25 Jul 2005, 04:52pm by Aaron Schatz
Usually at FO we write about the football of today, but we're also busy going through old play-by-play so we can apply our metrics to past seasons and learn more about why teams win and lose. Return with us to that bygone era when the NFL was a tiny league of just 30 teams, when Hall of Famers like Elway, Young, and Emmitt still dominated while Peyton Manning and Tony Gonzalez were but wee lads. Learn why the record-setting Vikings didn't even have the best offense of 1998, and why the 1999 Rams may not have been such a surprise after all. Hint: It ties in with the San Diego chapter of Pro Football Prospectus 2005.
87 comments, Last at 03 Aug 2005, 9:54pm by Björn
15 Jul 2005, 12:36pm by Aaron Schatz
What other Buffalo running back left town after a season remarkably similar to Travis Henry's 2004? What are the biggest offensive DVOA turnarounds of the past few years, and could Miami possibly match them? Who will fill the holes in the Jets secondary? Aaron attempts to answer these questions in the latest edition of Four Downs.
55 comments, Last at 12 Aug 2005, 1:48pm by Led
12 Jul 2005, 12:20pm by Aaron Schatz
C'mon Feel the Math! Our good friend William Krasker is back, using his statistical model to ask the question: Does overtime -- and the presence of a third possible outcome, a tie -- change the optimal strategy for certain situations? The answer: Yes, and it matters more later in the season because teams know how a tie will affect their playoff chances. As an example, Krasker shows how a St. Louis decision to punt in overtime of Week 17 was the wrong decision, even though it would usually be the right decision.
48 comments, Last at 18 Jul 2005, 11:24pm by Miles
10 Jul 2005, 04:55pm by Aaron Schatz
Lots of websites do a "cap cut all-star team" when they need off-season content, but FOX has done something fun with theirs, comparing the cap cut all-stars to the World Champs position by position and then imagining what a game between the two teams would be like. Two problems: They don't really consider the injury situation with some of the cap cuts like Ty Law and Richie Anderson, and I think the cap cut all-stars would have to make some cap cuts to actually fit under the cap.
16 comments, Last at 14 Jul 2005, 10:32am by Starshatterer
08 Jul 2005, 10:54am by Aaron Schatz
Grady Jackson, long a FO favorite, has hired agent Drew Rosenhaus and is now threatening to hold out of camp because he wants a new contract -- just like his teammate Javon Walker and that other famous Rosenhaus client, Terrell Owens. Now, we're known around here as big supporters of Jackson, even saying that he was deserving of MVP consideration in 2003.
8 comments, Last at 23 Jul 2005, 3:15pm by DCalla
06 Jul 2005, 05:30pm by Aaron Schatz
In July, the NFL goes on vacation, but NFL fans do not -- because it is time to start thinking fantasy football. No fantasy football position is more important than running back, and in this article from Friday's edition of the New York Sun, Aaron explains why there will be some new names among 2005's NFL rushing yardage leaders. It's your chance to get a sneak peak at some of our fantasy projections and find out why a certain second-year back is featured on the cover of Pro Football Prospectus 2005.
81 comments, Last at 03 Aug 2005, 4:23pm by jimmy jimmerson
05 Jul 2005, 09:20am by Aaron Schatz
We'll never matriculate the ball up and down the field without thinking of you, Hank.
24 comments, Last at 07 Jul 2005, 11:03am by King Kaufman
30 Jun 2005, 03:15pm by Aaron Schatz
This is the kind of completely unfounded rumor that I would never link to between August 1 and June 15, but let's be honest -- we're all dying for something to talk about, and even the slim possibility of this is sure something to talk about. Jerry Porter for Terrell Owens? Owens and Moss on the same team? Would they announce a joint holdout any time Kerry Collins even looked at Ronald Curry? Hat tip to Rotoworld for noticing this wacky rumor from Philly TV station WPVI.
28 comments, Last at 03 Jul 2005, 9:59am by Dan L
30 Jun 2005, 03:07pm by Aaron Schatz
Alex Marvez of USA Today looks at the growing tendency of NFL teams to be, shall we say, less than forthcoming with the truth about player injuries. The NFL passes rules to make teams be more open about injuries, and teams work harder to hide the facts from the press. According to Marvez, the Miami Dolphins are set to become the NFL's only team not to announce in-season surgeries.
23 comments, Last at 01 Jul 2005, 2:46pm by Carl
28 Jun 2005, 10:47am by Aaron Schatz
Jerry Green, longtime NFL reporter for the Detroit News, is this year's winner of the Dick McCann Memorial Award and will be inducted into the writers' wing of the NFL Hall of Fame this summer. Green is one of five reporters to have covered every Super Bowl, and is on both the regular HOF selection committee and the seniors subcommittee. He's also a graduate of Brown University, which means that the school that spawned Football Outsiders is also the alma mater of two of this year's five HOF inductees (Fritz Pollard being the other).
30 comments, Last at 29 Aug 2005, 7:40pm by Richie