22 Nov 2004, 04:16pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's gimmick at ESPN.com Page 2's Snap Judgment is letters home for Thanksgiving. We put words in the mouths of Eli Manning, Peyton Manning, Daunte Culpepper, and Marc Bulger. Plus, this week's DPAR quarterback ratings from yours truly along with the usual commentary, and Brett Favre saves the world -- AGAIN!
22 Nov 2004, 02:15pm by Aaron Schatz
Peter King thinks Eli Manning did a fine job yesterday even though he didn't win. I'll agree with him and add that I've never seen a game that made me more annoyed that the NFL has such a haphazard way of tracking dropped passes. I wish I could include them in my measurements so poor Eli would rate better. How many passes went right out of the hands of Toomer and Shockey yesterday? I know he caught the touchdown but Shockey is mightily overrated. His hands are horrible.
19 Nov 2004, 01:35pm by Aaron Schatz
Eight teams in the AFC are 6-3 or better. Only six can make the playoffs. Who is in, who is out, and can anyone keep the Patriots and Steelers out of the AFC Championship Game? Aaron analyzes the first half of the season in the NFC through the Football Outsiders lens and predicts which teams will improve and decline with the brand new Midseason DVOA Projection System.
18 Nov 2004, 11:18pm by Aaron Schatz
The latest strategy review from our friend William Krasker includes a long discussion of Herman Edwards vs. the clock. Did you ask yourself if the Jets should have taken a delay of game instead of calling timeout? Krasker asked the same question and has an answer. Plus, Tampa Bay goes for it on 4th-and-1 and fails instead of kicking a game-tying field goal in the fourth quarter. You know William favors going for it most of the time (and so do we) but is that even true when the field goal would tie the game late?
18 Nov 2004, 08:28pm by Aaron Schatz
We are proud to announce that we have signed an affiliation deal with Baseball Prospectus. This will include the return of Pro Football Prospectus, to be written in 2005 by Football Outsiders, as well as other joint projects.
18 Nov 2004, 11:38am by Aaron Schatz
Marty Schottenheimer, the man who turned against his own impulses.
3 comments, Last at 19 Oct 2010, 10:49pm by Discount Mbt Shoes
17 Nov 2004, 04:20pm by Aaron Schatz
Dr. Z's power rankings are especially fun this week. First, he channels Football Outsiders with comments that say Ray Lewis is overrated. He also gives props to Patriots defensive backs coach Eric Mangini, which is really channeling Football Outsiders because it reflects something I wrote that didn't even make it to the Internet.
16 Nov 2004, 02:12pm by Aaron Schatz
Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 10, along with Aaron's usual commentary for the math-o-phobic. New England takes the top spot back from Philadelphia with a slightly more dominant domination of a division foe. In his commentary, Aaron explores the issue of "clutch play." Does DVOA misjudge teams that play better late in close games? Why is Pittsburgh ranked fifth in "estimated wins" even though most writers say they are the best team in the NFL? And how did we end up with such a horrible slate of games this week?
16 Nov 2004, 02:09pm by Aaron Schatz
This week our buddy Gregg Easterbrook honors the legendary Preston Ridlehuber, visits a dentist that has patients coming back for more, and discusses what exactly may have angered some football gods in Indy and Dallas. Come join the "unofficial official" thread for discussing NFL.com's Tuesday Morning Quarterback.
16 Nov 2004, 12:30pm by Aaron Schatz
It's one of the top research projects on our Football Outsiders "to do" list: Does icing the kicker really work? Now two statisticians have actually done the research and, believe it or not, they think the answer is yes. Reading about their methodology, I'm not so sure -- doesn't this say that the chance of hitting a pressure kick doesn't change if you call a timeout? Either way, you can be sure that other football sites will not be linking to articles from the Mathematical Association of America.