Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

25 May 2006, 05:59pm by Aaron Schatz

Why is Third-and-2 a Passing Down?

I keep meaning to post about this and then it slips my mind because of all the work on the book, but Doug Drinen of pro-football-reference has started a blog doing a lot of fun little statistical analyses. He's one of my inspirations so folks should check it out, he seems to be posting roughly once a day. For example, here's one asking a question that I've wondered about ever since our original "Better to Have Rushed and Lost" article -- why do coaches treat third-and-2 as a passing situation when the run is so much more successful?

» More...

28 comments, Last at 29 May 2006, 12:44am by MJK

22 May 2006, 12:31pm by Aaron Schatz

This Is Where Offense Is Headed

Pat Kirwan on the rise of the two-TE set, and the advantage it gives to the offense. The Cowboys' selection of Anthony Fasano and the Patriots' selection of David Thomas are both examples of how many teams now want to have not one but two or even three starting-quality tight ends. From PFP 2006, the teams that ran two-TE sets most often in 2005:

WAS 47%
TB 46%
KC 39%
GB 37%
TEN 35%
PIT 32%
DEN 32%
ATL 31%
HOU 31%
NE 31%

The lowest? Cincinnati and the New York Giants.

» More...

48 comments, Last at 25 May 2006, 5:32pm by Ilanin

11 May 2006, 11:03am by Aaron Schatz

Jimmy Smith Retires

Well, this is a bit of a shock. The guy is old, but he was still playing well last year. The Jaguars are probably wishing he had said something before the draft. Perhaps they would have taken Chad Jackson instead of Marcedes Lewis. I think this decision makes it less likely that the Jaguars will overtake the Colts this year. Who are the starters there now? Ernest Wilford and Matt "I Was a Teenage Quarterback" Jones? Please tell me it won't be Reggie Williams.

» More...

78 comments, Last at 16 May 2006, 10:21am by E

09 May 2006, 10:09am by Aaron Schatz

Madden 07 to Feature Blocking

No, this is not an Onion headline. Hardcore football fans everywhere will slobber when they read about the new features in this year's Madden, because they're concentrating on all those guys who don't get any stats. I'm not sure what the average video gamer is going to think of this, but before each play you can pick a specific blocker and then play as that blocker, with specific moves to cut block, attempt to counter a defensive spin move, or try to pancake the defender. As this article puts it, "Madden NFL 07 isn't really about Mr. MVP ... Madden 07 is really about Walter Jones.

» More...

80 comments, Last at 16 May 2006, 5:25pm by Vash

04 May 2006, 11:07pm by Aaron Schatz

Falcons Sign Seth Marler

Remember a couple of weeks ago when we all laughed at the Patriots signing Martin Grammatica? That was nothing compared to Atlanta signing Seth Marler. We are really scraping the bottom of the kicker barrel now. Do the Falcons understand just how bad Marler was? You are talking about a guy who has not kicked in the NFL in three years, and in his one season was worth an astonishing 27 points below the average NFL kicker. Did Todd Peterson kill Jim Mora's children or something?

» More...

10 comments, Last at 15 May 2006, 12:26pm by Jim

28 Apr 2006, 03:41pm by Aaron Schatz

Packers Give Walker Permission to Talk to Broncos, Saints

Hidden in this article about Javon Walker wanting out of Green Bay is the news that Donald Driver has also told the Packers to restructure his deal or trade him. Last receiver out of Green Bay, please turn off the lights.

» More...

15 comments, Last at 22 Apr 2007, 12:40am by kevin

28 Apr 2006, 02:59pm by Aaron Schatz

Michael David Smith Chat Transcript II

You just can't stop this guy from talking about the NFL Draft. This time, he spoke with the readers of SEAHAWKS.NET. By the way, I just want to thank Mike for taking the lead on the draft coverage this year. I don't watch college football, and this is the one area of the NFL I really don't study much. I really appreciate that Mike dealt with our content partners and that he and Mike Tanier wrote lots of draft-related material, freeing me up to work on Pro Football Prospectus 2006.

» More...

10 comments, Last at 30 Apr 2006, 3:44am by chris

27 Apr 2006, 07:55pm by Aaron Schatz

New Minnesota Uniforms

Suck or not suck? Following up on the angrier-looking Cardinal in Arizona, the Vikings now have an angrier-looking horn. It has a crease. Yep, that will sell more jerseys. The white stripe is a little weird, but in keeping with the new style I would like to suggest that the Vikings front seven now be nicknamed the "Seven Nation Army."

» More...

44 comments, Last at 18 Sep 2006, 3:21pm by Jay

25 Apr 2006, 09:11pm by Aaron Schatz

Ricky Williams Suspended for 2006

Congratulations, Ronnie Brown! You're going to be on the cover of Pro Football Prospectus 2006! We hope you are as excited as Matt Hasselbeck was. Seriously, I have "Ricky Williams suspended" as Auto-Text now. In later news, Onterrio Smith has applied for reinstatement and been denied.

» More...

36 comments, Last at 26 Apr 2006, 10:33pm by Kuato

25 Apr 2006, 12:17pm by Aaron Schatz

TMQ's Mocking the Mock Draft 2006

The return! I always enjoy the seventh-round draft projections. Before anyone gets huffy about Gregg not mentioning us in here, remember, we're the competition now.

» More...

63 comments, Last at 02 May 2006, 8:06pm by Sid