Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

09 Dec 2004, 12:07am by Aaron Schatz

Harrison Gets $67 Million Extension

Edge's future is still up in the air, but Marvin Harrison will be sticking around in Indy. The Colts signed him to a new contract for seven fake years at $67 million fake dollars. Seriously, understanding the actual value of these contracts is next-to-impossible. Apparently this thing has enough flexible clauses to give the Colts the cap room to try to keep both Edge and Brandon Stokley too. But where will they find the cap room to get a better defense?

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08 Dec 2004, 03:08pm by Aaron Schatz

He's Otto-Matic: Manning's No. 1

As part of a package on Peyton Manning's record-setting season at ESPN.com, I've put together a list of the top passing seasons of all time. Each season since 1950 was translated to the modern offensive environment, and then I developed a "quickie" method to estimate PAR based on conventional numbers rather than play-by-play breakdown. Even after taking into account that offense is up around the NFL in 2004, Peyton Manning isn't the only quarterback having a historic season.

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07 Dec 2004, 03:44pm by Aaron Schatz

TMQ: Ayurveda Comes to the NFL

Our man Gregg Easterbrook is back with his usual selection of sweet plays, sour plays, chickening out, and silly punts. Plus, breaking news about America's greatest invention: battery-powered, glow in the dark thong underwear.

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07 Dec 2004, 01:37pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 13 DVOA Ratings

Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 13, along with Aaron's usual commentary for the math-o-phobic. Once again all four of the top teams move up, but Philadelphia moves up the most and that puts them back in the top spot. How good are these four teams are compared to the best teams of the past few years? Very, very good. How mediocre are the 15 NFC teams that do not play in Philadelphia? Very, very mediocre.

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06 Dec 2004, 02:56pm by Aaron Schatz

Snap Judgment: The Eagles Have Landed

Here's the latest Snap Judgment column from ESPN.com, complete with the Football Outsiders quarterback rankings. This week, we give mad props to Carson Palmer and compare Favre vs. McNabb to other one-sided battles in history. Plus, I sneak in mentions of Ian Dembsky and Anthony Brancato, along with possibly the only Pixies reference in ESPN history.

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04 Dec 2004, 10:26pm by Aaron Schatz

FO in the NYTimes: Nothing Gained: Yards Poor Markers for Success

Golly, the byline on this week's New York Times "Keeping Score" feature looks awfully familiar. (Free registration required)

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04 Dec 2004, 03:08am by Aaron Schatz

Game Previews: DEN-SD and GB-PHI

In Philadelphia, the Packers and Eagles each match their greatest strength against their opponent's greatest weakness. It's America's chance to decide: Who are we more tired of hearing about, Terrell Owens or Brett Favre? And when Denver and San Diego play for the AFC West title, all eyes will be on the tight end. But will it be the right tight end? Two big games analyzed Football Outsiders-style in this article from Friday's New York Sun.

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30 Nov 2004, 11:36pm by Aaron Schatz

Football Commentary: Week 12 Strategy Review

The latest strategy review from our friend William Krasker looks at Mike Martz's fake field goal, Arizona kicking a 21-yard FG at the end of the first half, and Dat Nguyen not being an idiot. Two notes: First, William is working on another summary article for us that revisits strategy decisions from Weeks 7-12, so if you want him to further analyze a specific decision please mention it in the comments here. Second, if you feel like these articles have become overwhelmed by coaches making stupid decisions not to go for it on fourth down, you aren't alone.

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30 Nov 2004, 04:34pm by Aaron Schatz

TMQ: Secrets of the Abandoned Quarry Offense

That's Gregg Easterbrook's nickname for the Colts, for extremely confusing reasons. He also calls for moratorium on praising Brett Favre. Preach on, brother Easterbrook! Does anyone who does not work for a major network disagree with that idea?

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30 Nov 2004, 01:29pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 12 DVOA Ratings

Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 12, along with Aaron's usual commentary for the math-o-phobic. This week, we explain why certain teams have DVOA ratings that don't quite match their won-loss records, and where the gap comes from. Also, experience the anger of Tampa Bay and Denver fans as I reprint an email discussion among the FO staff, and a special hidden message for Buffalo Bills fans.

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