Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

15 Oct 2006, 12:36am by Aaron Schatz

Buffalo: Hitting Behind the Numbers

Shawn Krest, one of the game charters, is writing a weekly column on the Buffalo Bills based on his work. It's pretty interesting stuff. This one addresses missed tackles -- unfortunately, tracking those adds so much time to charting that it would be tough getting enough volunteers, but Krest is doing some pretty cool stuff adding his own ideas to our charting categories.

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13 comments, Last at 25 Feb 2007, 3:50am by consolidate debt

14 Oct 2006, 04:35pm by Aaron Schatz

Game Previews: PHI-NO, SEA-STL

Chicago, Chicago, Chicago. Doesn't this website ever talk about anyone else? Well, the NFC has five teams with just a single loss, and four of them face each other on Sunday. Two longtime contenders take on two surprise teams -- and two significant home-field advantages.

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39 comments, Last at 16 Oct 2006, 8:57am by someone

13 Oct 2006, 09:42pm by Aaron Schatz

Denver in the red zone, continued

Aaron Schatz assesses the validity of the bend but don’t break defense. (Click link to read more.)

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13 Oct 2006, 04:51pm by Aaron Schatz

FOX Blog Wrap-Up, October 7-13

So, I've been trying to figure out what to do about the Football Outsiders FOX blog, and alerting people to the content. We don't want to link every piece back to FO, because we want people to get used to checking it on their own, but we also don't want our dedicated readers to miss the stuff we're writing over there. So I'm going to try this, a weekly look at what we covered on the FOX blog on Friday afternoons, which can be a catch-all thread for discussion of these topics free from the standard "FO stats are dumb" FOX commenters.

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18 comments, Last at 20 Oct 2006, 11:13am by kleph

13 Oct 2006, 01:12pm by Aaron Schatz

Weirdest (Fantasy) Season Ever

Bill Simmons said it, I've said it on a few radio appearances, and now Doug Drinen chimes in. This is the weirdest fantasy season ever. I feel bad that the KUBIAK projections seem a little off so far -- but that just means they have the same problem as every other set of projections produced this year. Unless somebody wants to show me the guy who predicted Bernard Berrian as the top wide receiver, Marques Colston and Kellen Winslow as the top tight ends, and Charlie Frye as a top 10 quarterback.

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23 comments, Last at 18 Oct 2006, 3:59pm by Boski

11 Oct 2006, 10:22pm by Aaron Schatz

FO Mailbag: Is the New England passing game struggling or not?

Aaron Schatz explains the disconnect between DVOA and conventional wisdom about the New England Patriots. (Click link to read.)

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11 Oct 2006, 10:16pm by Aaron Schatz

How can Denver's defense rank 11th?

Aaron Schatz tries to explain why DVOA seems to hate the Denver defense. (Click link to read more.)

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11 Oct 2006, 07:19pm by Aaron Schatz

The Passing Premium

Here's an article by our friend Ben Alamar, from the Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports. (For those who don't know, Ben is also the statistician quoted at length by Michael Lewis in the new book Blind Side.) For 45 years now, completion percentage and yards per attempt have gone up while interception rates have gone down. Yet NFL offenses are split between the run and the pass according to basically the same ratios as 20 years ago and even 40 yards ago. What gives?

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56 comments, Last at 13 Oct 2006, 1:27pm by ABW

11 Oct 2006, 11:55am by Aaron Schatz

My Left Foot

Fun little story about new Boston College kicker Steve Aponavicius, who will play in his first game this weekend against Virginia Tech. Not his first game of the year -- his first football game, ever.

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9 comments, Last at 13 Oct 2006, 10:20am by PatsFan

10 Oct 2006, 03:29pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 6 DVOA Ratings

If Rex Grossman played da Packers by himself, how many points would he win by? If Brian Urlacher was battling a hurricane, who would win? What if da name of da hurricane was "Hurricane Ditka?" Plus: Am I having another heart attack? These are da questions we must ask after looking at da latest DVOA ratings. Commentary found here on FOXSports.com.

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351 comments, Last at 02 Jan 2007, 11:47pm by Jeff