01 Jul 2014, 12:32pm by Aaron Schatz
We're almost at July, which means people are going to start wondering when the 2014 KUBIAK fantasy football projections and Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 are going to show up for sale on Football Outsiders. I wanted to let everyone know about this year's delays. Both KUBIAK and the book will be delayed this year. We're hoping it's not for more than a week or two, but I'll be honest, there's a possibility the book won't be ready until early August. KUBIAK, at least, should be ready by July 16. (Click to read more.)
03 Jan 2014, 04:40pm by Aaron Schatz
Hey everybody! Time for the third edition of our Playoff Challenge game. Here's how it works: You need to pick a roster consisting of 2 QB, 4 RB, 4 WR, and 2 TE. However, you must pick one player from each of the 12 playoff teams, no duplicates. Whoever has the highest fantasy score during the playoffs wins a copy of Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 and the 2014 KUBIAK fantasy football projections. Standard fantasy scoring, no PPR. Thanks again to former Scramble writer Ian Dembsky for the idea for this game.
12 Jul 2012, 03:23pm by Aaron Schatz
Football Outsiders Almanac 2012 (PDF version) and the KUBIAK fantasy football spreadsheet are now on sale. Find out more details in this post. Now with samples!
25 Nov 2015, 02:42pm by Aaron Schatz
There's so much football stuff over at ESPN.com that articles can get lost -- especially with the new redesign that actually has fewer links on the page than before -- so I wanted to point out this interesting piece out for anyone who missed it. It's a look at what all 32 teams would do if injuries forced them to go with an emergency quarterback. Some of the responses are obvious, as guys like Denard Robinson and Trey Burton were quarterbacks in college. Others are more surprising, guys who were high school quarterbacks such as Eric Weddle and Owen Daniels.
26 comments, Last at 5:25am by fest201620
25 Nov 2015, 02:13pm by Aaron Schatz
It's a special early Thanksgiving episode of the Off The Charts Podcast. This week, we talk about two 5-5 teams that are sneaking up on people: Houston and Tampa Bay. Plus, a little bit more on the Patriots vs. the Panthers for the title of "Super Bowl 50 Favorite."
25 Nov 2015, 02:06pm by Aaron Schatz
Anita Marks and Aaron Schatz break down all the injuries you need to know, discuss waiver wire pickups, and go through which teams have the most fantasy-friendly playoff schedule.
24 Nov 2015, 08:17pm by Aaron Schatz
It's good to be the Carolina Panthers: trending upwards in DVOA, with an easier schedule and postseason path moving them past the Patriots as our Super Bowl favorites.
76 comments, Last at 29 Nov 2015, 12:45am by dmepolitic
20 Nov 2015, 01:28pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's an article on ESPN Insider looking at which teams are likely to see regression in the second half because of elements of the game that are either out of their control or simply non-predictive. Among the items analyzed: performance in close games, fumble recovery rates, dropped passes by opponents, dropped interceptions, and performance by opposing kickers.
19 Nov 2015, 03:21pm by Aaron Schatz
Hey, want to get in on the advanced sports analytics business? If you're an experienced software engineer, you're in luck. We wanted to post this job listing as a favor to our friends at TruMedia and to our readers who are looking to get into this line of work. For those who don't know, TruMedia powers a lot of the stats infrastructure for ESPN Stats & Information and works directly with both MLB and NFL teams.
19 Nov 2015, 02:49pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's Off The Charts podcast looks closely at three teams where the win-loss record does not quite match our DVOA ratings. Go deeper into the world of the Minnesota Vikings and how they relate to a baseball stats concept known as "sequencing." Learn about the Kansas City Chiefs and a running game that somehow got better without Jamaal Charles. And go back in time to revisit the similarities between the 2015 Seattle Seahawks and the team that had the best DVOA ever for a 4-5 team: the 2003 Tampa Bay Bucs.