Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

11 Oct 2005, 02:49pm by Aaron Schatz

TMQ: How to Predict Scores Without Knowing Who's Playing

Another week of TMQ, as Gregg Easterbrook predicts that all games will end 20-17. He also looks in on Mike Nugent (4-for-7, but still better than Doug Brien), addresses the "tuck rule" cancelled safety in the Washington-Denver game, and lambasts the Rams for punting from the Seattle 35-yard line instead of trying a 53-yard field goal. You know, in a dome, with Jeff Wilkins, who has made eight of his last nine attempts over 50 yards. Yep, he's right on that one.

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60 comments, Last at 14 Oct 2005, 5:34pm by Sid

10 Oct 2005, 06:06pm by Aaron Schatz

2005 Quick Reads: Week 5

Back on FOXSports.com with the latest edition of Quick Reads, featuring the best and worst individual performances of the week. The highlight of this week's column is the worst quarterback performance in the history of FO's advanced metrics.

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18 comments, Last at 11 Oct 2005, 2:39pm by Drew

10 Oct 2005, 11:40am by Aaron Schatz

Rare Free Kick Confuses Even Bironas

Does anyone remember the last time that an NFL team took advantage of the "free kick FG attempt after fair catch of a punt" rule? By the way, the free kick also seemed to have confused Mike Patrick, because at the end of the first half of the Bengals-Jaguars game he said that the Bengals were trying one when they were actually just punting the ball on fourth down.

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45 comments, Last at 07 Jan 2007, 1:52am by Rocco

07 Oct 2005, 11:39pm by Aaron Schatz

Chargers Primed for Long Run of Success

Our new colleague at FOXSports.com, Jay Glazer takes a look at which teams have the best and worst cap situations going into 2006. The Chargers rank third in expected cap room (although this doesn't yet count Drew Brees) and can be very active in next year's free agent market. But even better for San Diego is the fact that Oakland, Denver, and Kansas City rank as three of the five teams with the least amount of expected cap room. Say goodbye to some of those veteran Kansas City and Denver offensive linemen. The Jets will have some pretty tough choices to make as well.

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20 comments, Last at 10 Oct 2005, 3:40pm by ElJefe

07 Oct 2005, 07:22pm by Aaron Schatz

Fear, Not Numbers, Sacked Holmgren

I've angered the Washington fans enough, but let's look at last week's game from the other side? When Seattle picked off Mark Brunell with 49 seconds left, why did Mike Holmgren settle for two running plays and a long field goal instead of passing to get closer? Dave Locke of the Seattle Post-Intelligencer has more on coaches who play not to lose. (Thanks to reader Jason Zanon for sending the link.)

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15 comments, Last at 09 Oct 2005, 9:21am by Flux

07 Oct 2005, 10:52am by Aaron Schatz

Punter Isn't Raising Bar on Protection

Scott Player: last devotee of the one-bar helmet.

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15 comments, Last at 10 Oct 2005, 7:47pm by Carl

06 Oct 2005, 02:07pm by Aaron Schatz

Washington Bandwagon Headed for a Crash

Is Washington a fraud? If the statement is "Washington is 3-0 and has a shot at the playoffs," the answer is no. If the statement is "Washington has been one of the NFL's best teams so far in 2005," the answer is yes. Aaron Schatz goes inside the history of teams that start with three close wins, and shows that even the best unit in Washington isn't playing as well as people think.

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195 comments, Last at 16 Oct 2005, 9:53am by Mykhael

05 Oct 2005, 05:55pm by Aaron Schatz

Alive and Kicking

Whatever became of Martin Gramatica? After surgery to repair tears in his lower adductor muscle and lower abdomen, he says his struggles are behind him, and he's ready to return to the NFL.

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11 comments, Last at 06 Oct 2005, 7:52pm by Tom Brady

05 Oct 2005, 12:51am by Aaron Schatz

The Price of Penalties

Over at PROTRADE, a look at exactly how many points each penalty cost the Kansas City Chiefs in their loss to Denver two weeks ago. The numbers certainly highlight how penalties can hurt a team. The one problem with this, shown in an article by Michael David Smith from two seasons ago, is that over the long haul of a 16-game season there is no correlation between wins and net penalty yards.

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11 comments, Last at 05 Oct 2005, 7:58pm by Purds

04 Oct 2005, 11:32pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 5 DVOA Ratings

The Giants are up, the Bills are down, and with a big win, Atlanta's rating finally matches its record. Here are the latest DVOA ratings, with commentary for the math-o-phobic featured on FOXSports.com.

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71 comments, Last at 07 Oct 2005, 10:22pm by Jon