02 Dec 2014, 07:21pm by Aaron Schatz
New England keeps inching closer to No. 1 Denver in our weighted DVOA ratings, and Green Bay keeps inching away from the rest of the NFC.
182 comments, Last at 06 Dec 2014, 7:37pm by LionInAZ
25 Nov 2014, 06:13pm by Aaron Schatz
Denver remains No. 1 in the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings, but New England moves up to No. 2 and has taken over as our Super Bowl favorite.
181 comments, Last at 04 Dec 2014, 7:22am by Jerry
20 Nov 2014, 05:37pm by Aaron Schatz
The NFL has announced that this week's Jets-Bills game will not be played Sunday due to nine zillion feet of snow in Buffalo. It will be moved, probably to Monday night and either to Detroit or Washington. Because if there's any town filled with Bills fans, it's Washington. And by "filled with Bills fans," I mean, "Tim Russert's kid."
29 comments, Last at 24 Nov 2014, 7:36pm by Jerry
20 Nov 2014, 12:40pm by Aaron Schatz
If the Saints are only 4-6, then Drew Brees must be struggling, right? Nope.
19 Nov 2014, 01:15pm by Aaron Schatz
Can't believe I missed this when Nate Silver threw it up last week, since it is one of my favorite subjects. I love to discuss expansion possibilities, and I feel bad for cities that don't get to have NFL football. But I also think the logistics of a London franchise would be awful. Silver here tries to estimate the NFL fan base of two dozen different possible expansion markets and points out what I think is mind-numbingly obvious. If you want to expand to another country, we happen to have two very nice countries directly to the north and south of us that already have larger established football fanbases.
40 comments, Last at 24 Nov 2014, 7:52am by Sophandros
19 Nov 2014, 01:09pm by Aaron Schatz
Long article today by Richard Deitsch asking if advanced stats will ever be used on NFL broadcasts. Includes a lot of interview with me, since this question is a passion of mine. To summarize my feelings on the issue: 1) The goal is really not getting advanced stats onto game broadcasts, but rather to get commentators to understand the ideas behind those stats; 2) studio shows are a better place for advanced stats than broadcasts themselves; 3) I'm available.
20 comments, Last at 23 Nov 2014, 2:35pm by Theo
18 Nov 2014, 08:03pm by Aaron Schatz
Denver is still No. 1, but as the weakest first-place team in DVOA history. Tampa Bay is almost the strongest last-place team in DVOA history. And Arizona is still inexplicably No. 15 at 9-1. Ball of confusion: that's what DVOA is today. Hey hey.
185 comments, Last at 25 Nov 2014, 3:20am by ronnyo
14 Nov 2014, 07:13pm by Aaron Schatz
Information on games we are seeking from 1986 and 1987. (Click to read more.)
9 comments, Last at 16 Nov 2014, 3:27am by Jerry
13 Nov 2014, 12:44pm by Aaron Schatz
Analyzing the latest FO playoff odds and what they say about the race for the No. 1 pick in the 2015 NFL Draft.
11 Nov 2014, 06:44pm by Aaron Schatz
Now that we have ten weeks of data to work with, even big wins only lead to small moves in the DVOA rankings. Plus: Why schedule strength so far helps both Andrew Luck and Marshawn Lynch make their MVP cases.
208 comments, Last at 17 Nov 2014, 5:50pm by Pat