Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

05 Jan 2017, 02:14pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Ranking Position Groups of Every Playoff Team

Here's an interesting little feature for ESPN Insider where I attempted to rank all 12 playoff teams, unit by unit, based on FO stats and consultation with our staff. Feel free to quibble with the WR/TE rankings, which were by far the toughest and could be in a completely different order.

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03 Jan 2017, 04:40pm by Aaron Schatz

2017 Football Outsiders Playoff Challenge

Hey everybody! Time for the annual Football Outsiders Playoff Challenge game. Here's how it works: You need to pick a roster consisting of 2 QB, 4 RB, 4 WR, and 2 TE. However, you must pick one player from each of the 12 playoff teams, no duplicates. Whoever has the highest fantasy score during the playoffs wins a copy of Football Outsiders Almanac 2017 and the 2017 KUBIAK fantasy football projections. (Click to read more.)

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41 comments, Last at 21 Jan 2017, 10:23pm by surebrec

02 Jan 2017, 07:19pm by Aaron Schatz

Final 2016 DVOA Ratings

It turns out, The Year of No Great Teams may in fact have a great team. The New England Patriots head into the postseason strong as the No. 1 team in DVOA, their eighth straight year ranking sixth or higher.

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110 comments, Last at 05 Jan 2017, 10:06pm by DezBailey

02 Jan 2017, 04:22pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 17 Quick Reads

The best passers, runners, and receivers of Week 17 include the best and worst games for running backs all season.

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57 comments, Last at 04 Jan 2017, 12:13pm by bravehoptoad

30 Dec 2016, 12:50pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Comparing NFL Contenders to Past Playoff Teams

I had a lot of fun writing this feature for ESPN Insider, finding a past playoff team (since 1990) similar to each of this year's playoff teams. I used DVOA splits but also common sense, to find a team that had similar stats and narrative. Don't worry if you miss seeing Denver in the playoffs, the Broncos are there! The Patriots are the 2013 Broncos, the Giants are the poor man's 2015 Broncos, and the Texans are the 2011 Tim Tebow Broncos because nobody can figure out how they've won so many games.

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4 comments, Last at 31 Dec 2016, 1:57pm by JoeyHarringtonsPiano

29 Dec 2016, 03:40pm by Aaron Schatz

Off The Charts Podcast: December 29

This week's Off The Charts podcast features some matchup breakdown on the big Green Bay-Detroit and Washington-New York Giants games that will decide the final two NFC playoff spots. We also talk about which teams are the biggest threats to the Patriots and Cowboys meeting in Super Bowl LI, and why. (Click for audio link)

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29 Dec 2016, 02:22pm by Aaron Schatz

Belichick: Defensive Players Not Good Enough for Offense

I thought this was an interesting tidbit, and worth discussing. A lot of football folks know that Bill Belichick will actually open up and talk in detail about football if you ask him questions that aren't specific to his team. This morning he went into detail about players who have switched positions, suggesting that most players in the back seven are playing defense because they weren't good enough playmakers on offense. On the line, he thinks it works the other way: defensive linemen who don't have enough speed to rush the passer often get moved to the offensive line.

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49 comments, Last at 04 Jan 2017, 10:54am by Bright Blue Shorts

28 Dec 2016, 01:24pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Week 17 Playoff Odds

This week's playoff odds commentary for ESPN Insider is more focused on each team's chances of winning Super Bowl LI, now that most of the playoff spots have been decided.

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1 comment, Last at 29 Dec 2016, 7:30pm by erniecohen

27 Dec 2016, 07:23pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 16 DVOA Ratings

The Cowboys and Patriots are still a close 1-2 in DVOA. Dallas is playing its best all-around football of the year, while the Patriots make up for a Gronkless offense with improving defense and renewed special teams.

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121 comments, Last at 01 Jan 2017, 12:58pm by DezBailey

27 Dec 2016, 12:57pm by Aaron Schatz

Bills Fire Rex Ryan

The Bills decided not to wait until Black Monday to can Rex Ryan and brother Rob. Offensive coordinator Anthony Lynn will serve as interim coach for the Bills' finale Sunday against the New York Jets. This is the 17th straight season the Bills have missed the playoffs. They brought in Ryan to be a defensive expert, and instead the offense improved and the defense collapsed. Clear in-game mistakes didn't help, like the play this weekend where the Bills had only 10 men on the field and Jay Ajayi ran for 57 yards.

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35 comments, Last at 07 Jan 2017, 5:54am by t.d.