26 Dec 2013, 03:49pm by Aaron Schatz
Merry Christmas, Packers fans. The team announced today that Aaron Rodgers will return to the field for this week's de facto playoff game against Chicago. Replacing Matt Flynn with Rodgers changes the odds on this game to roughly 50-50, but not more than that. Remember, the Packers defense has been lousy all season and will be without Clay Matthews this weekend.
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26 Dec 2013, 01:07pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's Upset Watch looks at the Jets in their attempt to play spoiler against the Dolphins. A big blowout in the first game a division rivalry doesn't guarantee a loss in the rematch, especially for a team as inconsistent as the Jets. Cover Watch asks if the Bucs could use Darrelle Revis to try to slow down Jimmy Graham.
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24 Dec 2013, 07:45pm by Aaron Schatz
Arizona is red hot after taking down Seattle, but if they don't get in, poor offense will keep them from ranking as one of the best teams to ever miss the playoffs. Buffalo fans, I apologize for taking you back to a dark place here.
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24 Dec 2013, 12:39pm by Aaron Schatz
A note regarding last week's Playoff Odds Report at ESPN Insider. (Click to read more.)
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23 Dec 2013, 06:19pm by Aaron Schatz
Well, this changes things a bit, especially when it comes to press-written narratives. Tony Romo suffered a back injury in yesterday's win over Washington, a herniated disk in the lumbar region. He toughed it out enough to make the comeback and win the game, but the injury requires surgery and apparently is so bad he won't be able to play the rest of the season. That means Kyle Orton will start against the Eagles in the must-win Week 17 game. Good thing the Cowboys went out last year and got maybe the best backup quarterback in the game.
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23 Dec 2013, 03:13pm by Aaron Schatz
Von Miller is done for the year with a torn ACL, and other injury news from Week 16 (Click to read more.)
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20 Dec 2013, 07:32pm by Aaron Schatz
Joel Corry of CBS Sportsline looks at the best and worst cap situations in the NFL going into the 2014 offseason. It's an interesting start to the offseason discussion. The top 10 are linked above, led by Oakland -- Lord knows they jettisoned enough money last offseason so they could be in this position a year later -- Jacksonville, and Cleveland. Also in surprisingly good cap shape: Washington and Green Bay.
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20 Dec 2013, 01:22pm by Aaron Schatz
Which quarterbacks have been knocked down the most this season? (Click to read more.)
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20 Dec 2013, 11:06am by Aaron Schatz
Our old friend Bill Barnwell updates a study he did for Football Outsiders Almanac 2011, showing which teams truly have the strongest home-field advantage over the past decade. The answer: the NFC West, the Ravens (surprise!) and not the Saints (surprise again!). However, the gigantic difference between each team's home-field advantage from 2002-2010 and their home-field advantage from 1990-2001 makes you wonder how "real" these differences truly are. Why would the Broncos and Jaguars have advantages that were so much bigger in the 90s than in the 00s?
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19 Dec 2013, 12:33pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's Upset Watch looks at how the Bears can get past the Eagles, featuring some interesting third-down stats and the first cornerback charting stats of the season. Cover Watch has Arizona in Seattle.
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