Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

22 Sep 2015, 09:31pm by Aaron Schatz

Cowboys Trade for Matt Cassel

In a not ridiculous move, the Dallas Cowboys traded for quarterback Matt Cassel today, dealing a 2017 fifth-round pick to Buffalo for Cassel and a 2017 seventh-round pick. (Because of previous trades, the Cowboys didn't have a 2016 pick past the fourth round to offer in a deal.) Cassel offers good insurance in case Brandon Weeden is terrible as the new Dallas starter, although it's expensive insurance because Cassel has a $2 million contract. Yes, Cassel is mediocre at best, but that mediocrity may be better than Brandon Weeden's best.

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58 comments, Last at 03 Dec 2015, 6:19am by fest201620

20 Sep 2015, 11:39am by Aaron Schatz

The Farce of Tackling Stats

Michael McKnight wrote a great piece for the Sports Illustrated NFL preview issue about how messed up tackling stats are. I'm quoted in here, along with the guys from PFF. There are problems with tackling stats that can't be fixed by the league -- the league isn't going to ever track "tackle opportunities" or "broken tackles," let's be real. The biggest problem with tackling stats that the league can actually fix is the fact that the NFL is depending on official scorers to get them right on game day. The official scorers are only human.

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4 comments, Last at 17 Jan 2016, 5:54am by fest201620

17 Sep 2015, 02:25pm by Aaron Schatz

Off The Charts Podcast: September 17

The second weekly edition of our new Off the Charts podcast breaks down the basic ideas behind DVOA and DAVE then dives into what we've learned about the AFC South and AFC East after surprisingly dominant Week 1 wins from Buffalo and Tennessee. Scott Spratt and I also look at the NFC West, with some interesting charting stats on Carlos Hyde and how the 49ers running game succeeds despite facing constantly loaded boxes.

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17 Sep 2015, 12:20pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Peyton Manning No Longer Equipped to Save His O-Line

Don't jump to conclusions over just one week, but Peyton Manning's Week 1 struggles echoed some of the negative trends from his second-half decline in 2014. And if Peyton isn't the Peyton of old, then that Denver offensive line is a bigger problem than we thought.

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2 comments, Last at 17 Sep 2015, 4:44pm by cjfarls

15 Sep 2015, 10:54pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 1 DVOA Ratings

Using just one week of stats, all the winning teams rate as better than all the losing teams, which is stranger than you think. Tennessee and Buffalo had the best Week 1, but a longer-term view still favors New England and Green Bay.

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99 comments, Last at 20 Sep 2015, 5:21pm by WeaponX

15 Sep 2015, 10:00pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN Fantasy Football Weekly: Impressive First Weeks

In the second edition of my new fantasy football podcast for ESPN, Anita Marks and I discuss impressive first weeks for a number of tight ends and less impressive first weeks for a number of stud wide receivers, plus what players will benefit from injuries in Dallas, Arizona, and Indianapolis.

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2 comments, Last at 27 Nov 2015, 4:57pm by AyoubTab

11 Sep 2015, 11:52am by Aaron Schatz

Football Outsiders for Madden 16: September 11

Here's a look at the five players from our Top 25 Prospects list who are available as boosted Football Outsiders players in Madden 16 Ultimate Team this week. (Click to read more.)

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4 comments, Last at 18 Feb 2016, 6:23am by loveworthy

10 Sep 2015, 06:06pm by Aaron Schatz

Off The Charts Podcast: September 10

In the inaugural episode of the Off the Charts Football Podcast, Scott Spratt of Sports Info Solutions and Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders discuss the updated DVOA projections. Why have the Packers fallen, and which NFC North teams could potentially benefit? Why are the Rams so high? Why are the Dolphins so low? What is going on in the NFC South?

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2 comments, Last at 27 Nov 2015, 4:57pm by AyoubTab

10 Sep 2015, 11:37am by Aaron Schatz

IR-Designated: Year of the Center

Hey, kids, it's the year of starting centers going on the IR-Designated to Return list. You all knew about Maurkice Pouncey in Pittsburgh. Yesterday, New England put center Bryan Stork on IR-Designated due to a concussion. An even bigger surprise in Minnesota today, where John Sullivan had back surgery today. Both Sullivan and Stork are now out at least through Week 8.

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3 comments, Last at 03 Dec 2015, 6:28am by fest201620

09 Sep 2015, 05:57pm by Aaron Schatz

2015 DVOA Projections

Our annual DVOA projections have some surprising teams as Super Bowl contenders, including St. Louis and Atlanta. Not surprising: Seattle is the favorite to win Super Bowl 50.

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115 comments, Last at 13 Sep 2015, 10:22pm by LionInAZ