Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

18 Dec 2014, 11:23am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Race for No. 1 Pick Update

Here's an update on the race for the No. 1 overall pick. Tonight's Jacksonville-Tennessee game means a lot, but Tampa Bay still has the best shot at it. And check out the ridiculous dominoes that would need to fall for Washington to get the top pick!

» More...


17 Dec 2014, 07:58pm by Aaron Schatz

Bears Bench Cutler in Epic Fail (Not Fales)

The Bears have benched Jay Cutler for Jimmy Clausen for this week's game against Detroit. Just a colossal epic fail, and unfortunately not an epic Fales. Based on DVOA, Jay Cutler has been an average quarterback this year. He has very high highs and very low lows, but he's never been a bad quarterback. I assume this basically closes the door on his career in Chicago. What does starting Jimmy Clausen prove? Jimmy Clausen is terrible, and Jimmy Clausen is not a promising young player in any way?

» More...

170 comments, Last at 01 Jun 2015, 5:35am by loveworth1

16 Dec 2014, 07:06pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 15 DVOA Ratings

The New England Patriots have finally moved into the No. 1 spot in weighted DVOA this week. Also: Looking at how recent Denver wins are driven by defense instead of offense, and a Pittsburgh team that is very un-Steelers-like.

» More...

157 comments, Last at 28 Dec 2014, 1:06am by Never Surrender

09 Dec 2014, 08:01pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 14 DVOA Ratings

Very few units are historically good in 2014, but the Lions run defense is threatening to surpass the 2000 Ravens. And right behind Detroit is Denver -- still the No. 1 team in overall DVOA.

» More...

94 comments, Last at 19 Dec 2014, 4:29am by DefendTheDen

09 Dec 2014, 02:14pm by Aaron Schatz

Cam Newton in Serious Car Accident

Cam Newton was injured in a major car accident in Charlotte today as his truck crashed into another automobile near I-277 and flipped over. UPDATE: The Panthers say Newton is in fair condition and was taken to the hospital as a precaution more than anything else. That's nice to hear.

» More...

45 comments, Last at 01 Jun 2015, 5:38am by loveworth1

09 Dec 2014, 02:01pm by Aaron Schatz

Flipper Anderson's Receiving Record

Alan Siegel talks to a number of late-80s Rams about the night Flipper Anderson set the all-time NFL record with 336 receiving yards. It still has never been surpassed.

» More...

7 comments, Last at 01 Jun 2015, 5:38am by loveworth1

06 Dec 2014, 11:33am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Where Contenders Get Beat

Today's ESPN Insider article looks at the biggest coverage weaknesses of top contenders, not by looking at specific defenders but rather by looking at scheme. That means using FO's DVOA "vs. types as receivers" as well as a new table we're debuting today that lists defensive DVOA vs. passes by distance and direction: short/deep as well as left/middle/right. You will now find that table on the team defense stat page and are welcome to discuss here. Thanks to John Argentiero for setting up the Excel macros that made producing that table easier. We'll be updating it each week through the end of the regular season.

» More...


02 Dec 2014, 07:21pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 13 DVOA Ratings

New England keeps inching closer to No. 1 Denver in our weighted DVOA ratings, and Green Bay keeps inching away from the rest of the NFC.

» More...

182 comments, Last at 06 Dec 2014, 7:37pm by LionInAZ

25 Nov 2014, 06:13pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 12 DVOA Ratings

Denver remains No. 1 in the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings, but New England moves up to No. 2 and has taken over as our Super Bowl favorite.

» More...

181 comments, Last at 04 Dec 2014, 7:22am by Jerry

20 Nov 2014, 05:37pm by Aaron Schatz

Jets-Bills Rescheduled for Monday Night in Detroit

The NFL has announced that this week's Jets-Bills game will not be played Sunday due to nine zillion feet of snow in Buffalo. It will be moved, probably to Monday night and either to Detroit or Washington. Because if there's any town filled with Bills fans, it's Washington. And by "filled with Bills fans," I mean, "Tim Russert's kid."

» More...

31 comments, Last at 01 Jun 2015, 5:46am by loveworth1