Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

25 Jan 2006, 01:51pm by Aaron Schatz

The XII Greatest Super Bowl Highlight Films

From The Onion A.V. Club, but not a joke! NFL Network is replaying all of these on Sunday, and I look forward to matriculating the ball down the field.

» More...

17 comments, Last at 27 Jan 2006, 12:37am by Matt

24 Jan 2006, 04:15pm by Aaron Schatz

TMQ: Box-and-One

Somebody finally figures out how to defend against Steve Smith, Denver's defensive line turns back into pumpkins, and CBS declines to show us hot Denver cheerleaders. All this and more covered in the latest TMQ. I can't believe I didn't think to compare the Smith defense to basketball's box-and-one, it's a great comparison. I did, however, send Gregg an e-mail to complain about his use of the simplistic NFL rankings for pass defense. Denver does not have a bad pass defense, or, at least, did not before Sunday.

» More...

47 comments, Last at 26 Jan 2006, 11:32am by Smeghead

24 Jan 2006, 02:05pm by Aaron Schatz

Seattle's Big Problem Comes to the Front

See, when Ron Borges writes about something unrelated to Bill Belichick, he's not so bad. The subject here is Seattle's unfamiliarity with the 3-4 defense. I agree that this will be an important issue for Seattle to work on over the next two weeks, and the best NFC teams do seem to struggle against 3-4 defenses from the AFC. (I did a little bit on this last year with Philadelphia, and hope to do some numbers research over the next week.) But we should point out that Seattle actually played four games against 3-4 defenses this season, not just one.

» More...

36 comments, Last at 26 Jan 2006, 12:49am by Costanza

24 Jan 2006, 01:09pm by Aaron Schatz

Football is Catching on in Japan

Not really, but wow, look at this guy's mullet. That is one puffed-up mid-80's haircut right there. Should we be concerned that Japanese kids are getting inspired to play football by watching The Replacements?

» More...

16 comments, Last at 25 Jan 2006, 10:49am by lk6

23 Jan 2006, 07:41pm by Aaron Schatz

2005 Quick Reads: Week 20

More on Pittsburgh's spectacular third-down turnaround, Big Ben's place in history, and the awesome football factory that is the Hockomock League.

» More...

76 comments, Last at 26 Jan 2006, 1:03pm by Vash

22 Jan 2006, 01:28pm by Aaron Schatz

Break up the Ravens

The headline on this article is actually "There's hope Ravens offense will bear Fassel's imprint," but I think the defensive comments are more interesting. It looks like there's a better than even chance Ray Lewis will be elsewhere next season. That's an interesting question -- where does he make the best fit? Will Demps will not be re-signed and even Chris McAlister might be let go. And there's the question of the running backs, of course. Jamal Lewis sold his house in Baltimore but still says he expects the Ravens to franchise him. The Ravens can't be that stupid, right?

» More...

28 comments, Last at 23 Jan 2006, 8:09pm by Opiegrey

20 Jan 2006, 10:09pm by Aaron Schatz

2006 Championship Previews

The NFL's final four features a quartet of strong teams, and each has at least a one in five chance of winning the Super Bowl. It's the slight gradations in that last one chance in five that determine who should be favored in this weekend's contests. You'll find all the DVOA analysis you know and love over on FOXSports.com, previewing both Pittsburgh at Denver and Carolina at Seattle. Discussion is here, along with extra analysis of Denver's run defense and the 2003 Panthers vs. the 2005 Panthers.

» More...

26 comments, Last at 22 Jan 2006, 4:05pm by charles

20 Jan 2006, 12:57pm by Aaron Schatz

FO Interview with Seahawks.net

In which Doug Farrar of Seahawks.net gets my thoughts on the Carolina-Seattle matchup and learns that once I start talking about football, I will not shut up. Yes, this is a 45 minute audio interview. I'm friendly like that. Late note: Links to a transcript are now found in the comments.

» More...

14 comments, Last at 21 Jan 2006, 10:40pm by Kevin Pelton

19 Jan 2006, 12:39am by Aaron Schatz

FO Greatest Hits: Third Down is the Charm for NFL Turnarounds

We take you back now to that long ago time called "August," when your humble FO editor penned an article for the New York Times that concluded like so: "Seattle and Carolina addressed their third-down issues in the off-season ... making Seattle and Carolina Super Bowl contenders and making Matt Hasselbeck the answer to the question, 'Who is this year's Drew Brees?'" Five months later, here we are.

» More...

37 comments, Last at 20 Jan 2006, 8:48pm by tmac

18 Jan 2006, 11:33pm by Aaron Schatz

Do Good Teams Win Close Games?

No comments, since this is a different sport, but Justin Kubatko of Courtside Times has written an article very similar to "Guts and Stomps," but about the NBA. Thanks to reader Dan Babbitt for pointing this out. For those interested, by the way, Seattle leads the final four NFL teams with 6 "stomps," Denver and Pittsburgh each have 4, and Carolina has 2. Denver leads in "guts" (4) and Carolina leads in "skates" (4). No team has more than 2 "dominate" wins.

» More...

comments