Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

19 Jan 2005, 03:01am by Aaron Schatz

Football Commentary: Wild Card and Divisional Round Strategy Review

Our buddy William Krasker is back with more of his analysis of strategy decisions by coaches in the first two rounds of the playoffs. There's an interesting note here from Bill Belichick on the whole concept of "winning the time of possession battle." William also looks at Indianapolis punting in the third quarter from the New England 49-yard line and their odd clock management to end the first half. Plus, how much did that weird kneeling play affect New York's chances of beating Pittsburgh?

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18 Jan 2005, 02:14pm by Aaron Schatz

TMQ: Patriots Prove My Point

Gregg Easterbrook lambasts the Colts in this week's Tuesday Morning Quarterback. He points out that the Patriots made Peyton Manning constantly audible into anti-blitz plays even though the Pats were never blitzing anyway. He castigates Tony Dungy for punting on 4th-and-1 on the Patriots 49-yard line (I agree). He points out that the Colts played in a two tight end set and then never ran the ball. He does, however, feel the officials missed a few holding calls on the Patriots offensive line.

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1 comment, Last at 06 Oct 2006, 5:13am by serenay

17 Jan 2005, 03:25pm by Aaron Schatz

MMQB: A Tale of Two Teams

Peter King looks back at the main storylines of the weekend. I think he does a good job of faulting the Colts as a team rather than simply concentrating on #18 like many writers, but I think this "Michael Vick should scare the Eagles" thing is a bit overstated. The Rams have a BAD defense, people, and it is particularly bad in the exact places where Atlanta can take advantage, places the Eagles are generally better. King also gives his reasons for not voting for Art Monk for the Hall of Fame.

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17 Jan 2005, 02:39pm by Aaron Schatz

Snap Judgment: Raising the Stakes

This weekend the running games took over from the passing games (hope that made you happy, Al) but we'll do Snap Judgment anyway. This week we look at Peyton Manning's inability to beat the Patriots, how the Eagles can stop Michael Vick, and what in the heck was wrong with Ben Roethlisberger. Also, the Football Outsiders QB ratings, featuring special guest stars the Football Outsiders RB ratings.

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14 Jan 2005, 02:45pm by Aaron Schatz

NFC Semifinals Preview

This year's NFC postseason feels a bit like the Division II playoffs, but that doesn't mean it can't be fun. These four teams are going to score more than an all-male a capella group after a concert at Wellesley College. With help from Michael David Smith's tape analysis and our Football Outsiders statistics, Aaron previews the NFC semifinals and makes possibly the first-ever reference on an NFL website to the obscure Athens band Pylon.

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14 Jan 2005, 02:36pm by Aaron Schatz

Hype, Hype, Away

ESPN Page 2 presents a list of the most anticipated pre-Super Bowl playoff games since 1970. Relive the Steel Curtain vs. Luv Ya Blue, Jimmy Johnson's brass balls, George Atkinson's lawsuit against Chuck Noll, and all the things written about last year's Indianapolis-New England game. Peyton Manning, it turns out, was unstoppable! By the way, it seems like the guy who wrote this article needs to take a vacation. I keep seeing his stuff everywhere lately.

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14 Jan 2005, 03:44am by Aaron Schatz

AFC Semifinals Preview

Once again, the NFL's most underrated QB takes on the NFL's most overrated QB. Hundreds of Patriots and Colts fans were slaughtered this week in a brawl meant to determine which of those players is Tom Brady and which is Peyton Manning. Will injuries on the New England defense help Manning finally get off his personal Planet of the Apes? Also, there are rumors of another game involving AFC teams, although the details we can get from the media are sketchy. Could this be the least-hyped playoff game involving a New York team ever? With help from Michael David Smith's tape analysis and our Football Outsiders statistics, Aaron previews the AFC semifinals.

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12 Jan 2005, 12:26am by Aaron Schatz

Bloody Sundays

Carl Prine looks at NFL injuries in this incredibly detailed research report from the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. Seriously intricate work here, looking at how often players get injured, what kinds of injuries they face, and which kinds of players get injured most often.

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3 comments, Last at 07 Dec 2006, 5:03pm by PatsFan

11 Jan 2005, 04:49pm by Aaron Schatz

Playoff Theories: Mythbusters

David Schoenfeld, my editor over at ESPN Page 2, takes a go at ten common theories about how to win in the playoffs: You gotta run, you gotta pass, defense wins championships, you need momentum. Most of his findings won't shock regular readers of Football Outsiders, although I admit that was a little surprised that Super Bowl teams have generally been better over the first six games of the season than the final ten.

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11 Jan 2005, 03:08pm by Aaron Schatz

TMQ: There She Is, Miss Cue!

TMQ this week talks about how football is the most emotional sport, lambasts Mike Shanahan's fourth down decisions, makes a small error in asserting that nobody picked the Steelers to have a winning season (Yo! Gregg! Over here! FO predicted the Steelers as division champs!), and celebrates the who-dat players of the week, Shaun McDonald and Cam "Nickels" Cleeland of the St. Louis Rams.

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