02 Dec 2003, 01:24pm by Aaron Schatz
Why do our VOA ratings have some teams ranked far higher than public perception? The answer lies in teams that have improved or declined since the season began. Aaron breaks the season in half to show which teams are on the rise. Plus, the final word on Tampa's inconsistency, Jon Gruden vs. Dennis Erickson, Miami's lame offense goes nuts on the previously great Cowboy D, and more commentary for the math-o-phobic.
25 Nov 2003, 12:13pm by Aaron Schatz
The latest VOA ratings are here, measuring how each NFL team has performed on a play-by-play basis. And yes, those losing-record Tampa Bay Bucs are back at #2. Could they share a fate with the team that finished surprisingly high in last year's ratings despite an 8-8 record? Hint: One year later, that team is 10-1.
18 Nov 2003, 01:30pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's the latest run-through of the VOA ratings, which compare every single play in the NFL to league average based on situation. The gap between Kansas City and the rest of the NFL actually widens despite the Chiefs' loss, Carolina brings back memories of the 1998 Arizona Cardinals, and the AFC North struggles to produce an actual winning team.
13 Nov 2003, 02:28pm by Aaron Schatz
Aaron breaks down every team in the NFC, complete with DVOA ratings split into pass and rush, special teams ratings split five ways, and projections of every team's final win-loss record. All the stats are ranked 1-32 to help you figure out where your team tops the league and where it comes up short. Even more commentary than the AFC article, including a section on Carolina and Tampa Bay that is longer than the odds on Arizona making the playoffs.
11 Nov 2003, 03:05am by Aaron Schatz
Out of last week's top ten teams, five lost and two more were on bye. So you can imagine that the VOA ratings have gone through some changes. Kansas City's still in the top spot, and they are pulling away from the rest of the NFL. Plus, comments on St. Louis-Baltimore and Miami-Tennessee, and a detailed discussion of what statistics can and cannot tell you.
06 Nov 2003, 02:19pm by Aaron Schatz
Aaron breaks down every team in the AFC, complete with DVOA ratings split into pass and rush, special teams ratings split five ways, and projections of every team's final win-loss record. All the stats are ranked 1-32 to help you figure out where your team tops the league and where it comes up short. Plus, obnoxious commentary for the math-o-phobic, featuring pop culture references of Milleresque randomness.
05 Nov 2003, 02:09pm by Aaron Schatz
In the final TMQ, Gregg Easterbrook introduced the idea of The Maroon Zone, the area between the 30 and 40-yard lines that often is the barrier between punting and scoring. Or is it? We compare performance all over the field to winning and scoring and discover an even more important new area: The Scarlet Zone.
04 Nov 2003, 12:27pm by Aaron Schatz
KC stays at #1. Topics for this week's commentary include the Patriots' intentional safety, the turnstile that is Wade Smith, the true purpose of ESPN NFL Matchup, and why an unexplained change at ESPN.com will limit the information you get from this website. No, that has nothing to do with TMQ.
26 Oct 2003, 01:54pm by Aaron Schatz
Kansas City tops our ratings, just like they top everyone else's. Tampa puts the Dallas offense in its place. Buffalo messes everything up. Plus, who will be the infamous Second Half Team? All the VOA stats that break down the season play by play, with the usual commentary for the math-o-phobic.
21 Oct 2003, 10:49am by Aaron Schatz
Tampa Bay tumbles, replaced in the top spot overall by Minnesota -- and in the top spot for defense by Dallas. Dallas? Aaron discusses this Tuna Surprise in his comments, which also explore the topsy-turvy AFC East, the Carolina bandwagon crash, and the latest on the Gregg Easterbrook situation. Plus, a new stat shows which teams are the most consistent.