07 Jul 2015, 12:47pm by Aaron Schatz
Here are the final two parts of a four-part series for ESPN Insider looking at estimated snap-weighted age for 2015, based on projected starters, last year's snap counts, and a regression that predicts snaps for rookies based on draft pick and position. The result is a look at which defenses are getting older this year (Denver, New Orleans), which are getting younger (New England, Pittsburgh), and what that means for how good those teams might be this season.
06 Jul 2015, 01:36pm by Aaron Schatz
In case you didn't see it mentioned everywhere else, Jason Pierre-Paul was injured this weekend in a fireworks accident. Information dribbled out slowly, but the original extreme (and apparently false) reports of "he blew off his fingers and will never play again" eventually settled into a general feeling of "he has very severe burns, possibly some nerve damage in fingers, and is likely to miss the start of the season." I think what's interesting here, past the actual injury itself, is JPP's contract status. (Click to read more.)
46 comments, Last at 09 Dec 2015, 11:20pm by fest201620
01 Jul 2015, 12:46pm by Aaron Schatz
This is a two-part series for ESPN Insider that's actually part of a four-part series. For the first time, we've done some work on estimated snap-weighted age for 2015, based on projected starters, last year's snap counts, and a regression that predicts snaps for rookies based on draft pick and position. The result is a look at which offenses are getting older this year (Indianapolis, Green Bay), which are getting younger (St. Louis, Tennessee), and what that means for how good those teams might be this season.
3 comments, Last at 01 Jul 2015, 1:44pm by Perfundle
26 Jun 2015, 04:45pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's an update on a number of Football Outsiders topics: the long-awaited back-end redesign, the release dates for Football Outsiders Almanac 2015 and the 2015 KUBIAK projections, and the FOA 2015 cover contest.
17 Jun 2015, 11:25am by Aaron Schatz
Todd Gurley could be the best running back since Adrian Peterson, but it won't matter. In the modern NFL, you simply can't build your offense around the running back. You build around the quarterback.
38 comments, Last at 30 Jun 2015, 10:51am by BDC
29 May 2015, 02:45pm by Aaron Schatz
Andy Benoit, former FO writer and now Sports Illustrated NFL analyst, is looking for a third party individual fact-checker / NFL researcher. The position requires an extensive knowledge of the NFL plus the drive to double-check even the seemingly most tedious of facts and explore and expound on other facts/stats/information. (Click to read more.)
27 May 2015, 12:26pm by Aaron Schatz
The Falcons are still trying to replace Tony Gonzalez, the Panthers must find a way to protect Cam Newton, the Bucs (as always) could use more pass rushers, and the Saints need anyone who can catch a football.
10 comments, Last at 12 Jun 2015, 9:39pm by nath
26 May 2015, 01:33pm by Aaron Schatz
It got delayed by a lot of other things going on around Football Outsiders headquarters, but we've finally got all the FO player pages fully updated with 2014 stats. We've also updated the similarity scores at the bottom of player pages. Pretty much every player with significant playing time last season, other than offensive linemen and special teams specialists, is now listed with top ten similar players going back to either 1978 (offense) or 1997 (defense). For example, you can find that the most similar stats to A.J. Green in 2012-2014 belong to Larry Fitzgerald in 2006-2008, and the most similar stats to Jared Allen in 2012-2014 belong to Robertr Porcher in 1999-2001. (Click to read more.)
6 comments, Last at 09 Dec 2015, 11:54pm by fest201620
21 May 2015, 05:53pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's a good piece from SB Nation about our current No. 1 favorite underrated NFL player, Tampa Bay linebacker Lavonte David. The Miami high school product dreamed of playing for the U, but ended up following a winding road through community college and Nebraska to a home on Florida's other coast.
5 comments, Last at 09 Dec 2015, 11:55pm by fest201620
19 May 2015, 06:08pm by Aaron Schatz
The NFL owners today officially voted to move the line of scrimmage for extra points back to the 15, making the XP now equivalent to a 33-yard field goal. The line of scrimmage remains the 2 for the 2-point conversion. In addition, returning a blocked kick, fumble, or interception on a point-after try will now be worth two points for the defense.
I hate this rule change so much. Why do we need to make the point-after try complicated? If you want to increase excitement, just move the line of scrimmage to the 1 to encourage going for 2-point conversions.
140 comments, Last at 09 Dec 2015, 11:56pm by fest201620