Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

16 Nov 2005, 07:01pm by Aaron Schatz

Window Closes on Title Chance

Once upon a time, the 46 defense was supposed to revitalize the Baltimore Ravens, while Derrick Mason finally turned Kyle Boller into a real life NFL quarterback. It was not to be. With Brian Billick likely gone after this season, what steps should Baltimore take to begin the rebuilding process? (Free registration required)

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19 comments, Last at 12 Dec 2005, 4:17pm by JOHN DEIBEL

15 Nov 2005, 08:34pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 11 DVOA Ratings

This week, the Colts break the system. How on earth is undefeated Indianapolis ranked seventh? And if they are ranked seventh, why are they on top? And why is this actually Houston's fault? And what does this have to do with the 1991 UNLV Runnin' Rebels? Here are our innovative DVOA ratings, and the usual commentary for the math-o-phobic is found here on FOXSports.com.

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317 comments, Last at 21 Nov 2005, 10:09pm by R.J.

14 Nov 2005, 08:56pm by Aaron Schatz

2005 Quick Reads: Week 10

Here are this week's Quick Reads, the top players according to DPAR and all the quarterbacks. Some surprising names on top of the list this week, in part because the best quarterback performances of Week 10 came against the league's worst pass defenses and thus were less impressive. Plus, find out which familiar name from the past matched Jake Plummer's magical trick of making interceptions disappear, and find out which running back projection from PFP 2005 was shockingly accurate.

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31 comments, Last at 16 Nov 2005, 10:58pm by Matt Weiner

14 Nov 2005, 12:58pm by Aaron Schatz

FO Mailbag

Are third downs so important in DVOA that teams are punished for getting ten yards in just one or two downs? Are this year's best teams as good as last year's best teams? What's the best way to grade defensive backs for a simulation game? Plus: who the heck is reading this website, anyway?

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30 comments, Last at 20 Nov 2005, 6:49pm by Bright Blue Shorts

12 Nov 2005, 08:39pm by Aaron Schatz

Brown Clinches Ivy League Championship

Ladies and gentlemen, meet the new Official Favorite Player of Football Outsiders, running back Nick Hartigan. Now we all have a reason to pay attention on the second day of the draft!

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10 comments, Last at 16 Aug 2006, 2:22am by Angel

12 Nov 2005, 02:36pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on FOX: Midseason Projections

The midseason projection system says the big surprise team of the second half will be ... um, actually, this year it seems there won't be a surprise team in the second half. But we've got a look at trends in the first half and what that says about close playoff races in the next few weeks. Carolina fans, at least, will be pleased. (Note: actual DVOA projections added 6pm EST.)

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87 comments, Last at 23 Aug 2006, 11:35pm by brandon treat

10 Nov 2005, 10:57am by Aaron Schatz

He's No Kenny Rogers

Jeff Ma talks about the Great Dick Vermeil End Zone Gamble of 2005. (TM) Here's the thing: if Larry Johnson had not made it, and then after the game Vermeil had knocked down a cameraman in anger, then he would be Kenny Rogers, wouldn't he?

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15 comments, Last at 10 Nov 2005, 9:08pm by Trogdor

09 Nov 2005, 04:58pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 10 DVOA Ratings, Atlanta-Free Version

OK, since the original DVOA ratings thread seems to have been taken over by a non-stop argument about the Atlanta Falcons, let's provide a place for people who want to talk about the other 31 teams. If you are an FO regular who has been turned off by the tone of the original discussion thread, this thread is for you.

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150 comments, Last at 18 Nov 2005, 2:41am by mark

09 Nov 2005, 12:15pm by Aaron Schatz

The Lords of Discipline

Slate subtitles this article "Coaches and broadcasters peddle an easy solution to every problem in football." Apparently, discipline and swagger go hand in hand.

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8 comments, Last at 09 Nov 2005, 9:07pm by Craig B

08 Nov 2005, 07:13pm by Aaron Schatz

FO Chat at Baseball Prospectus

Here's an archive of today's FO chat at BaseballProspectus.com -- thanks to those guys, as always, for loaning me the space. Today's chat discussed LaDainian Tomlinson, football in Los Angeles, the future of Curtis Martin and Priest Holmes, statistical analysis of college football, and criticisms of our fantasy football projections.

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8 comments, Last at 10 Nov 2005, 10:14am by James Gibson