Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

30 Dec 2004, 12:10am by Aaron Schatz

VOA Mailbag

It's time for another edition of our mailbag, where Aaron answers your questions related to VOA and other statistics from Football Outsiders. What does "variance" represent, and why does it think New Orleans and Jacksonville are the most consistent teams in the NFL? Is "first downs per touch" a valuable stat? Was Philadelphia's offense really that bad last season without Terrell Owens? Which quarterback is set to be the Drew Brees of 2005? Plus, the results from recent seasons when playoff teams rested their starters in the final game might surprise you.

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1 comment, Last at 29 Dec 2005, 2:35pm by Miles

29 Dec 2004, 11:19am by Michael David Smith

Every Free Agent Counts

You know Edgerrin James and Drew Brees and Shaun Alexander. But which free agents who don't get much attention will make a splash in 2005? Find out this week in Every Play Counts.

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28 Dec 2004, 03:32pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 16 DVOA Ratings

Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 16, along with Aaron's usual commentary for the math-o-phobic. Indianapolis moves into the top spot this week, but the top four teams are all bunched up together, and an unprecedented "sit the starters" effect is about to muck things up completely. Aaron discusses that problem, the continued rise of Buffalo, the unexpected rise of Minnesota, and the best and worst DVOA games of the season.

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27 Dec 2004, 06:53pm by Russell Levine

Confessions of a Football Junkie: Holiday Feast?

The holiday weekend was supposed to be a four-day NFL festival, but without flexible scheduling, a number of the matchups fell short. Russell breaks down all the NFL developments, plus offers his commentary on the AP's decison to pull out of the BCS, reprinted from the New York Sun.

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4 comments, Last at 26 Mar 2007, 10:20pm by 2000 740il bmw vehicle

24 Dec 2004, 12:34pm by Aaron Schatz

Indecision 2004: Race from the NFC Playoffs

Disappointing lawyers from Denver to Buffalo, the U.S. Supreme Court yesterday ordered that the NFL must indeed allow six NFC teams in the playoffs. So if we're going to be stuck with these teams, we might as well figure out which ones are going to sneak in. Aaron tries to figure out which team will wake up tomorrow morning to find a shiny new NFC North division title in its stocking, and also previews Sunday games involving the four NFC South squads.

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23 Dec 2004, 05:49pm by

Seventh Day Adventure: Bowl Spectacular

College football bowl season is upon us (the lame part of it, anyway) and Seventh Day Adventure is back with the first of a two-part bowl-season spectacular. And really, what's more spectacular than the Continental Tire Bowl? Or a not-quite-New-Year's trip to Boise?

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23 Dec 2004, 12:31pm by scramble

Scramble for the Ball: Indoor Fireworks Still Burn Your Fingers

With only two weeks left in the regular season, Al and Vivek revisit their playoff predictions once again. Plus, a fantasy football championship game edition of the Scramble Mailbag where the Scramblers attempt to figure out whether Brett Favre really does struggle playing indoors. Plus, Best Bets, a Loser League Update, and a gift for the 13th day of Christmas -- the Keep Choppin' Wood Award.

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22 Dec 2004, 11:01pm by Mike Tanier

Marino vs. Manning

There's a lot of talk out there about the Peyton Manning breaking the passing touchdown record, but very little talk about how Dan Marino set it. Michael Tanier compares the two seasons to find out if Manning is guilty of padding his stats -- or if Marino was guilty of padding his. Or neither.

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1 comment, Last at 27 Mar 2007, 9:24am by car cover mercedes

22 Dec 2004, 11:01pm by Mike Tanier

Marino vs. Manning

There's a lot of talk out there about the Peyton Manning breaking the passing touchdown record, but very little talk about how Dan Marino set it. Michael Tanier compares the two seasons to find out if Manning is guilty of padding his stats -- or if Marino was guilty of padding his. Or neither.

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1 comment, Last at 27 Mar 2007, 9:24am by car cover mercedes

22 Dec 2004, 01:37am by Michael David Smith

Every Play Counts: Ogden vs. Freeney

It was a Sunday night matchup of epic proportions, but not the one that matched the MVP against the defensive player of the year. Instead, we focused on a huge left tackle taking on a speedy pass rusher in this week's installment of Every Play Counts.

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1 comment, Last at 07 Sep 2005, 6:49pm by Ted