Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

25 Jul 2007, 06:59pm by Aaron Schatz

More Fun with Incomplete Passes

We go back into the 2006 game charting data to take a closer look at incomplete passes. Learn who had the most underthrown or overthrown passes, the surprising difference between Byron Leftwich and David Garrard, and why a pass defensed isn't necessarily a higher quality of incomplete.

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74 comments, Last at 17 Aug 2007, 6:37pm by stan

25 Jul 2007, 05:30pm by Aaron Schatz

Dunn to Miss Training Camp after Back Surgery

Warrick Dunn apparently had surgery last week to remove a herniated disc in his back, and will be out six weeks. That encompasses training camp and brings him back by the start of the season, but there is certainly a chance that he will be unavailable for the first few games. It seems like bad news for Atlanta, but it may only be bad news if the injury hobbles Dunn all season. If it simply forces them to use Jerious Norwood as a larger part of the running game, it could be a blessing in disguise.

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18 comments, Last at 26 Jul 2007, 12:58pm by Tom Kelso

25 Jul 2007, 01:55pm by Aaron Schatz

Will We Ever See Another John L. Williams?

Forgot to link this fun p-f-r blog post from Tuesday, looking at Seattle's John L. Williams -- perhaps the last "featured runner" fullback in NFL history.

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22 comments, Last at 26 Jul 2007, 4:54pm by Kellerman

24 Jul 2007, 03:56pm by Aaron Schatz

FO Chat at Baseball Prospectus

Among the topics of today's chat: Teams that will improve and decline the most in 2007, brand new game charting stats that make PFP 2007 better than PFP 2006, why Eli Manning isn't really the problem with the Giants, whether the NFL might have a referee problem like the NBA, and ESPN's disrespect for Leigh Bodden. Also, lots and lots of fantasy football questions.

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21 comments, Last at 26 Jul 2007, 10:05pm by Chris

23 Jul 2007, 10:40pm by Aaron Schatz

Goodell Orders Vick to Skip Training Camp

At a certain point we're going to have to set some ground rules for when we link Michael Vick stories in Extra Points, or else we're going to have to do nothing but All Vick, All The Time. This one, however, is pretty important, since it impacts the Falcons team on the field.

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68 comments, Last at 25 Jul 2007, 11:34pm by Raiderjoe

23 Jul 2007, 04:24pm by Aaron Schatz

Adjusting Completion Percentage

This year's Pro Football Prospectus contains a lot more game charting data when compared to last year's book, but we still couldn't fit it all in. We'll be looking at some of that data on Football Outsiders over the next month. Today: Whose completion percentage suffered due to dropped passes, and whose completion percentage was helped by a healthy dose of short routes?

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84 comments, Last at 20 Aug 2007, 12:26pm by Soxphan

21 Jul 2007, 10:50pm by Aaron Schatz

FO in the NYTimes: Bonds and Favre, Meet Rodriguez and Manning

Signs that football is on its way: Today we had our first bookstore sighting of PFP 2007, and now our first New York Times sighting of Football Outsiders. When Brett Favre breaks all the NFL passing records this season, write his name in the record books in pencil, because Peyton Manning will destroy those records in a few years. Don't expect people to talk about this in the way they talk about Alex Rodriguez eventually breaking Barry Bonds' record, because unlike Barry Bonds, people do not think Brett Favre is a dick. (Free registration required.)

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84 comments, Last at 25 Jul 2007, 2:52pm by amin

18 Jul 2007, 02:16pm by Aaron Schatz

Redding's Payday Just Ridiculous

The FO staff was discussing this one on e-mail and I think we all agree with Adam Schein. Cory Redding???

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38 comments, Last at 23 Jul 2007, 10:06pm by Matt Millen

18 Jul 2007, 10:40am by Aaron Schatz

Pythagorean Wins Revisited

Thanks to Doug Drinen and Matt Melton for answering a question that has always been on the big, long Football Outsiders "ideas to do" list: Would the Pythagorean Theorem work better for football if we somehow lessened the importance of blowouts? The answer: In the NFL no, in college football yes. The best part of this post is that it contains no mention of "Ookie."

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13 comments, Last at 19 Jul 2007, 1:03pm by MJK

17 Jul 2007, 06:15pm by Aaron Schatz

Dolphins Release Culpepper

Well, that turned out to be a complete failure. I'm sure there was a way this could have worked out better -- if the Dolphins had not hurried Culpepper back from the injury so early, perhaps. Next stop Jacksonville? And is that a good thing or a bad thing for the Jaguars, who are one consistent quarterback and one breakout receiver away from being major Super Bowl contenders?

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31 comments, Last at 19 Jul 2007, 9:00pm by MJK