Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

01 Sep 2004, 04:18am by Aaron Schatz

DVOA Projections Mailbag

In which many of the questions posed by readers about the 2004 DVOA projections are answered in one fell swoop. (What the heck is a "fell swoop" anyway? Can you have two fell swoops?)

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31 Aug 2004, 01:42pm by Aaron Schatz

2004 DVOA Projections

Long awaited, never duplicated, here are the 2004 Football Outsiders DVOA projections based on complicated formulas that take into account everything from red zone performance to recent drafts to tenure of coordinators. If they prove accurate, the 2004 equivalent of the 2003 Panthers and 2001 Bears/Patriots will be the New York Jets.

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31 Aug 2004, 12:54pm by Guest

Guest Column: Strength of Schedule -- A Dynamic Analysis

We're used to seeing strength of schedule listed as the average of last season's records for all 16 opponents. But does that mean anything if last year's opponents were just as good, or bad, as this year's? Anthony Brancato investigates.

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30 Aug 2004, 10:03am by P. Ryan Wilson

Zebras on Parade

Some officials call more penalties than others, as Peter King pointed out last April, but does it make a difference? Do teams score more in games where the officials call more penalties? Does the better team win or lose more often when judged by a flag-happy crew? The newest Football Outsider, Ryan Wilson, is on the case.

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27 Aug 2004, 04:06am by Guest

Guest Column: West Coast Offense Simplified

You hear about it all the time: West Coast Offense. What is it? Who runs it? What's the whole point? Chris Miraglia provides the basics; you provide the discussion.

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1 comment, Last at 13 Mar 2006, 4:11am by PDBIP

26 Aug 2004, 02:02am by Al & Ian

Scramble for the Ball: Scramble Survivor Draft

Need fantasy football advice? Ian and Al to the rescue, as they present their annual Scramble Survivor Draft, drafting six teams apiece and giving their opinions on which players are set for good seasons, and which sleepers will just stay asleep. This year, we promise not to suggest you draft anyone who, for example, has retired. (cue bong hit sound fx)

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25 Aug 2004, 02:38am by Guest

Guest Column: Cornerback Coverage Ratings

Deion Sanders was often criticized for his inability and/or reluctance to make tackles in run support. But like all great cover corners, he wasn't paid to help stop opposing running backs. His job was to keep the other team from throwing to his man, and to deflect or intercept the pass when they dared to challenge him. With this in mind, Michael G. Knight has devised a new statistic that tries to judge a cornerback on more than what he does after his receiver has caught a pass.

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23 Aug 2004, 01:34pm by Russell Levine

Confessions of a Football Junkie: College Couch Potato Guide

Our resident college football expert delivers his guide to the must-see games of the season (as well as the can-miss games of the season). Now even the most NFL-centered, college-clueless football fan (say, Aaron) will know which games are worth watching on Saturdays.

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23 Aug 2004, 12:33pm by Al Bogdan

Can Atlanta Blame 2003's Defensive Problems on Vick's Injury?

The general expectation this season is that the Michael Vick-led Atlanta Falcons will rebound from a terrible 2003. But what really caused the terrible season was the collapse of the Atlanta defense. Is it possible that this defensive decline was connected to Vick's injury, giving Falcon fans hope for 2004? Al asks the question and gets an answer that will surprise you. Actually, it probably won't.

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19 Aug 2004, 12:47pm by Aaron Schatz

Packer Defense vs. Packer Offense

For months now, we've been asked the same question: "How can DVOA rate the Green Bay defense as better than the Green Bay offense?" For months now, we've promised an explanation. Now, in an article originally written for Brassey's Pro Football Forecast 2004, we deliver. Read this article to discover why Green Bay is one of the favorites to take home the Lombardi Trophy on February 6.

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