22 Nov 2016, 08:11pm by Aaron Schatz
Our weekly commentary on the FO playoff odds over at ESPN Insider moves up a day starting this week. Today, get some insight on why Kansas City is more likely than Denver to win the AFC West, why the NFC East is probably taking two wild cards, and why this Thursday is the best lineup of Thanksgiving games in a long, long time.
22 Nov 2016, 07:34pm by Aaron Schatz
The second annual DVOA Bowl puts us on very familiar ground, as the Seattle Seahawks return to the No. 1 spot. Plus, a look at which "skill players" have faced the hardest and easiest schedules in 2016, based on DVOA opponent adjustments.
57 comments, Last at 25 Nov 2016, 2:24pm by DezBailey
21 Nov 2016, 02:45pm by Aaron Schatz
Nice video profile of Seattle general manager John Schneider by Michael Silver of NFL.com. Why yes, that is a copy of Football Outsiders Almanac on his desk!
10 comments, Last at 25 Nov 2016, 12:49am by Raiderjoe
18 Nov 2016, 03:04pm by Aaron Schatz
A lot of Miami Dolphins and New York Giants talk on this week's Off The Charts podcast, plus we go through a few of the players in Rivers McCown's midseason Top 25 Prospects list from ESPN Insider. (Click for audio link.)
16 Nov 2016, 01:58pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's playoff odds commentary on ESPN Insider looks at why the Patriots are such clear favorites for the No. 1 seed, the ridiculous strength of the NFC East, and the most important games of Week 11.
15 Nov 2016, 10:06pm by Aaron Schatz
Seattle's victory over the Patriots sets up another No. 1 vs. No. 2 DVOA battle for next Sunday. Plus: What if the second-best team in the AFC doesn't actually play in the AFC West?
101 comments, Last at 19 Nov 2016, 4:34pm by DezBailey
14 Nov 2016, 12:52pm by Aaron Schatz
Interesting graphic over at Over The Cap, where Jason Fitzgerald shows how each team's cap spending in 2016 compares to its DVOA at the midway point of the season. What on earth are the Jets doing?
9 comments, Last at 21 Nov 2016, 1:18pm by RBroPF
10 Nov 2016, 05:55pm by Aaron Schatz
This week on the Off The Charts Podcast you'll get a lot of discussion of the NFC North and AFC West. How much of a problem is the Minnesota offensive line? Why does DVOA hate Detroit's defense so much? And why is Oakland still behind Denver in our ratings? (Click for audio link.)
10 Nov 2016, 01:57pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's a look at the schedule the rest of the way, both opponents and home/road splits. Schedule will keep Buffalo and San Diego in the wild-card race, and may hurt both Washington and Philadelphia compared to division rivals Dallas and New York.
09 Nov 2016, 06:26pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's the weekly playoff odds report on ESPN.com, with a look at Oakland on the cusp of finally breaking its 13-year streak of missing the postseason.