Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

06 Oct 2004, 11:30pm by Aaron Schatz

Football Commentary: Week 4 Strategy Review

In this week's strategy analysis, our buddy William Krasker looks at the "surprise" onside kick by Tennessee, a play also discussed in Tuesday's TMQ. Other issues discussed: Was Jacksonville correct to go for broke with the 40-yard touchdown on 4th-and-1? (All plays look good if they work, but was it the right gamble?) What the heck was Kansas City doing with its timeouts in the first quarter Monday night? And, what I thought might have been the strangest, most pointless decision of the weekend: How wussy was it for San Francisco to punt from the St. Louis 30-yard line?

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05 Oct 2004, 01:58pm by Aaron Schatz

TMQ: Time for a "Charles" Rule

In today's TMQ, Gregg Easterbrook wonders at Emmitt Smith's first career pass, celebrates Randy Hymes and Jason Dunn, and properly delivers the Worst Blocks award to the Buffalo offensive line for the play where they stood around with blank looks on their faces while Richard Seymour took the ball from Drew Bledsoe and lumbered into the end zone.

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05 Oct 2004, 01:35pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 4 VOA Ratings

Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 4, along with Aaron's usual commentary for the math-o-phobic. Which teams are living up to our preseason projections, and which are not? Can looking at the past tell us anything about which teams will improve or fall apart over the course of the season? And does the win at Baltimore mean there is hope for the Kansas City Chiefs?

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04 Oct 2004, 02:31pm by Aaron Schatz

Snap Judgment: Peerless Peyton

Here's today's ESPN Page 2 Snap Judgment, featuring quarterback ratings and comments by yours truly. The other writers ooh and ah over Peyton Manning, but actually Manning didn't have such a great day yesterday. Sure, there is a major difference in the defenses, but who expected that Byron Leftwich would outpass Manning by 100 yards -- and that the Colts would win anyway? Now featuring some additional commentary on how Terrell Owens really has made the difference for Donovan McNabb this season.

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01 Oct 2004, 02:15am by Aaron Schatz

VOA Mailbag

Aaron answers your questions about VOA and our other statistics in his biweekly mailbag. Learn how many points a touchback is worth, how Kurt Warner could make our list of the top 10 passing performances since 2000 without throwing a touchdown, and what Aaron thinks of the new book Patriot Reign. Plus, a question about NFC West teams playing better at home leads to some interesting numbers about home field advantage in general.

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6 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2007, 9:22am by car wash video

30 Sep 2004, 03:40pm by Aaron Schatz

Drew Bledsoe: An NFL Never-Was

This article from the new Patriots blog Cold Hard Football Facts argues that Drew Bledsoe is not a great quarterback who is now in decline. According to writer Kerry Byrne, he was never a great quarterback to begin with. You know, as I was researching my TNR article on Byron Leftwich, I came across a few comparisons of Leftwich to Bledsoe, physically (in the words of Butch from the Cape: "He's tall, he's got a strong arm"). But mentally, I mean, Leftwich's sense of what's going on around him is miles ahead of Bledsoe.

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30 Sep 2004, 10:13am by Aaron Schatz

FO at TNR: Byron Leftwich Dispels a Myth

In my latest piece for The New Republic, I discuss how Byron Leftwich is dispelling a racial myth by playing mediocre football. He's the first African-American quarterback to follow in the footsteps of Tom Brady and Trent Dilfer as a "game manager" -- well-regarded for intelligence and leadership instead of flashy plays and dazzling stats.

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29 Sep 2004, 04:41pm by Aaron Schatz

Mike Vanderjagt: Flush with an Ace Kicker

Indianapolis has the best kicker in the league, right? Nope. In this article reprinted from the New York Sun, Aaron explains why David Akers, not Mike Vanderjagt, sets the gold standard for kickers.

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1 comment, Last at 29 Nov 2005, 12:33am by dan

29 Sep 2004, 01:58pm by Aaron Schatz

Dr. Z's Power Rankings: Back in the Saddle

There are 100 power rankings out there on the Web (heck, I do one too) but Dr. Z's are usually good for information about how teams are playing and how coaches are thinking. The information contained within is a better reason to read than the rankings themselves, although they make more sense now that Dr. Z has gotten rid of his early season "can't rank anyone above a team that beat them" nonsense.

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2 comments, Last at 12 Feb 2007, 12:37pm by fentermine

29 Sep 2004, 10:26am by Aaron Schatz

Football Commentary: Week 3 Strategy Review

Here's the latest math-heavy strategy review from our friend William Krasker. This week he looks into whether Kansas City was correct in going for a first down on 4th-and-2 from the Houston 6-yard line, and discusses Joe Gibbs' series of controversial timeouts. He also takes issue with the official NFL recap referring to the Rams going for it on 4th-and-1 in overtime as "ill-advised."

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