03 Oct 2005, 12:51am by Aaron Schatz
FO catches up on mail related to both PFP 2005 and articles on our site. What do Eli Manning's similarity scores look like now that he's had some good games? Do DVOA ratings say that the 2001 Chicago Bears were a fluke? DVOA on third down fluctuates from year to year, but does it fluctuate during the season? Plus, Ben Alamar answers your questions regarding the statistical methodology behind the preseason projections.
23 comments, Last at 05 Oct 2005, 1:19am by Todd Treichel
30 Sep 2005, 01:40pm by Aaron Schatz
In today's Wall Street Journal, Sam Walker looks at Wonderlic scores to see if he can tell which NFL team is the smartest, and which is -- there's no other way to put this -- the dumbest. The smartest team, apparently, is St. Louis, followed by Oakland. Clearly, they are measuring players, and not fans. The dumbest teams? Your 0-3 Green Bay Packers and Arizona Cardinals. (Hat tip: Deadspin)
43 comments, Last at 05 Oct 2005, 7:40am by someone
29 Sep 2005, 06:03pm by Aaron Schatz
Dr. Z is sick of Jeremy Shockey whining to the media. Who isn't? The good doc also points out the similarities between last week's Patriots-Steelers game and the one that broke the New England winning streak in 2004, and he's a big fan of the New England defensive line. Also feel free to discuss his latest power rankings. Doing these myself this year, I realize how silly it is to base things on win-loss records this early in the year. I mean, really, does Dr.
36 comments, Last at 03 Oct 2005, 9:23am by Flux
29 Sep 2005, 11:41am by Aaron Schatz
Over at the PROTRADE site, Ben Alamar takes a look at the best and worst quarterbacks of 2004 in a variety of situations: 3rd downs, blitzes, and red zone. (You may remember Ben as the guy who helped us create the DVOA-based win projection system.) The moral of the story: blitz Marc Bulger but not Peyton Manning, and try to trap Tom Brady in third-and-long.
24 comments, Last at 02 Oct 2005, 3:30pm by David Keller
29 Sep 2005, 12:21am by Aaron Schatz
Once upon a time, there was a talented young quarterback. He suffered an injury, sat out a few weeks, attempted to come back, and made the injury worse. This is the story of Dan Majkowski, the man Chad Pennington sees in his nightmares.
4 comments, Last at 01 Oct 2005, 12:03am by djibouti
28 Sep 2005, 09:20am by Aaron Schatz
We don't normally link to team fan message board posts here at Extra Points, but then again you don't normally find good breakdown like this on team fan message boards. I was going through the referral logs this morning and found this Chicago Bears board had linked to Mike's Every Play Counts about Brian Urlacher. Near the top of their board today is this analysis of Kyle Orton's five interceptions against Cincinnati. The verdict seems to be one bad decision, one bad mechanics, one caused by Justin Gage, and two that were a mix of bad offense and good defense.
10 comments, Last at 29 Sep 2005, 1:55pm by Justin Gage
27 Sep 2005, 05:48pm by Aaron Schatz
It's the season debut of those famous Football Outsiders DVOA ratings, with the Cincinnati Bengals on top. No, that is not a misprint. If you want the infamous commentary for the math-o-phobic, it now resides at FOXSports.com.
62 comments, Last at 03 Oct 2005, 4:21pm by Freddie Falcon
27 Sep 2005, 04:38pm by Aaron Schatz
TMQ is down on Brett Favre. He also proposes a radical change to the salary cap, discovers paper food, and asks why on earth any broadcaster would refer to Cadillac Williams as "overrated." He's really got a point on that one.
And please, please, please, don't make this the "rip on TMQ" thread. If you don't like the column, don't you have anything better to do with your life than post here every week about how you don't like the column?
142 comments, Last at 03 Oct 2005, 8:58am by Aaron
27 Sep 2005, 03:50pm by Aaron Schatz
There's nothing wrong with rooting for your fantasy players along with your favorite team. But Peter Schrager is a little annoyed by people who root only for their fantasy team, especially because there are lots of people playing fantasy football now who don't really know anything about football otherwise. Are they ruining your trip to the sports bar too? And who is this Brian Leftwich guy?
22 comments, Last at 30 Sep 2005, 6:51am by TrySaraTops
26 Sep 2005, 11:29pm by Aaron Schatz
Here you go, folks, the official debut of Football Outsiders on FOX. (Mike Tanier has been writing for them for three weeks, of course, but that was "unofficial.") Congrats to Brian Walsh who donated a column name, and feel free to share your thoughts on the formatting.
30 comments, Last at 28 Sep 2005, 8:28pm by Carl