16 Nov 2004, 12:30pm by Aaron Schatz
It's one of the top research projects on our Football Outsiders "to do" list: Does icing the kicker really work? Now two statisticians have actually done the research and, believe it or not, they think the answer is yes. Reading about their methodology, I'm not so sure -- doesn't this say that the chance of hitting a pressure kick doesn't change if you call a timeout? Either way, you can be sure that other football sites will not be linking to articles from the Mathematical Association of America.
15 Nov 2004, 02:48pm by Aaron Schatz
It's the latest quarterback comments and ratings from me and the rest of the ESPN.com Page 2 crew. Of all the terrible quarterback performances this week, which one ends up as the worst of the season according to DPAR? Take a guess and then click to find out. Plus, find out why I think Atlanta's good luck does not herald a playoff collapse, why I don't think Big Ben deserves the MVP award, when Peyton Manning will finally win the Super Bowl, and which ex-Chicago Bears quarterback might deserve a second chance. Oh, and the other guys write some stuff too.
2 comments, Last at 11 Dec 2005, 9:24pm by somer
15 Nov 2004, 01:58pm by Aaron Schatz
Reader Barry Goodberg linked this in the Game Discussion Thread, and he's right -- this is one of the better articles Ron Borges has written recently. We pick on him a lot around here but this article is quite emotional. As Barry noted, "Drew Bledsoe was Borges's favorite Pats player, partly because he was Borges's primary source on the Pats, partly because Bledsoe didn't completely buy into the Parcells and Belichick systems, which Borges detests in spite of their success, and partly because Bledsoe is a genuinely good guy.
12 Nov 2004, 03:16pm by Aaron Schatz
Can anybody keep the Eagles out of the Super Bowl? Why are our preseason picks of Green Bay and Tampa Bay looking better now than they were a month ago? Aaron analyzes the first half of the season in the NFC through the Football Outsiders lens and predicts which teams will improve and decline with the brand new Midseason DVOA Projection System.
3 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2007, 12:22am by car remover wax
10 Nov 2004, 12:09pm by Aaron Schatz
William Krasker's weekly rundown of strategy questions takes Ed Reed to task for running back his interception for a touchdown in the final minute against Cleveland, and analyzes Herm Edwards' decision to take the wind instead of the ball after the initial coin toss. Also worth reading: William's article suggesting that losing teams stop the clock with an intentional penalty if, before the final minute, they give up a first down that would otherwise allow their opponent to kneel and taste victory.
09 Nov 2004, 02:07pm by Aaron Schatz
Our man Gregg Easterbrook channels both Joe Theismann and EMF this week, rightfully complains about the hideous Bengals uniforms, and prints an email from a fellow named Mark Schatzman who is not, in fact, related to me. Plus the usual sweet plays, sour plays, teams chickening out, and so on.
09 Nov 2004, 12:38pm by Aaron Schatz
Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 9, along with Aaron's usual commentary for the math-o-phobic. Aaron explains why, despite consecutive victories over New England and Philadelphia, the Pittsburgh Steelers are still ranked third. He also has some thoughts on the Colts and Vikings from last night's Monday Night Football contest.
08 Nov 2004, 03:05pm by Aaron Schatz
The latest from me and the rest of the gang at ESPN Page 2's Snap Judgment column. This week we review the best and worst quarterbacks of the first half of the season, look ahead to the second half, and ask: "Who in the heck was Aaron Brooks throwing to?" Also, DPAR ratings for every quarterback for Week 9, including a detailed explanation of why opponent adjustments were really strong this week.
1 comment, Last at 31 Jan 2007, 9:15am by appetite suppressant
08 Nov 2004, 02:47pm by Aaron Schatz
The latest from Peter King celebrates Pittsburgh. Now, the Steelers are very good, but I think they've passed from underrated to well-respected to a stage called "let's not get carried away here." They are not the 1985 Bears. I will point out, however, that the Steelers were the consensus FO pick for AFC North champion in the preseason.
06 Nov 2004, 03:55pm by Aaron Schatz
OK, that's not the actual title of the article. The actual title of the article is "At Midseason, Falcons' Vick is Clear MVP."
Wait, you mean he's not kidding?