01 Jul 2014, 12:32pm by Aaron Schatz
We're almost at July, which means people are going to start wondering when the 2014 KUBIAK fantasy football projections and Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 are going to show up for sale on Football Outsiders. I wanted to let everyone know about this year's delays. Both KUBIAK and the book will be delayed this year. We're hoping it's not for more than a week or two, but I'll be honest, there's a possibility the book won't be ready until early August. KUBIAK, at least, should be ready by July 16. (Click to read more.)
03 Jan 2014, 04:40pm by Aaron Schatz
Hey everybody! Time for the third edition of our Playoff Challenge game. Here's how it works: You need to pick a roster consisting of 2 QB, 4 RB, 4 WR, and 2 TE. However, you must pick one player from each of the 12 playoff teams, no duplicates. Whoever has the highest fantasy score during the playoffs wins a copy of Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 and the 2014 KUBIAK fantasy football projections. Standard fantasy scoring, no PPR. Thanks again to former Scramble writer Ian Dembsky for the idea for this game.
12 Jul 2012, 03:23pm by Aaron Schatz
Football Outsiders Almanac 2012 (PDF version) and the KUBIAK fantasy football spreadsheet are now on sale. Find out more details in this post. Now with samples!
02 Dec 2016, 06:02pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's Off The Charts podcast looks at the top five teams in DVOA, and their strengths and weaknesses. There's a special look at updated playoff odds that account for Thursday night's Minnesota loss as well as Rob Gronkowski's injury. Finally, a deeper look at Sunday's huge Baltimore-Miami game.
02 Dec 2016, 01:57pm by Aaron Schatz
Is the AFC South of 2016 the worst division since the NFL went to a four-team, eight-division setup in 2002? Or does that title belong to the NFC West in one of any number of awful years?
30 Nov 2016, 10:54am by Aaron Schatz
Here's this week's ESPN Insider odds commentary, going through all of the teams still in the playoff race. The Miami at Baltimore game this week is huge and fascinating, given the quality of the Ravens run defense.
29 Nov 2016, 08:04pm by Aaron Schatz
Two new teams rise to No. 1: Atlanta in total DVOA, Dallas in weighted DVOA. Neither comes close to the No. 1 teams of years past. But one unit this year is challenging for all-time greatness: the Baltimore run defense.
69 comments, Last at 04 Dec 2016, 2:57pm by Sid
23 Nov 2016, 05:01pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's Off The Charts Podcast goes in depth with previews of the Thanksgiving games, plus a look at how Seattle has structured the roster to stay on top of our DVOA ratings for five years. (Click for audio link.)
1 comment, Last at 27 Nov 2016, 5:32pm by larrybinth
22 Nov 2016, 08:11pm by Aaron Schatz
Our weekly commentary on the FO playoff odds over at ESPN Insider moves up a day starting this week. Today, get some insight on why Kansas City is more likely than Denver to win the AFC West, why the NFC East is probably taking two wild cards, and why this Thursday is the best lineup of Thanksgiving games in a long, long time.
22 Nov 2016, 07:34pm by Aaron Schatz
The second annual DVOA Bowl puts us on very familiar ground, as the Seattle Seahawks return to the No. 1 spot. Plus, a look at which "skill players" have faced the hardest and easiest schedules in 2016, based on DVOA opponent adjustments.
57 comments, Last at 25 Nov 2016, 2:24pm by DezBailey