16 Dec 2016, 05:35pm by Aaron Schatz
A lot of readers have asked me to run numbers on kickoff returns this year, to find out if returners really are making a mistake by taking it out of the end zone so often. I never have found the time, so it's nice that Benjamin Morris at FiveThirtyEight has done it for me.
"If the entire league had simply taken a knee on these 356 kickoffs it returned out of the endzone, it would have saved a combined 1,108 yards of field position."
So stop taking the damn kickoffs out of the end zone. Stop it already. Just stop.
10 comments, Last at 17 Dec 2016, 8:34pm by LionInAZ
15 Dec 2016, 03:14pm by Aaron Schatz
Today's edition of the Off The Charts podcast covers the recent improvements in both Green Bay and Tampa Bay, and looks through this year's MVP candidates. Find out why I'm seriously promoting Justin Tucker as one of the five most valuable players in the NFL this season. No, really.
15 Dec 2016, 01:23pm by Aaron Schatz
New ESPN Insider feature, using FO and ESPN stats to measure offensive lines in both pass blocking and run blocking. New Orleans is a surprising No. 1, because Dallas allows more pass pressure than you probably realize. One of the teams playing tonight is in the bottom five; surprisingly, one of tonight's teams is not.
1 comment, Last at 16 Dec 2016, 6:46am by eggwasp
14 Dec 2016, 06:12pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's this week's ESPN playoff odds commentary, looking at an odd week where lots of games have major seeding ramifications but only one has major ramifications as far as whether both teams make it into the playoffs or not.
13 Dec 2016, 07:28pm by Aaron Schatz
New England and Dallas keep the top two spots in DVOA, improving a little over last week. Meanwhile, Green Bay's DVOA skyrockets and Seattle plummets, as the Seahawks suffer their worst loss since Matt Hasselbeck was still the starting quarterback.
74 comments, Last at 20 Dec 2016, 7:02pm by DezBailey
09 Dec 2016, 04:04pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's Off The Charts podcast looks at last night's Raiders-Chiefs game and what those teams can do going forward. Plus a closer look at the Detroit Lions and the Monday night Ravens-Patriots tilt. (Click for audio link.)
2 comments, Last at 11 Dec 2016, 11:24am by MichellePhillips
07 Dec 2016, 02:29am by Aaron Schatz
The weekly playoff odds commentary on ESPN Insider goes further in depth on just how important Thursday's Oakland-Kansas City game is for determining who represents the AFC in Super Bowl LI, plus notes on all the other teams still contending for the postseason.
06 Dec 2016, 07:13pm by Aaron Schatz
The New England Patriots climb to No. 1 in DVOA, but they aren't a great team, because this is The Year of No Great Teams. In fact, no No. 1 team in any week of DVOA has ever been rated lower. (Note: Table errors fixed as of Wed. morning.)
76 comments, Last at 13 Dec 2016, 7:34pm by DezBailey
02 Dec 2016, 06:02pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's Off The Charts podcast looks at the top five teams in DVOA, and their strengths and weaknesses. There's a special look at updated playoff odds that account for Thursday night's Minnesota loss as well as Rob Gronkowski's injury. Finally, a deeper look at Sunday's huge Baltimore-Miami game.
02 Dec 2016, 01:57pm by Aaron Schatz
Is the AFC South of 2016 the worst division since the NFL went to a four-team, eight-division setup in 2002? Or does that title belong to the NFC West in one of any number of awful years?
1 comment, Last at 07 Dec 2016, 1:46am by DanielBrown