Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

08 Sep 2004, 12:51am by admin

2004 Season Predictions

Every season in the NFL, teams come from nowhere to make the playoffs and other teams collapse just as suddenly. And yet everyone who writes about football makes predictions before the season even though there is almost zero chance of picking the correct Super Bowl teams. Who are we to resist such peer pressure? Each member of the Football Outsiders staff picks 12 playoff teams, a Super Bowl matchup, and a few other surprises for 2004. Oh, and drunken monkeys love Bill Parcells.

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08 Sep 2004, 12:31am by Aaron Schatz

DVOA Re-introduced and Refined

DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) is the main statistic that Football Outsiders uses to rate both teams and players, but I know it can get confusing. You constantly see percentages and those four letters and have no idea what the heck we are talking about because you just discovered Football Outsiders yesterday. So for all those who have just started reading the site in the last couple of months, I wanted to give another explanation of how it works and why DVOA is better than standard NFL statistics. Plus, we've made various improvements to our numbers starting today, and those changes are described here.

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4 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2007, 8:54am by honda scooter 250cc

08 Sep 2004, 12:12am by Benjy Rose

Everything Old is New Again

In which our fearless programmer explains the new site, how to find content, how to contribute to the discussions, and other detritus.

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07 Sep 2004, 10:28am by Russell Levine

Confessions of a Football Junkie: Finally, Football

Russell looks back on bad coaching decisions of college football's first weekend and looks forward to the NFL season with some comments on why Sunday Ticket isn't on your cable system. Plus, Howard Schnellenberger is alive! (And still saying stupid things.)

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1 comment, Last at 26 Jul 2005, 5:15pm by Rob

07 Sep 2004, 09:38am by Jason Beattie

Loser League 2004 Preview

Our local expert on losers offers some tips on the best players to take whether you are picking a team for the Open Loser League Challenge or just doing your own weekly-draft Loser League with friends.

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7 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2007, 7:18am by benz gl450 mercedes review

02 Sep 2004, 12:04pm by

Seventh Day Adventure: Labor Day Weekend

For football fans, there is no rest on the Seventh Day. With apologies to Scramble for the Ball, PTI, and anyone else we may have ripped off, we present our newest weekly column, Seventh Day Adventure. Each Thursday, Russell (you know him from Confessions of a Football Junkie) and Vinny (he's new) will break down the week's biggest college football games in that special Football Outsiders style. No, not the math-heavy Football Outsiders style, the acerbic Football Outsiders style. We have two styles, much like J. Edgar Hoover.

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01 Sep 2004, 07:02am by Aaron Schatz

Empty Backfield

When Ricky Williams retired last month, it was thought to be a massive blow to the Miami Dolphins. It was, but only emotionally. The team on the field might actually be better. In this article from Slate.com, Aaron explains why the star running back is the most overrated player in football and makes the case for running back by committee.

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01 Sep 2004, 04:18am by Aaron Schatz

DVOA Projections Mailbag

In which many of the questions posed by readers about the 2004 DVOA projections are answered in one fell swoop. (What the heck is a "fell swoop" anyway? Can you have two fell swoops?)

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01 Sep 2004, 04:18am by Aaron Schatz

DVOA Projections Mailbag

In which many of the questions posed by readers about the 2004 DVOA projections are answered in one fell swoop. (What the heck is a "fell swoop" anyway? Can you have two fell swoops?)

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31 Aug 2004, 01:42pm by Aaron Schatz

2004 DVOA Projections

Long awaited, never duplicated, here are the 2004 Football Outsiders DVOA projections based on complicated formulas that take into account everything from red zone performance to recent drafts to tenure of coordinators. If they prove accurate, the 2004 equivalent of the 2003 Panthers and 2001 Bears/Patriots will be the New York Jets.

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