01 Jul 2014, 12:32pm by Aaron Schatz
We're almost at July, which means people are going to start wondering when the 2014 KUBIAK fantasy football projections and Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 are going to show up for sale on Football Outsiders. I wanted to let everyone know about this year's delays. Both KUBIAK and the book will be delayed this year. We're hoping it's not for more than a week or two, but I'll be honest, there's a possibility the book won't be ready until early August. KUBIAK, at least, should be ready by July 16. (Click to read more.)
03 Jan 2014, 04:40pm by Aaron Schatz
Hey everybody! Time for the third edition of our Playoff Challenge game. Here's how it works: You need to pick a roster consisting of 2 QB, 4 RB, 4 WR, and 2 TE. However, you must pick one player from each of the 12 playoff teams, no duplicates. Whoever has the highest fantasy score during the playoffs wins a copy of Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 and the 2014 KUBIAK fantasy football projections. Standard fantasy scoring, no PPR. Thanks again to former Scramble writer Ian Dembsky for the idea for this game.
12 Jul 2012, 03:23pm by Aaron Schatz
Football Outsiders Almanac 2012 (PDF version) and the KUBIAK fantasy football spreadsheet are now on sale. Find out more details in this post. Now with samples!
02 Oct 2015, 11:29pm by Aaron Schatz
It takes a lot of time to put together, but the KUBIAK midseason update is done. If you purchased KUBIAK in the preseason, you can download the update by clicking the MY FO DOWNLOADS button in the upper left of the site and then just re-downloading the 2015 KUBIAK file. (Click for more information.)
01 Oct 2015, 06:36pm by Aaron Schatz
This week on the Off The Charts Podcast: More discussion of Arizona and their ideal opposites, the Chicago Bears. How rare is it to rank in the top five in all three phases of DVOA, like Arizona does? How far can the Chicago Bears fire sale go, and where are the best landing places for Matt Forte and Alshon Jeffery? Plus: Why Derek Carr is so much better this year, and why the future is bright on both sides of the ball for Oakland despite a No. 28 rank in defensive DVOA so far.
2 comments, Last at 02 Oct 2015, 12:46pm by Sifter
30 Sep 2015, 01:07pm by Aaron Schatz
Anita Marks and Aaron Schatz recap Week 3 and preview Week 4. They also discuss which players you should cut loose, which ones you should buy low on, and who you should sell high on.
29 Sep 2015, 08:02pm by Aaron Schatz
The Arizona Cardinals are still on top of the DVOA ratings, but how much does it matter that they've crushed three of the worst teams in the league?
362 comments, Last at 03 Oct 2015, 6:00pm by Alternator
28 Sep 2015, 08:04pm by Aaron Schatz
I asked Cian Fahey if he would look at the struggles of the Miami Dolphins for Film Room this week. Turns out he already had, in an article he wrote for Bleacher Report. This was a few days ago, but everything Cian says here applies also to Miami's embarrassing loss to Buffalo on Sunday. The offensive playcalling seems to completely ignore what was actually behind the improvement in the Miami offense in 2014. The defense can't do anything to put its best players in position to make big plays. Nor is the Miami defense doing much to hide the weaknesses of its lesser players.
32 comments, Last at 02 Oct 2015, 4:47am by MC2
28 Sep 2015, 05:34pm by Aaron Schatz
The Panthers have found a veteran pass-rusher, something they've been looking for since Greg Hardy was put on the exempt list early last season. Jared Allen never fit into the 3-4 in Chicago and has been sent to Carolina for a conditional draft pick. Allen still has something in the tank; we counted him last year with 27.5 hurries to go with 5.5 sacks and 15 other QB knockdowns.
49 comments, Last at 01 Oct 2015, 8:34pm by Roch Bear
25 Sep 2015, 12:55pm by Aaron Schatz
Trey Causey wants to know why football seems to be the one sport -- maybe the one industry -- where data analytics is not having any real impact. He makes some good points. How many times do we need to make the same arguments about fourth-down strategy? On the other hand, I do think analytics are having some under-the-radar impact in front-office decisions. Just because some front offices make bad decisions to trade up in the draft doesn't mean analytics isn't taking hold in other front offices. But yes, it sure seems ridiculous that we're still arguing over obvious things and low-hanging fruit.
42 comments, Last at 01 Oct 2015, 5:45pm by Andrew Healy