Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

30 Oct 2004, 12:29am by Aaron Schatz

Surprise, Surprise

SI.com's Don Banks runs down his list of the ten biggest surprises of the 2004 NFL season. Two of them aren't a surprise if you read Football Outsiders last year and during the offseason: Minnesota has a great offensive line, and the AFC is better than the NFC. His #1 surprise is Curtis Martin's career year -- seriously, how often does a running back have a career year at age 31? Of the surprises Banks picks, the one that totally has me stumped is the disintegration of the Dallas defense. They are getting sliced and diced like Tuna sashimi.

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28 Oct 2004, 11:48am by Aaron Schatz

One City, Two Titles

Yes, this is a football site, but since the home office is in beautiful downtown Framingham, Massachusetts (home of Lou Merloni!) I thought it was only appropriate that post 1918 be something related to last night's Red Sox victory. I thought this was hilarious for those who didn't notice: after the Red Sox won last night, relief pitcher Curt Leskanic did snow angels behind the pitcher's mound in tribute to the New England Patriots.

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1 comment, Last at 23 Mar 2007, 4:36pm by Capital Credit Card Account

27 Oct 2004, 04:33pm by Aaron Schatz

Football Commentary: Week 7 Strategy Review

Week 7 strategy analysis from our friend William Krasker. You'll be surprised what he has to say about Mike Martz's decision to accept a penalty to get 3rd-and-28 instead of 4th-and-18.

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26 Oct 2004, 01:42pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 7 DVOA Ratings

Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 7, although without Aaron’s usual commentary for the math-o-phobic (he's a bit under the weather). Lots of turnover this week as the teams ranked three through seven last week all lost, and many unexpected teams won.

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26 Oct 2004, 01:34pm by Aaron Schatz

TMQ: Football is Intellectual

This week, Gregg reminds us why it is football, not baseball, that is the most intellectual sport. Plus, lots of teams chicken out, the usual helping of sweet and sour plays, and hate mail from Patriots fans.

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25 Oct 2004, 01:57pm by Aaron Schatz

MMQB: Comfort Zone

Peter King's main commentary in MMQB this week is about how Terrell Owens has made Donovan McNabb better (incidentally, also the topic of an article by Michael David Smith and me in the New York Sun tomorrow). You also get the usual Peter King notes. I'm a MMQB fan but I do think King needs to do a better job of taking opponent quality into account when he makes his proclamations. I'm not sure keeping Billy Volek in check is a sign that Minnesota now has a defense, and he seems amazed that Allen Rossum could return a punt for a touchdown against KC's "maniacal" special teams.

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25 Oct 2004, 01:45pm by Aaron Schatz

Snap Judgment: Michael Vick Overrated?

It's another week of ESPN Page 2's Snap Judgment, as the ESPN columnists are joined by yours truly to analyze quarterbacks in the NFL. This week we ask what's wrong with Michael Vick, how far is Chad Pennington behind Tom Brady, and will Daunte Culpepper break the Dan Marino passing touchdowns record. Plus, I give DPAR ratings for each quarterback yesterday and each one gets a comment connecting him to a player in the World Series. Come check out who gets to be So Taguchi.

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23 Oct 2004, 01:47am by Aaron Schatz

Game Preview: NYJ-NE / KC-SD Switch Special Teams

Two articles for the price of none. First, this week brings us the first meeting of two undefeated teams with at least five wins apiece since 1973 and hardly anybody in either Boston or New York has paid attention. Aaron tells you what to look for in this game using our innovative Football Outsiders metrics. Second, a year ago everyone was talking about Dante Hall. Now the numbers say Kansas City has the worst special teams unit in the league. Why special teams have contributed to the fall of the Chiefs and the rise of their division rivals in San Diego. Both articles originally appeared in the New York Sun.

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22 Oct 2004, 01:03am by Aaron Schatz

Football Commentary: Week 6 Strategy Review

The latest strategy analysis from William Krasker looks at Mike Martz going for it on 4th-and-goal at the end of the second quarter, two point conversion choices by the Jets and Seahawks, and Andy Reid's favorite play, the unexpected mid-game onside kick. We'll be publishing William's review and reconsideration of the most interesting strategic decisions of Weeks 1-6 later this weekend.

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21 Oct 2004, 10:48pm by Aaron Schatz

VOA Mailbag

It's another edition of our mailbag, where Aaron answers your questions related to VOA and other statistics from Football Outsiders. This week: What the heck happened to the Green Bay defense, a further explanation of special teams, and a look at the historic ineptitude of the Miami offense. Plus, could it be better for the defense to decline most five-yard penalties?

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