20 Jan 2006, 10:09pm by Aaron Schatz
The NFL's final four features a quartet of strong teams, and each has at least a one in five chance of winning the Super Bowl. It's the slight gradations in that last one chance in five that determine who should be favored in this weekend's contests. You'll find all the DVOA analysis you know and love over on FOXSports.com, previewing both Pittsburgh at Denver and Carolina at Seattle. Discussion is here, along with extra analysis of Denver's run defense and the 2003 Panthers vs. the 2005 Panthers.
26 comments, Last at 22 Jan 2006, 4:05pm by charles
20 Jan 2006, 12:57pm by Aaron Schatz
In which Doug Farrar of Seahawks.net gets my thoughts on the Carolina-Seattle matchup and learns that once I start talking about football, I will not shut up. Yes, this is a 45 minute audio interview. I'm friendly like that. Late note: Links to a transcript are now found in the comments.
14 comments, Last at 21 Jan 2006, 10:40pm by Kevin Pelton
19 Jan 2006, 12:39am by Aaron Schatz
We take you back now to that long ago time called "August," when your humble FO editor penned an article for the New York Times that concluded like so: "Seattle and Carolina addressed their third-down issues in the off-season ... making Seattle and Carolina Super Bowl contenders and making Matt Hasselbeck the answer to the question, 'Who is this year's Drew Brees?'" Five months later, here we are.
37 comments, Last at 20 Jan 2006, 8:48pm by tmac
18 Jan 2006, 11:33pm by Aaron Schatz
No comments, since this is a different sport, but Justin Kubatko of Courtside Times has written an article very similar to "Guts and Stomps," but about the NBA. Thanks to reader Dan Babbitt for pointing this out. For those interested, by the way, Seattle leads the final four NFL teams with 6 "stomps," Denver and Pittsburgh each have 4, and Carolina has 2. Denver leads in "guts" (4) and Carolina leads in "skates" (4). No team has more than 2 "dominate" wins.
17 Jan 2006, 11:33pm by Aaron Schatz
In the latest TMQ, Gregg Easterbrook sees the football gods get famous, the Redskins blitz too much, the Steelers outthink the Colts, and the Patriots completely collapse.
39 comments, Last at 19 Jan 2006, 5:50pm by Peter
17 Jan 2006, 08:45pm by Aaron Schatz
This year, weâ€™re keeping track of DVOA into the playoffs as we continue to produce power rankings for FOXSports.com. Hereâ€™s a look at 19 weeks worth of play-by-play, plus DVOA for each game in the second round of the playoffs. You'll find further commentary here at FOXSports.com.
121 comments, Last at 07 Feb 2006, 6:26pm by mike
16 Jan 2006, 05:12pm by Aaron Schatz
Quick Reads from the divisional round, starring Steve Smith, who put up the best single-game receiving DPAR of the season. He even surpassed the top two receivers from the regular season, Steve Smith and Steve Smith.
23 comments, Last at 17 Jan 2006, 8:00pm by putnamp
16 Jan 2006, 12:12am by Aaron Schatz
Consider this an open thread to talk about the Final Four until Audibles goes up tomorrow. I really don't care about what Don Banks wrote, I just wanted to point one thing out.
He ranks the four remaining teams in order of their chances to win the Super Bowl like this: Carolina, Denver, Pittsburgh, Seattle. Why Carolina? "The Panthers are the only team that has managed to put two very impressive games together."
Can you tell where that reasoning breaks down?
59 comments, Last at 17 Jan 2006, 1:30pm by MJK
14 Jan 2006, 10:02pm by Aaron Schatz
The Indianapolis Colts blitz less often than any other defense in the NFL. How much less? The team ranked 31st blitzed THREE TIMES as often as the Colts. I got to use STATS Inc. numbers on team blitzes because the NY Times pays for those rights, but the tackle breakdowns for Bob Sanders and Gary Brackett come from the FO individual defensive stats.
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16 comments, Last at 17 Jan 2006, 1:48pm by ChicagoScott
13 Jan 2006, 07:31pm by Aaron Schatz
Blah blah blah respect blah blah terrible towel blah blah blah Ed McCaffrey Spicy Mustard blah blah blah no huddle offense blah blah. Blah blah our numbers and tape analysis by Michael David Smith, Aaron Schatz previews the second round of the AFC blah blah.
127 comments, Last at 21 Jan 2006, 1:58am by thad