Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

17 Nov 2004, 04:20pm by Aaron Schatz

Fraud Warning

Dr. Z's power rankings are especially fun this week. First, he channels Football Outsiders with comments that say Ray Lewis is overrated. He also gives props to Patriots defensive backs coach Eric Mangini, which is really channeling Football Outsiders because it reflects something I wrote that didn't even make it to the Internet.

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16 Nov 2004, 02:12pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 10 DVOA Ratings

Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 10, along with Aaron's usual commentary for the math-o-phobic. New England takes the top spot back from Philadelphia with a slightly more dominant domination of a division foe. In his commentary, Aaron explores the issue of "clutch play." Does DVOA misjudge teams that play better late in close games? Why is Pittsburgh ranked fifth in "estimated wins" even though most writers say they are the best team in the NFL? And how did we end up with such a horrible slate of games this week?

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16 Nov 2004, 02:09pm by Aaron Schatz

TMQ: Remembering Heidi

This week our buddy Gregg Easterbrook honors the legendary Preston Ridlehuber, visits a dentist that has patients coming back for more, and discusses what exactly may have angered some football gods in Indy and Dallas. Come join the "unofficial official" thread for discussing NFL.com's Tuesday Morning Quarterback.

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16 Nov 2004, 12:30pm by Aaron Schatz

The Iced Foot Effect

It's one of the top research projects on our Football Outsiders "to do" list: Does icing the kicker really work? Now two statisticians have actually done the research and, believe it or not, they think the answer is yes. Reading about their methodology, I'm not so sure -- doesn't this say that the chance of hitting a pressure kick doesn't change if you call a timeout? Either way, you can be sure that other football sites will not be linking to articles from the Mathematical Association of America.

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15 Nov 2004, 02:48pm by Aaron Schatz

Snap Judgment: Can Colts Be Tamed?

It's the latest quarterback comments and ratings from me and the rest of the ESPN.com Page 2 crew. Of all the terrible quarterback performances this week, which one ends up as the worst of the season according to DPAR? Take a guess and then click to find out. Plus, find out why I think Atlanta's good luck does not herald a playoff collapse, why I don't think Big Ben deserves the MVP award, when Peyton Manning will finally win the Super Bowl, and which ex-Chicago Bears quarterback might deserve a second chance. Oh, and the other guys write some stuff too.

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2 comments, Last at 11 Dec 2005, 9:24pm by somer

15 Nov 2004, 01:58pm by Aaron Schatz

The End is Here for Once-Great Bledsoe

Reader Barry Goodberg linked this in the Game Discussion Thread, and he's right -- this is one of the better articles Ron Borges has written recently. We pick on him a lot around here but this article is quite emotional. As Barry noted, "Drew Bledsoe was Borges's favorite Pats player, partly because he was Borges's primary source on the Pats, partly because Bledsoe didn't completely buy into the Parcells and Belichick systems, which Borges detests in spite of their success, and partly because Bledsoe is a genuinely good guy.

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12 Nov 2004, 03:16pm by Aaron Schatz

NFC Midseason Review

Can anybody keep the Eagles out of the Super Bowl? Why are our preseason picks of Green Bay and Tampa Bay looking better now than they were a month ago? Aaron analyzes the first half of the season in the NFC through the Football Outsiders lens and predicts which teams will improve and decline with the brand new Midseason DVOA Projection System.

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3 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2007, 12:22am by car remover wax

10 Nov 2004, 12:09pm by Aaron Schatz

Football Commentary: Week 9 Strategy Review

William Krasker's weekly rundown of strategy questions takes Ed Reed to task for running back his interception for a touchdown in the final minute against Cleveland, and analyzes Herm Edwards' decision to take the wind instead of the ball after the initial coin toss. Also worth reading: William's article suggesting that losing teams stop the clock with an intentional penalty if, before the final minute, they give up a first down that would otherwise allow their opponent to kneel and taste victory.

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09 Nov 2004, 02:07pm by Aaron Schatz

TMQ: Unbelieveable

Our man Gregg Easterbrook channels both Joe Theismann and EMF this week, rightfully complains about the hideous Bengals uniforms, and prints an email from a fellow named Mark Schatzman who is not, in fact, related to me. Plus the usual sweet plays, sour plays, teams chickening out, and so on.

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09 Nov 2004, 12:38pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 9 DVOA Ratings

Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 9, along with Aaron's usual commentary for the math-o-phobic. Aaron explains why, despite consecutive victories over New England and Philadelphia, the Pittsburgh Steelers are still ranked third. He also has some thoughts on the Colts and Vikings from last night's Monday Night Football contest.

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