06 Jan 2014, 05:38pm by Aaron Schatz
Postseason DVOA ratings show how the Seahawks and Chargers were getting hotter at the end of the season. Plus: Two of this weekend's four games are exact ties by VOA before opponent adjustments.
70 comments, Last at 13 Jan 2014, 2:44pm by CeeBee
06 Jan 2014, 03:46pm by Aaron Schatz
It's my long-awaited return to the B.S. Report, to discuss this year's NFL playoffs. Things get a little rushed because I had to go parent, but we do get in some discussion of the Divisional round as well as the recent history of upsets in the playoffs. Note that in the podcast, I said our Premium picks were 1-3 vs. the spread this weekend, 2-2 if you use the original KC-IND line. Actually, they were 2-2 vs. the spread (SD and SF), 3-1 with the original KC-IND line.
16 comments, Last at 10 Jan 2014, 8:42pm by Matthias Galvin
04 Jan 2014, 04:48pm by Aaron Schatz
The Titans took their sweet time, I guess, but today they fired head coach Mike Munchak. Munchak had been with the organization as a player or coach since 1982, so in that way it's a pretty big move for the Titans. On the other hand, given their record the last couple years and the fact that Munchak's run-first strategies were stuck somewhere in 1976, not such a surprising move.
26 comments, Last at 23 Jan 2014, 2:24am by umr7lhaq1z9
03 Jan 2014, 08:05pm by Aaron Schatz
We know Drew Brees and the Saints offense can score, but can their defense stop the Eagles' running game or the super-hot Nick Foles? And can Aaron Rodgers overcome the weaknesses of the Packers' defense and special teams?
8 comments, Last at 05 Jan 2014, 7:14am by bucko
02 Jan 2014, 10:31pm by Aaron Schatz
How unprecedented was Philadelphia's combination of high offensive DVOA and low-ranking Adjusted Line Yards and Adjusted Sack Rate? (Click to read more.)
26 comments, Last at 03 Jan 2014, 5:51pm by prs130
30 Dec 2013, 04:59pm by Aaron Schatz
Seattle and Denver are the first teams to ever finish 1-2 in DVOA in two straight seasons. Plus: Philadelphia is super-hot entering the playoffs, Chicago's run defense wasn't quite as bad as it looked, and Washington special teams just aren't pathetic enough to beat the 2000 Bills.
227 comments, Last at 17 Jan 2014, 12:21pm by benbu75
30 Dec 2013, 01:38pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's a list of the best and worst players of Week 17 by FO metrics.
38 comments, Last at 01 Jan 2014, 6:51pm by LionInAZ
29 Dec 2013, 10:33pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's a series of links to each of FO's discussions of Black Monday firings. (Click to read more.)
129 comments, Last at 04 Jan 2014, 4:25pm by Hurt Bones
27 Dec 2013, 12:52pm by Aaron Schatz
People often ask us if we're going to do a Football Outsiders All-Pro Team. It's not something we do on a regular basis but if we did one this year it would look a lot like the one that Bill Barnwell put together for Grantland. It's hard to think of where I have disagreements with his squad. Maybe Dontari Poe deserves a mention? I would probably want to pick a strong safety and free safety instead of just two safeties, which would take off Eric Weddle and add Eric Berry. And I might make a couple of second-team changes. (I love A.J. Green but I think Jordy Nelson has been better than him this year.)
36 comments, Last at 21 Jan 2014, 6:04pm by UGG Ascot Boots
27 Dec 2013, 12:48pm by Aaron Schatz
ESPN asked me to take a look at four of this weekend's big games, using a combination of Football Outsiders stats and ESPN Stats & Information game charting. Matchups look good for Cincinnati, San Francisco, and Philadelphia. Chicago-Green Bay? Who knows?
1 comment, Last at 25 Jan 2014, 6:30am by lv solbriller