27 Mar 2017, 02:16pm by Aaron Schatz
It's official. Today at the NFL owners' meetings, the league voted to approve the move of the Raiders to Las Vegas. The vote was 31-1, with Stephen Ross of the Dolphins as the only holdout. Right now they are saying the Raiders will move in 2019, which means two years playing in front of the fans they are leaving behind. I can't imagine that will go well and I hope the promising Raiders don't go all 1995 Cleveland Browns in the upcoming season. I have a feeling they'll need to go to Vegas a year early and play at UNLV's stadium.
56 comments, Last at 29 Mar 2017, 10:24pm by dbostedo
24 Mar 2017, 11:59am by Aaron Schatz
Back before the playoffs, I wrote for ESPN Insider ranking the units of all 12 playoff teams. This article is similar, but looks at the top-10 teams at each unit after free agency. The FO staff had some debate on some of my decisions at QB and WR/TE, where it's difficult to figure out just how to separate a quarterback from his receivers. And can you guess which NFL franchise is No. 1 for one unit but below-average everywhere else?
7 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2017, 3:44pm by Aaron Schatz
13 Mar 2017, 02:10pm by Aaron Schatz
Let's go back in time 30 years, when a four-week player strike threw the entire league into turmoil. We've got advanced stats for both the regular players and the strikebreakers, plus a San Francisco 49ers team that led the league in both offense and defense but imploded in one of the greatest upsets in NFL postseason history.
106 comments, Last at 28 Mar 2017, 12:59pm by Travis
07 Mar 2017, 11:11am by Aaron Schatz
The Super Bowl champions need to boost their pass rush. Defense is also in demand in Miami and New York, while the Bills are looking for receivers to complement Sammy Watkins.
40 comments, Last at 13 Mar 2017, 1:57pm by Anon Ymous
27 Feb 2017, 07:23pm by Aaron Schatz
Antonio Brown is gonna get paid. It's a four-year deal at $68 million, but front-loaded. That's interesting because it should help the Steelers keep Brown all four years. It will be $18.5 million the first three years, $12.5 million in 2020. Brown is the best wide receiver in the game -- you can argue Julio Jones, though I'll still take Brown. Our stats absolutely love him. He was No. 1 in DYAR in both 2014 and 2015, two of the top ten seasons in DYAR history. He had an off-year in 2016 and still finished No. 7. Also, he makes the NFL fun.
11 comments, Last at 28 Mar 2017, 2:33pm by commissionerleaf
27 Feb 2017, 01:56pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's a running thread to discuss announcements on franchise tags. (Click to read more.)
74 comments, Last at 11 Mar 2017, 4:59pm by jackiel
09 Feb 2017, 01:11pm by Aaron Schatz
In case you didn't see this at ESPN or catch him talking about it on Twitter, Brian Burke's model of Hall of Fame chances using neural networks is kind of fascinating. This article talks about the HOF chances of top current players; Matt Ryan basically would have gone from "almost no chance" to "almost assured" with a Super Bowl win. It also discusses which HOF QB and RB are outliers, starting with Floyd Little and the newly elected Terrell Davis. Davis seems to suggest a change in voting trends to make running backs more like quarterbacks.
21 comments, Last at 24 Feb 2017, 9:00pm by Pen
09 Feb 2017, 12:53pm by Aaron Schatz
Inspired by Brian Fremeau's similar article on losers of the NCAA National Championship, here's a look at the best Super Bowl losers of the last 25 years according to DVOA. These ratings include the playoffs and remove "sit the starters" games. You know the 2007 Patriots are No. 1 but No. 2 and No. 3 are probably a surprise. And, honestly... I may need to look into why we have the 2001 Rams so low next time I go to improve the system.
7 comments, Last at 23 Feb 2017, 9:42am by Topas
06 Feb 2017, 03:06pm by Aaron Schatz
The Falcons offense achieves a balance of first-down mastery and third-down misery that may be unprecedented in DVOA history. Plus: James White and Julio Jones are your players of the game.
100 comments, Last at 09 Feb 2017, 2:51pm by ClavisRa
03 Feb 2017, 01:45am by Aaron Schatz
The Falcons try to bring Atlanta its first Lombardi Trophy and its first pro title since 1995. The Brady-Belichick Patriots would mark themselves as the NFL's greatest dynasty with a fifth title. Welcome to Super Bowl LI.
36 comments, Last at 06 Feb 2017, 2:16am by theslothook