14 Jan 2005, 03:44am by Aaron Schatz
Once again, the NFL's most underrated QB takes on the NFL's most overrated QB. Hundreds of Patriots and Colts fans were slaughtered this week in a brawl meant to determine which of those players is Tom Brady and which is Peyton Manning. Will injuries on the New England defense help Manning finally get off his personal Planet of the Apes? Also, there are rumors of another game involving AFC teams, although the details we can get from the media are sketchy. Could this be the least-hyped playoff game involving a New York team ever? With help from Michael David Smith's tape analysis and our Football Outsiders statistics, Aaron previews the AFC semifinals.
12 Jan 2005, 12:26am by Aaron Schatz
Carl Prine looks at NFL injuries in this incredibly detailed research report from the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. Seriously intricate work here, looking at how often players get injured, what kinds of injuries they face, and which kinds of players get injured most often.
3 comments, Last at 07 Dec 2006, 5:03pm by PatsFan
11 Jan 2005, 04:49pm by Aaron Schatz
David Schoenfeld, my editor over at ESPN Page 2, takes a go at ten common theories about how to win in the playoffs: You gotta run, you gotta pass, defense wins championships, you need momentum. Most of his findings won't shock regular readers of Football Outsiders, although I admit that was a little surprised that Super Bowl teams have generally been better over the first six games of the season than the final ten.
11 Jan 2005, 03:08pm by Aaron Schatz
TMQ this week talks about how football is the most emotional sport, lambasts Mike Shanahan's fourth down decisions, makes a small error in asserting that nobody picked the Steelers to have a winning season (Yo! Gregg! Over here! FO predicted the Steelers as division champs!), and celebrates the who-dat players of the week, Shaun McDonald and Cam "Nickels" Cleeland of the St. Louis Rams.
10 Jan 2005, 03:01pm by Aaron Schatz
ESPN Page 2's Snap Judgment is here with some commentary on the Wild Card weekend for quarterbacks, the Football Outsiders QB ratings for the first four playoff games, and a little more publicity for my criticism of the Brady-Manning nonsense.
08 Jan 2005, 03:11pm by Aaron Schatz
Slate on a favorite subject around here -- the media's deification of Brett Favre. Thanks to reader Barry Goodberg for pointing this out.
1 comment, Last at 13 Oct 2005, 5:54pm by online gambling
07 Jan 2005, 06:30pm by Aaron Schatz
This week will mark the fourth time in thirteen months that the Denver Broncos and Indianapolis Colts have faced off. Denver's 2-1, but do they have any chance of making that 3-1? And what chances do the fading Jets have against the surging Chargers? For want of a rotator cuff, the season may be lost. With help from Michael David Smith's tape analysis and our Football Outsiders statistics, Aaron previews the AFC wild card contests.
07 Jan 2005, 03:20pm by Aaron Schatz
And the winner of King Kaufman's expert predictions contest is... us! King compared the predictions of 27 experts, plus his own predictions and those of his readers, and the most accurate predictions were from the Football Outsiders staff consensus which correctly chose five division winners and three wild cards, plus we were split on the Colts and we took the Falcons for a wild card instead of the division. King, we'll be working on our plane tickets to St. Louis for that dinner.
07 Jan 2005, 02:53pm by Aaron Schatz
St. Louis may be the worst team to ever make the postseason. Seattle has crumbled since the Rams shocked them in Week 5. Minnesota can't play on grass. Green Bay can't stop opposing quarterbacks. Welcome to the wonderfully mediocre world of the NFC playoffs. With help from Michael David Smith's tape analysis and our Football Outsiders statistics, Aaron previews the NFC wild card contests. Plus, a special bonus, a new cartoon. Warning: Mikes Under Pressure!
05 Jan 2005, 08:29pm by Aaron Schatz
More reviews of the major coaching decisions from our friend William Krasker. Issues analyzed this time include the Jets going for two with a 26-21 lead in St. Louis, Buffalo's field goal from the Pittsburgh 11-yard line leading 17-16, and a couple events from the San Diego-Indianapolis tilt. Plus, when is a Hail Mary better than a last-second field goal try?