30 Nov 2016, 10:54am by Aaron Schatz
Here's this week's ESPN Insider odds commentary, going through all of the teams still in the playoff race. The Miami at Baltimore game this week is huge and fascinating, given the quality of the Ravens run defense.
29 Nov 2016, 08:04pm by Aaron Schatz
Two new teams rise to No. 1: Atlanta in total DVOA, Dallas in weighted DVOA. Neither comes close to the No. 1 teams of years past. But one unit this year is challenging for all-time greatness: the Baltimore run defense.
70 comments, Last at 06 Dec 2016, 2:47pm by DezBailey
23 Nov 2016, 05:01pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's Off The Charts Podcast goes in depth with previews of the Thanksgiving games, plus a look at how Seattle has structured the roster to stay on top of our DVOA ratings for five years. (Click for audio link.)
2 comments, Last at 13 Jan 2017, 4:50am by isyjewyfa
22 Nov 2016, 08:11pm by Aaron Schatz
Our weekly commentary on the FO playoff odds over at ESPN Insider moves up a day starting this week. Today, get some insight on why Kansas City is more likely than Denver to win the AFC West, why the NFC East is probably taking two wild cards, and why this Thursday is the best lineup of Thanksgiving games in a long, long time.
22 Nov 2016, 07:34pm by Aaron Schatz
The second annual DVOA Bowl puts us on very familiar ground, as the Seattle Seahawks return to the No. 1 spot. Plus, a look at which "skill players" have faced the hardest and easiest schedules in 2016, based on DVOA opponent adjustments.
57 comments, Last at 25 Nov 2016, 2:24pm by DezBailey
21 Nov 2016, 02:45pm by Aaron Schatz
Nice video profile of Seattle general manager John Schneider by Michael Silver of NFL.com. Why yes, that is a copy of Football Outsiders Almanac on his desk!
11 comments, Last at 12 Dec 2016, 4:45am by marson
18 Nov 2016, 03:04pm by Aaron Schatz
A lot of Miami Dolphins and New York Giants talk on this week's Off The Charts podcast, plus we go through a few of the players in Rivers McCown's midseason Top 25 Prospects list from ESPN Insider. (Click for audio link.)
16 Nov 2016, 01:58pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's playoff odds commentary on ESPN Insider looks at why the Patriots are such clear favorites for the No. 1 seed, the ridiculous strength of the NFC East, and the most important games of Week 11.
15 Nov 2016, 10:06pm by Aaron Schatz
Seattle's victory over the Patriots sets up another No. 1 vs. No. 2 DVOA battle for next Sunday. Plus: What if the second-best team in the AFC doesn't actually play in the AFC West?
101 comments, Last at 19 Nov 2016, 4:34pm by DezBailey
14 Nov 2016, 12:52pm by Aaron Schatz
Interesting graphic over at Over The Cap, where Jason Fitzgerald shows how each team's cap spending in 2016 compares to its DVOA at the midway point of the season. What on earth are the Jets doing?
10 comments, Last at 12 Dec 2016, 4:46am by marson