison to pull out of the BCS, reprinted from the New York Sun.

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4 comments, Last at 26 Mar 2007, 10:20pm by 2000 740il bmw vehicle

24 Dec 2004, 12:34pm by Aaron Schatz

Indecision 2004: Race from the NFC Playoffs

Disappointing lawyers from Denver to Buffalo, the U.S. Supreme Court yesterday ordered that the NFL must indeed allow six NFC teams in the playoffs. So if we're going to be stuck with these teams, we might as well figure out which ones are going to sneak in. Aaron tries to figure out which team will wake up tomorrow morning to find a shiny new NFC North division title in its stocking, and also previews Sunday games involving the four NFC South squads.

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