Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

06 Nov 2014, 06:50pm by Aaron Schatz

Thursday Night Football is Easy to Hate but Hard to Defeat

We all know that Thursday night football feels extra sloppy. And it logically seems like it should be extra sloppy, since players haven't had a full week to recover from Sunday's games. But as others have done before, Kevin Seifert has run numbers showing that Thursday games do not in fact feature more injuries or less scoring. There are more turnovers, but also fewer penalties and the same number of dropped passes as in other games.

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11 comments, Last at 08 Nov 2014, 11:08pm by jebmak

04 Nov 2014, 07:39pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 9 DVOA Ratings

Miami makes a big move up to No. 3 with the strongest single-game DVOA of the year, just one of many teams where FO stats and conventional wisdom disagree in 2014.

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109 comments, Last at 08 Nov 2014, 2:38pm by The Hypno-Toad

01 Nov 2014, 01:05pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Denver Performing at a Historic Level

A look at Denver's historically high DVOA ratings, compared to where New England is right now. This is the largest gap ever between Peyton Manning's team and Tom Brady's team before a game between the two.

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2 comments, Last at 02 Nov 2014, 8:59pm by Vandal

31 Oct 2014, 12:07pm by Aaron Schatz

Houston Cougars Believe They Know How to Make Their Own Luck

University of Houston head coach Tony Levine disagrees with statisticians about the random nature of turnovers, and has tried to build his team's strategy around winning the turnover margin consistently. Is this truly possible, or have the Cougars just had two lucky years?

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17 comments, Last at 02 Nov 2014, 10:49pm by Whatev

28 Oct 2014, 06:40pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 8 DVOA Ratings

Five teams in the NFL are 6-1 or 6-2. One of those teams, Denver, ranks among the best teams we've ever tracked. None of the other four teams even rank in the DVOA top ten right now. Why not?

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139 comments, Last at 04 Nov 2014, 10:39am by mitch

28 Oct 2014, 04:20pm by Aaron Schatz

Tampa Trades Barron to Rams, Casillias to Pats

Tampa Bay is your one team active at the trade deadline, trading safety Mark Barron to St. Louis for fourth- and sixth-round picks, and backup linebacker Jonathan Casillas to the Patriots for... oh, probably not much, but it isn't announced yet. Barron is the big deal here. Really, if I ran an NFL team I would happily trade a fourth and a sixth to get a guy who just two years ago was the No. 7 overall pick in the whole draft... and who has been completely misused by his current head coach. Mark Barron is a strong safety. He belongs in the box. He is not your Cover-2 deep guy.

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19 comments, Last at 31 Oct 2014, 11:02am by dryheat

21 Oct 2014, 06:34pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 7 DVOA Ratings

Denver: great team, or the greatest team? Would you be satisfied with "one of the ten greatest teams?" Plus: hard times in the NFC South, where defense goes to die.

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163 comments, Last at 28 Oct 2014, 12:23am by ziuziu

20 Oct 2014, 05:29pm by Aaron Schatz

The NFL's Best Baseball Players

From our own J.J. Cooper in his other life as a writer for Baseball America, here's a list of the top five baseball prospects among current NFL players. Peyton Manning and John Fox certainly wish Russell Wilson had played better in short-season ball.

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2 comments, Last at 21 Oct 2014, 5:21pm by justanothersteve

18 Oct 2014, 03:07pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Broncos' D Now Matches Offense

Over at ESPN Insider, a look at the Denver Broncos defense which ranks No. 2 in DVOA so far this season.

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0 comments

15 Oct 2014, 11:56pm by Aaron Schatz

Where Have You Gone, Robert Quinn?

A play-by-play breakdown of Monday night's game shows how little Robert Quinn accomplished against 49ers tackle Joe Staley. (Click to read more.)

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14 comments, Last at 17 Oct 2014, 10:13pm by LionInAZ