Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

29 Aug 2005, 02:10pm by Aaron Schatz

Third Down, Red Zone Efficiency are Significant

No, really? Golly, John, if only one of those "sabermetric converts of baseball" could figure out a method of rating NFL team efficiency that really did judge teams by more than just total yardage. Maybe somebody could measure teams by yards per play, just like you suggest, and give more weight to third downs and red zone performance, and maybe adjust based on game situation and even opponent strength, so that they ended up with a statistic that did a better job of predicting future performance than wins or points or total yards.

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44 comments, Last at 01 Sep 2005, 5:53pm by Pat

29 Aug 2005, 10:58am by Aaron Schatz

Pared Down to Pair

The Miami Dolphins are now considering playing both A.J. Feeley and Gus Frerotte in a quarterback rotation. What on earth is the point of this? Are teams really going to be freaked out trying to prepare for both Feeley and Frerotte? When is the last time a team even tried a quarterback rotation like this? And when's the last time it worked? Norm Van Brocklin and Bob Waterfield? (Free registration required.)

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23 comments, Last at 30 Aug 2005, 6:48pm by Oswlek

27 Aug 2005, 11:20am by Aaron Schatz

Ten Undecided Positional Battles

See if you can notice something really weird about this SI.com article by Don Banks. I'll give you a hint: The problem with 1-9 doesn't quite apply to number 10.

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25 comments, Last at 29 Aug 2005, 10:41pm by Björn

25 Aug 2005, 10:27am by Aaron Schatz

TMQ: NFC Preview

Apparently, nobody from FO linked this while I was driving around Dallas on Tuesday. I swear, is there anything in Dallas that is less than an hour away from anything else? Anyway, I haven't had a chance to read this yet but I'm sure it's swell. Apparently, TMQ's opinion of Mr. Ron Mexico is similar to ours.

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119 comments, Last at 04 Sep 2005, 7:50pm by Zac

19 Aug 2005, 02:03pm by Aaron Schatz

FO/PFP Mailbag

Aaron somehow finds time between stops on PFP World Tour 2005 to answer your questions. Can we split out schedule strength next year by offense and defense? Why do teams pick quarterbacks in the first round when so many fail? Plus new KUBIAK projections for Denver, Chicago, and Philadelphia. Now updated with an "alternative" Tiki Barber projection for you Brandon Jacobs fans.

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53 comments, Last at 24 Aug 2005, 11:29pm by Sid

15 Aug 2005, 12:57pm by Aaron Schatz

MMQB: Grow Up, T.O.

I don't want Extra Points to become All T.O., All The Time, but I think that Peter King is right on the money in this commentary on the Owens situation. I can't say for sure because I don't play for the Eagles, but it seems like this has gone past Owens vs. ownership and become Owens vs. teammates. All summer long I've been telling people that only the Eagles can beat the Eagles this year, and apparently T.O. has decided to take me up on my challenge. It's frustrating because I would rather be talking about the game on the field.

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180 comments, Last at 19 Aug 2005, 12:50pm by Carl

14 Aug 2005, 03:22pm by Aaron Schatz

I'm the Guy ... The Stats Guy

A lot of people have asked what to expect at a Pro Football Prospectus bookstore event, and this article by Stan Jaksina of Patsfans.com gives you a pretty good idea. I talk a little about how FO got started, I take questions about any player or team that you want to talk about, and I'm a little bit of a goofball. Unfortunately, those who attend PFP events outside of Boston will not get to see Mirinae come up to the podium going "Dada... dada... dada..." but other than that it should be similar.

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22 comments, Last at 17 Aug 2005, 4:02pm by mactbone

12 Aug 2005, 01:13pm by Aaron Schatz

The Worst QB Seasons Ever

Sure, Pro Football Prospectus 2005 contains a list of the best quarterback seasons since 1960, but where's a list of the worst quarterback seasons since 1960? Well, golly, I'm glad you asked, because here's your answer, courtesy of yours truly and ESPN Page 2. Return once again to the magic year of 1998, and then meet the one quarterback in history who was worse than Ryan Leaf. Here's a hint: In one game, his running back outgained him by 258 yards!

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24 comments, Last at 15 Aug 2005, 2:45pm by David Keller

06 Aug 2005, 09:37pm by Aaron Schatz

FO in the NYTimes: Third Down is the Charm for NFL Turnarounds

The New York Times gives me space to expound upon FO's new favorite theory, third down as a future indicator. If you've been asking yourself, "What would the San Diego chapter of Pro Football Prospectus 2005 look like if it were only 800 words long," well, here's your answer! (Free registration required)

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14 comments, Last at 14 Aug 2005, 4:25pm by Randy

05 Aug 2005, 05:04pm by Aaron Schatz

Pinkston Out for Year?

Let the injuries commence. Not a good day in the NFC East, where Pro Football Talk is reporting that Pinkston is done for the year with a torn Achilles tendon. The linked article from the Eagles' website just says he got hurt today along with -- surprise! -- Correll Buckhalter.

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41 comments, Last at 09 Aug 2005, 2:09pm by MDS