Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

06 Jan 2006, 07:57pm by Aaron Schatz

AFC Wild Card Preview

Bitter AFC North rivals face off for a third time, and the defending champion New England Patriots bring out the magic beans against some team from Florida. Who are they again? Oh, yes, the Jaguars. With help from Michael David Smith’s tape analysis and our Football Outsiders statistics, Aaron previews the AFC wild card contests.

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82 comments, Last at 15 Jan 2006, 4:48am by Sid

06 Jan 2006, 07:48pm by Aaron Schatz

Yet More FO Back-Patting

Each year, King Kaufman of Salon.com tracks the preseason picks of all the pundits he can find, including all the ESPN and SI guys and the big preseason magazines like Street & Smith's and Athlon Sports. This year, the most accurate preseason predictions belonged to ... ME! Yay! (And people say this stat stuff doesn't work for football!) This is the second straight year that Football Outsiders has delivered the most accurate preseason predictions in football, sort of. Why sort of?

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17 comments, Last at 08 Jan 2006, 6:32pm by admin

06 Jan 2006, 06:43pm by Aaron Schatz

FO Chat at Baseball Prospectus

Here's a link to today's chat at BaseballProspectus.com, discussing the playoffs, the strange 2005 divide between good teams and bad teams, the future of Joe Horn, and a fantasy sleeper for 2006 that you may have forgotten about.

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10 comments, Last at 07 Jan 2006, 3:58pm by Jerry F.

06 Jan 2006, 05:32pm by Aaron Schatz

NFC Wild Card Preview

No more 8-8 teams for the NFC; this year, every team in the playoffs has at least 10 wins. Can the Giants overcome the injuries to their linebackers, or will the Panthers reward those who have supported them since the preseason? The Redskins are the hottest team in the NFC, but can they go on the road with an injured secondary to get revenge for their one-point loss against Tampa Bay? With help from Michael David Smith’s tape analysis and our Football Outsiders statistics, Aaron previews the NFC wild card contests.

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27 comments, Last at 14 Apr 2009, 1:44pm by Visitor

06 Jan 2006, 05:25pm by Aaron Schatz

You Be The Sportswriter

Dan Lewis, a contributor to Pro Football Prospectus 2005, and has started a new sports wiki called ArmchairGM with some of his friends. The site is in pre-beta right now, but here is the idea: Live, fan-written game recaps, where everyone contributes as writers and editors of the same article.

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13 comments, Last at 09 Jan 2006, 12:15pm by OMO

05 Jan 2006, 05:39pm by Aaron Schatz

Alexander Wins MVP over Manning, Brady

Whoo-hoo! Pacific Northwest Media Bias! Shaun Alexander wins the 2005 NFL MVP award with 19 votes. Peyton Manning had 13, Tom Brady 10, Tiki Barber 6, and Carson Palmer 2. This should make the Alexander contract debate even more fun. Just remember, Seattle, you aren't paying him for the past. You're paying him for the future. Of course, his future is probably going to be pretty good for a while.

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89 comments, Last at 24 Jan 2006, 11:46pm by Juanita Weis

04 Jan 2006, 04:37pm by Aaron Schatz

Bad Year to Be a Dog

In his final power rankings of the regular season, Dr. Z points out how few big upsets there were in the NFL this year. I don't feel like arguing Dr. Z's rankings vs. mine, but I had to link this, because Dr. Z may have set an all-time record for strange asides, metaphors, and non sequiters in this week's comments. And having read Dr. Z for a long time, that's really saying something. You gotta stay away from the reds while you are writing, Doc.

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14 comments, Last at 05 Jan 2006, 4:31pm by sizzly

04 Jan 2006, 04:29pm by Aaron Schatz

The Real Pro Bowl

Think there will be a lot of future NFL players on the field in tonight's Rose Bowl? Peter Schrager remembers the 2003 Fiesta Bowl, which featured 51 future NFL players (and counting). That includes two Ohio State punters. Two Ohio State punters??? Plus, it's always nice to see Craig Krenzel's name again. I remember this game very well because I watched it on a little TV at the end of the bar at the Middle East Downstairs, waiting for Versus to play. I think that was their last tour before they broke up. Damn, did they rock.

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13 comments, Last at 04 Jan 2006, 11:47pm by Old James

03 Jan 2006, 07:03pm by Aaron Schatz

Final 2005 DVOA Ratings

Indianapolis ranks as the top team of 2005 according to the final Football Outsiders DVOA ratings, by the slimmest of margins over the Denver Broncos. Kansas City moves all the way up to third, something they can look back on with pride as they set their January tee times. The fact that the Chiefs moved ahead of the Seahawks should be a clue as to the major problem explored in this week's commentary on FOXSports.com. Hint: Do you know the names Seneca Wallace and Bam Childress?

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104 comments, Last at 11 Jan 2006, 1:04pm by Sid

02 Jan 2006, 07:51pm by Aaron Schatz

2005 Full-Season Quick Reads

This week's Quick Reads looks at the best and worst players for the year, not just for Week 17. That means that all the full-season individual stats pages are now online. Consider this an open thread to talk about not just the Quick Reads column but also all the DVOA and DPAR ratings for individual players in 2005.

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43 comments, Last at 05 Jan 2006, 8:00am by big_adventure