Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

10 Nov 2007, 12:10am by Aaron Schatz

Fun with "Divisional Opponent" Trends

Having seen this post on Matt Mosley's blog, I had to check. The quote from famous gambler Brandon Lang, talking about the Cowboys: "They're also playing a divisional opponent for the second straight week on the road. You know as well as anyone, Matt, that's a lethal trifecta in this league." Since 2000, the winning percentage for all teams playing a divisional opponent on the road for the second straight game: .427. Since 2000, the winning percentage for all teams on the road, period: .426. So, um, yeah. Don't feel bad if you take the 'Boys.

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14 comments, Last at 12 Nov 2007, 11:17pm by Chris

09 Nov 2007, 06:36pm by Aaron Schatz

FO Chat at Baseball Prospectus

Covered in this chat: Admitting to KUBIAK errors, the difference between bias and incompetence, the future of the Eagles, the 2007-2008 Titans as the 2005-2006 Bears, and the team most likely to end New England's perfect season before they reach the AFC Championship game. Hint: Not Pittsburgh.

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8 comments, Last at 10 Nov 2007, 3:39am by podpeople

09 Nov 2007, 04:10pm by Aaron Schatz

Defense: The New School

There doesn't seem to be a lot of crossover between the top defensive players of 2006 and the top defensive players of 2007. (Click link to read more.)

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27 comments, Last at 12 Nov 2007, 9:13am by Not saying

08 Nov 2007, 06:47pm by Aaron Schatz

Pickle Juice Sport

You know, I was thinking of writing an XP about how Jason Witten is probably the best tight end in the game right now... Antonio Gates may be the best receiving tight end in history, but nobody combines receiving skills with blocking skills like Witten does. Then I saw Matt Mosley link to this. Good luck on those endorsement skills, Jason.

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23 comments, Last at 09 Nov 2007, 11:58am by no more cramping

08 Nov 2007, 06:34pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN Numbers Crunching: Week 10

Here's our latest look at Sunday's matchups through the eyes of the FO stats. Learn about the disappearance of Alge Crumpler and why the Vikings-Packers contest ain't over 'til it's over. Unfortunately, they cut my joke that "Chicago is last in the league defending slot receivers, while Oakland is last in the league in slot receivers anybody has heard of." Thanks to Ryan Wilson for doing a large part of this week's article while I was busy running around Philadelphia and South Jersey (details of that to come in tomorrow's TDZ).

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14 comments, Last at 09 Nov 2007, 2:35pm by mshray

08 Nov 2007, 05:59pm by Aaron Schatz

Disproving a Cold-Weather Theory

Teams run the ball more in cold weather? Turns out to be a load of crap. Good stuff from Ken Daube, who I think is one of the fantasy football guys who came over to ESPN.com when they bought Talented Mr. Roto.

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16 comments, Last at 08 Nov 2007, 10:53pm by sundown

08 Nov 2007, 02:25am by Aaron Schatz

DVOA on AOL: Week 9

Yes, I feel strange posting DVOA on AOL Week 9 after FOX Rundown Week 10. It disturbs my sense of mathematical order.

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14 comments, Last at 08 Nov 2007, 5:12pm by The Boilermaster

06 Nov 2007, 08:45pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 9 DVOA Ratings

The Pats and Colts play the game that DVOA expected, while the Steelers and Cowboys score prime time blowouts to give us a dramatically dominant top four. Actually, it is a dominant four-and-a-half, because the Titans defense is climbing into rarefied air.

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153 comments, Last at 10 Nov 2007, 6:28pm by Andrew

05 Nov 2007, 11:18pm by Aaron Schatz

2007 Quick Reads: Week 9

Adrian Peterson set the NFL record for rushing yards in one game, but he didn't have the highest running back DPAR in one game. In fact, believe it or not, he didn't even have the highest ROOKIE running back DPAR in one game. Quick Reads explains that and gives info on all the best performances of the week according to FO stats.

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104 comments, Last at 09 Nov 2007, 3:39pm by Alex Altman

02 Nov 2007, 06:30pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Late First-Round WR Gems

This week's Monday Night Football matchup between the Steelers (Santonio Holmes) and the Ravens (Mark Clayton) gives Ned and myself a chance to revisit his research from the Detroit chapter of PFP 2006.

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22 comments, Last at 07 Nov 2007, 4:12pm by joepinion