Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

15 Dec 2003, 06:19am by Michael David Smith

The Era of Unpredictability

This year the Raiders and (probably) the Bucs will miss the playoffs. Michael David Smith asks: Why are we so surprised? In the era of unpredictability, Super Bowl teams regularly miss the playoffs the next year... and often return to the playoffs the year after.

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15 Dec 2003, 06:15am by Russell Levine

Confessions of a Football Junkie: Cell Block

Bring us your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free... and your homeless football columnists seeking asylum. This week Russell Levine moves over from the on-hiatus Football Network website with his weekly comments on pigskin both college and pro. This week: Joe Horn makes a call, Rich McKay makes a move, and Auburn makes a big mistake.

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13 Dec 2003, 01:37pm by Michael David Smith

In Defense of Ken Walter

With his fourth column for us, we hereby shift Michael David Smith from "guest columnist" to "Football Outsider," which means he eventually gets a cartoon of himself drawn by Jason Beattie. Never one to shy from controversy, Mike devotes his first article as "a regular" to defending Patriots punter-turned-ex-punter-turned-punter-again Ken Walter. The secret lies not in the length of punts, but in the length of returns.

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11 Dec 2003, 02:11pm by Al & Ian

Week 15 Scramble/Open Thread

Ian and Al take a look at Super Bowl Futures. Who matches up best with the Patriots? Plus, a dip into the Scramble Mailbag. This is also the thread for a running discussion on all of this weekend's games, so check back often!

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09 Dec 2003, 12:56pm by admin

Week 14 TMQ Discussion Thread

Even though Gregg Easterbrook has left us for the greener pastures of NFL.com, we know that the discussion threads we provided during his short stay at our site were very popular. Therefore we're providing the "unofficial official" discussion thread of Tuesday Morning Quarterback each week. Plus, a new cartoon from Jason Beattie.

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09 Dec 2003, 03:33am by Aaron Schatz

Week 14 Team Efficiency Ratings

This week, Aaron explains why the Patriots aren't number one even though they are number one, why the Chiefs are still riding high off Week 8, and why Jake Plummer may have been even better than Clinton Portis this week. Plus, the introduction of yet another new metric, the FOREST INDEX, that combines DVOA with measures of consistency and late-game ability (now explained for stat geeks on a separate page). Lots of commentary here, and graphs!

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08 Dec 2003, 01:42pm by Michael David Smith

Second Half Success

Is second half success a good omen for next year? Given the 2003 Patriots and Seahawks, we might say yes. Given 32 different teams since 1990, Michael David Smith says, well, maybe not.

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06 Dec 2003, 02:20pm by admin

Guest Column: Cold Weather is Hot Issue in NFL Betting

In this week's Scramble for the Ball Best Bets, Al told you a bit about Anthony Brancato and his gambling statistics that show how warm-weather teams often fail to cover in cold weather December games. Anthony's been kind enough to expand upon that idea for us in this guest column. Fear this, o Dolphin and Ram fans.

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2 comments, Last at 22 Jan 2007, 2:43pm by osisbs

04 Dec 2003, 02:30pm by Al & Ian

Week 14 Scramble/Open Thread

Why are the Miami Dolphins like The Simpsons? Why is the NFC North like Celebrity Poker Showdown? Why is 2003 a repeat (maybe) of 2001? Ian and Al tell all while discussing if potential playoff teams are "Oasis or Mirage." Plus Loser League Update, Best Bets, and the Keep Choppin' Wood Award lands in the Steel City. Talk about Scramble here, and join a running conversation on this weekend's games.

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04 Dec 2003, 01:33pm by Aaron Schatz

Five Showdowns

Five big games this weekend match the first place and second place team in a division. Aaron takes an Outsiders-style look at different trends and tendencies of the teams involved to show you what to look for on Sunday.

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