Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

07 Oct 2005, 07:22pm by Aaron Schatz

Fear, Not Numbers, Sacked Holmgren

I've angered the Washington fans enough, but let's look at last week's game from the other side? When Seattle picked off Mark Brunell with 49 seconds left, why did Mike Holmgren settle for two running plays and a long field goal instead of passing to get closer? Dave Locke of the Seattle Post-Intelligencer has more on coaches who play not to lose. (Thanks to reader Jason Zanon for sending the link.)

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15 comments, Last at 09 Oct 2005, 9:21am by Flux

07 Oct 2005, 10:52am by Aaron Schatz

Punter Isn't Raising Bar on Protection

Scott Player: last devotee of the one-bar helmet.

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15 comments, Last at 10 Oct 2005, 7:47pm by Carl

06 Oct 2005, 02:07pm by Aaron Schatz

Washington Bandwagon Headed for a Crash

Is Washington a fraud? If the statement is "Washington is 3-0 and has a shot at the playoffs," the answer is no. If the statement is "Washington has been one of the NFL's best teams so far in 2005," the answer is yes. Aaron Schatz goes inside the history of teams that start with three close wins, and shows that even the best unit in Washington isn't playing as well as people think.

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195 comments, Last at 16 Oct 2005, 9:53am by Mykhael

05 Oct 2005, 05:55pm by Aaron Schatz

Alive and Kicking

Whatever became of Martin Gramatica? After surgery to repair tears in his lower adductor muscle and lower abdomen, he says his struggles are behind him, and he's ready to return to the NFL.

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11 comments, Last at 06 Oct 2005, 7:52pm by Tom Brady

05 Oct 2005, 12:51am by Aaron Schatz

The Price of Penalties

Over at PROTRADE, a look at exactly how many points each penalty cost the Kansas City Chiefs in their loss to Denver two weeks ago. The numbers certainly highlight how penalties can hurt a team. The one problem with this, shown in an article by Michael David Smith from two seasons ago, is that over the long haul of a 16-game season there is no correlation between wins and net penalty yards.

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11 comments, Last at 05 Oct 2005, 7:58pm by Purds

04 Oct 2005, 11:32pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 5 DVOA Ratings

The Giants are up, the Bills are down, and with a big win, Atlanta's rating finally matches its record. Here are the latest DVOA ratings, with commentary for the math-o-phobic featured on FOXSports.com.

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71 comments, Last at 07 Oct 2005, 10:22pm by Jon

03 Oct 2005, 04:06pm by Aaron Schatz

2005 Quick Reads: Week 4

Look, kids, it's the second week of Football Outsiders material at FOXSports.com. Here's my list of the top five and bottom five players at each position by DPAR. Today, I determine the better Manning and spread the gospel of Bobby Engram.

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34 comments, Last at 04 Oct 2005, 3:12pm by Pat

03 Oct 2005, 02:56pm by Aaron Schatz

Morning After: Questions Continue to Surround Harrington

Someone asked us to start linking all of Len Pasquarelli's Morning After columns in Extra Points, so who are we to say no? On the other hand, I don't think Morning After is anywhere near as good as Tip Sheet on Fridays, because Morning After is a lot less reporting (Pasquarelli's strong suit) and a lot more opinion (not, shall we say, his strong suit).

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37 comments, Last at 06 Oct 2005, 2:24pm by cmm3

03 Oct 2005, 11:39am by Aaron Schatz

MMQB: They Was Robbed

Well, we need somewhere to debate the Marcus Pollard call. I thought his knee was over the line. Peter King disagrees. But he may be right that, whether Pollard's knee was over the line or not, there wasn't indisputable evidence that Pollard was out of bounds, and thus Detroit should be 2-1 this morning. Peter also hops on the Eli Manning bandwagon with everyone else -- he's been much better this season, but let's be honest, St.

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111 comments, Last at 06 Oct 2005, 5:06pm by dryheat

03 Oct 2005, 12:51am by Aaron Schatz

FO Mailbag

FO catches up on mail related to both PFP 2005 and articles on our site. What do Eli Manning's similarity scores look like now that he's had some good games? Do DVOA ratings say that the 2001 Chicago Bears were a fluke? DVOA on third down fluctuates from year to year, but does it fluctuate during the season? Plus, Ben Alamar answers your questions regarding the statistical methodology behind the preseason projections.

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23 comments, Last at 05 Oct 2005, 1:19am by Todd Treichel