Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

12 Sep 2007, 06:51pm by Aaron Schatz

FO Mailbag: DVOA, Lies, and Videotape

So, if the Patriots are stealing their opponents' defensive signals and reviewing the video at halftime, their offense should improve in the third and fourth quarter. Right? (Click link to read more.)

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80 comments, Last at 14 Sep 2007, 8:16am by JMM

12 Sep 2007, 06:04pm by Aaron Schatz

Most Valuable Position

Over at Slate, Robert Weintraub tries to figure out the order of positions from most important to least important. My biggest problem with this is that he has safeties so much higher than cornerbacks. That's true, in some defensive schemes. In other defensive schemes, the cornerbacks are far, far more important than the safeties.

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30 comments, Last at 15 Sep 2007, 1:08am by MC2

12 Sep 2007, 11:09am by Aaron Schatz

Let Us Now Praise Ron Jaworski

King Kaufman on Monday Night Football's regular-season debut. Hint: He loved it. Me too. I also think Mike and Mike and Mike did a good job with the night game considering that a) Mike and Mike aren't used to working with Ditka; b) Ditka's done even less in-game color commentary than Golic has, and you could tell from his mistakes; and c) that game sucked harder than Chasey Lain. (Note: Must watch ad to read Salon column.)

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50 comments, Last at 13 Sep 2007, 4:40pm by Joon

11 Sep 2007, 05:08pm by Aaron Schatz

FO Mailbag: Offense vs. Defense Early

Who has the upper hand early in the season: offenses or defenses? (Click link to read more.)

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34 comments, Last at 13 Sep 2007, 9:48am by starzero

11 Sep 2007, 01:34pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 1 DVOA Ratings

You love them when your team is high! You hate them when your team is low! Celebrate National Jump to Conclusions Week with the first DVOA and DAVE ratings for 2007.

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99 comments, Last at 14 Sep 2007, 3:39pm by Nate

10 Sep 2007, 05:07pm by Aaron Schatz

2007 Quick Reads: Week 1

Randy Moss and Chris Brown may have enjoyed games for the ages -- at least, as far as the Football Outsiders PAR system is concerned -- but beware of National Jump to Conclusions Week. Here's the first Quick Reads of the season, with the best and worst performances of the week according to the Football Outsiders stats.

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42 comments, Last at 13 Sep 2007, 3:37pm by Crushinator

10 Sep 2007, 01:39am by Aaron Schatz

Orlando Pace Could Miss Season

There were a lot of major injuries on this first Sunday of the season, and while this wasn't the biggest from a human perspective -- that would be Kevin Everett's spinal injury -- this is probably the biggest from an on-field perspective. Jay Glazer of FOX Sports is reporting that Rams left tackle Orlando Pace is done for the year with a shoulder injury. Sure, strange things happen, but this pretty much ends the Rams' season. In case you don't have your PFP 07 handy, I'll remind you of what happened when Pace was injured halfway through 2006.

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17 comments, Last at 10 Sep 2007, 9:34pm by MJK

06 Sep 2007, 10:15am by Aaron Schatz

Slate PFP Excerpts

Here's a link to the three articles on Slate this week adapted from PFP 2007. The first one adapts the Indianapolis chapter and talks about the Colts and their uncopyable blueprint. The second one talks about sleepers for 2007: Washington, Jacksonville, and Green Bay. The third one talks about the game charting project and our quest for coaches' film. (Click the 1, 2, 3 on the top to read the three different articles.)

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21 comments, Last at 07 Sep 2007, 12:38pm by Jimmy

05 Sep 2007, 06:46pm by Aaron Schatz

2007 DVOA Projections

Here are the 2007 DVOA projections, including 10,000 simulations of the 2007 season to give each team's chances of making the playoffs or winning the division. Learn which teams have seen their projections change since the book, why some teams have projections that differ from conventional wisdom, and how much it will cost to see DVOA this year. (Hint: It is still free.)

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171 comments, Last at 27 Sep 2007, 12:51pm by Joe

02 Sep 2007, 11:46am by Aaron Schatz

Selvin Young Latest Out of Nowhere Back to Excel for Broncos

OK, let's check our copies of PFP 07 to make sure all the out-of-nowhere players who made rosters yesterday were covered in Going Deep. Kenton Keith of the Colts? Check. Lance Moore of the Saints? Check. Matt Gutierrez of the Patriots? Got him too. Selvin Young of the Broncos? Wait, who the heck is Selvin Young, and why is he causing a roto stampede? (For those curious, we also missed Carolina tight end Jeff King and Green Bay's new fourth-string running back, Ryan Grant.)

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24 comments, Last at 04 Sep 2007, 11:34am by Parker