Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

23 Jun 2006, 03:27pm by Aaron Schatz

Oregon Ducks Unveil New Uniforms

The new Oregon uniforms have to be seen to be believed. Could it possibly get worse than the uniforms they unveiled for last year's Civil War game against Oregon State? Thanks to the magic of multiple color combinations, the answer is yes. Apparently, the most popular drinking game at Nike headquarters is "design the Oregon Ducks uniforms." They are no longer the Oregon Fighting Intellivision Men, however, as the coach requested a change in the font for player numbers.

» More...

50 comments, Last at 06 Nov 2006, 8:34pm by The Mul aka J-Dawg

22 Jun 2006, 11:27am by Aaron Schatz

10,000 NFL Seasons

Inspired by an old Bill James article, Doug Drinen ran a simulation of 10,000 seasons of football to see what would happen. Each year, the 32 teams were given different ratings that were supposed to designate their "true strength." (Somewhat like DVOA, but it's Doug's system, not mine.) Then Doug ran the season to see what would happen. How often does the best team win the Super Bowl? How often does a bad team make the playoffs?

» More...

76 comments, Last at 03 Jul 2006, 7:55am by Mr Shush

21 Jun 2006, 03:42pm by Aaron Schatz

Four Downs: AFC East

We finish our "Best Player Available" analysis and the latest round of Four Downs by taking a look at the new arrivals in the AFC East: Two exiled New Orleans defenders, some talented young defensive backs, a couple rookie Dolphins with family connections to the NFL, one PFP 2006 coverboy, and a new challenger for the title of "Football Outsiders' Favorite Player."

» More...

232 comments, Last at 17 Jul 2006, 9:08pm by Norm

20 Jun 2006, 03:12pm by Aaron Schatz

Study: Cities with Football Stadiums May Lose Tax Revenues

Interesting study here by Craig Depken, an economist at the University of Texas at Arlington, who found that cities in Texas lose sales tax revenue whenever they host a professional football or basketball game -- but gain revenue from baseball or hockey games. The study also finds that smaller cities gain more revenue from hosting Division-IA and I-AA college football games than larger cities do.

» More...

80 comments, Last at 24 Jun 2006, 3:10pm by Trogdor

12 Jun 2006, 01:30pm by Aaron Schatz

Roethlisberger in Motorcycle Accident: Breaks Jaw, Injures Knees

"A witness told [Pittsburgh TV station WTAE] that Roethlisberger went over the handlebars, hit the windshield of another vehicle, then hit the ground. Roethlisberger was reportedly not wearing a helmet at the time of the accident." Roethlisberger broke his jaw, a sinus, and most of his teeth, and there are conflicting reports about whether he injured his knees or just had road burn take off the skin.

» More...

309 comments, Last at 17 Jun 2006, 10:33am by Melish

04 Jun 2006, 04:05pm by Aaron Schatz

Adopt a Team

Dan Lewis is looking for folks to cover specific NFL teams for his ArmchairGM Wiki project. Click the link and check it out.

» More...

4 comments, Last at 05 Jun 2006, 11:53am by DNL

31 May 2006, 10:11pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on FOX: Off-season Power Rankings

DVOA? We don't need no stinkin' DVOA. For the first time, Football Outsiders brings you totally, completely subjective power rankings. Let the arguments begin!

» More...

140 comments, Last at 08 Jun 2006, 3:51pm by Doug

29 May 2006, 11:11pm by Aaron Schatz

MMQB: Cowboys Champs in '07

Attention, Peter King. This is the Dallas offensive line speaking. Please put the crack pipe down.

» More...

136 comments, Last at 09 Jun 2006, 10:10pm by centrifuge

25 May 2006, 05:59pm by Aaron Schatz

Why is Third-and-2 a Passing Down?

I keep meaning to post about this and then it slips my mind because of all the work on the book, but Doug Drinen of pro-football-reference has started a blog doing a lot of fun little statistical analyses. He's one of my inspirations so folks should check it out, he seems to be posting roughly once a day. For example, here's one asking a question that I've wondered about ever since our original "Better to Have Rushed and Lost" article -- why do coaches treat third-and-2 as a passing situation when the run is so much more successful?

» More...

28 comments, Last at 29 May 2006, 12:44am by MJK

22 May 2006, 12:31pm by Aaron Schatz

This Is Where Offense Is Headed

Pat Kirwan on the rise of the two-TE set, and the advantage it gives to the offense. The Cowboys' selection of Anthony Fasano and the Patriots' selection of David Thomas are both examples of how many teams now want to have not one but two or even three starting-quality tight ends. From PFP 2006, the teams that ran two-TE sets most often in 2005:

WAS 47%
TB 46%
KC 39%
GB 37%
TEN 35%
PIT 32%
DEN 32%
ATL 31%
HOU 31%
NE 31%

The lowest? Cincinnati and the New York Giants.

» More...

48 comments, Last at 25 May 2006, 5:32pm by Ilanin