Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

25 Sep 2015, 12:55pm by Aaron Schatz

The Sorry State of Football Analytics

Trey Causey wants to know why football seems to be the one sport -- maybe the one industry -- where data analytics is not having any real impact. He makes some good points. How many times do we need to make the same arguments about fourth-down strategy? On the other hand, I do think analytics are having some under-the-radar impact in front-office decisions. Just because some front offices make bad decisions to trade up in the draft doesn't mean analytics isn't taking hold in other front offices. But yes, it sure seems ridiculous that we're still arguing over obvious things and low-hanging fruit.

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42 comments, Last at 01 Oct 2015, 5:45pm by Andrew Healy

24 Sep 2015, 12:56pm by Aaron Schatz

Off The Charts Podcast: September 24

This week on the Off The Charts podcast: What do we really know about the Arizona Cardinals, and how real is their huge Week 2 lead in DVOA? Which surprise 0-2 teams are most likely to get their acts together and make a playoff run? What does the Tony Romo injury mean for the Cowboys. Plus, lots of NFC South talk about the Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers, and answering some questions from Twitter.

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3 comments, Last at 25 Sep 2015, 12:55pm by BJR

24 Sep 2015, 10:10am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: 2-0 Teams to Buy and Sell

For ESPN Insider, looking at the nine 2-0 teams and their current playoff odds. Which ones are "for real" and which ones just feasted on early competition? (And which ones won their early games close but have ridiculously easy schedules so it doesn't matter if they are "for real" or not? We're looking at you, Atlanta and Carolina.)

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2 comments, Last at 27 Nov 2015, 4:57pm by AyoubTab

23 Sep 2015, 03:35pm by Aaron Schatz

SITE NEWS: Football Outsiders on Facebook

Football Outsiders has always been absurdly negligent when it comes to our Facebook presence, but we're trying to change that, slowly but surely. Starting this season, we've been posting links to most of our new content through both Facebook and Twitter. So if you get a lot of your news and links through Facebook, please make sure to Like our Facebook page. You can just search for Football Outsiders, or click the link here.

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22 Sep 2015, 10:33pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 2 DVOA Ratings

The Arizona Cardinals have dominated the NFL through two weeks. But if we don't know how good (or, more likely, bad) their opponents are, how much does that mean in the long run?

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85 comments, Last at 25 Sep 2015, 5:19pm by LyleNM

22 Sep 2015, 09:44pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN Fantasy Football Weekly: Time for the Backups

In this week's ESPN Fantasy Football Weekly, Anita Marks and I discuss which quarterbacks are best to cover for your injured starters over the next few weeks. The players with the easiest schedules through the end of October may surprise you. Plus, we look at hot receivers and running backs, asking who's for real and who is likely just a flash in the fantasy football pan.

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1 comment, Last at 23 Sep 2015, 9:07am by smutsboy

22 Sep 2015, 09:31pm by Aaron Schatz

Cowboys Trade for Matt Cassel

In a not ridiculous move, the Dallas Cowboys traded for quarterback Matt Cassel today, dealing a 2017 fifth-round pick to Buffalo for Cassel and a 2017 seventh-round pick. (Because of previous trades, the Cowboys didn't have a 2016 pick past the fourth round to offer in a deal.) Cassel offers good insurance in case Brandon Weeden is terrible as the new Dallas starter, although it's expensive insurance because Cassel has a $2 million contract. Yes, Cassel is mediocre at best, but that mediocrity may be better than Brandon Weeden's best.

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57 comments, Last at 25 Sep 2015, 6:35pm by Theo

20 Sep 2015, 11:39am by Aaron Schatz

The Farce of Tackling Stats

Michael McKnight wrote a great piece for the Sports Illustrated NFL preview issue about how messed up tackling stats are. I'm quoted in here, along with the guys from PFF. There are problems with tackling stats that can't be fixed by the league -- the league isn't going to ever track "tackle opportunities" or "broken tackles," let's be real. The biggest problem with tackling stats that the league can actually fix is the fact that the NFL is depending on official scorers to get them right on game day. The official scorers are only human.

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3 comments, Last at 3:44am by fest201620

17 Sep 2015, 02:25pm by Aaron Schatz

Off The Charts Podcast: September 17

The second weekly edition of our new Off the Charts podcast breaks down the basic ideas behind DVOA and DAVE then dives into what we've learned about the AFC South and AFC East after surprisingly dominant Week 1 wins from Buffalo and Tennessee. Scott Spratt and I also look at the NFC West, with some interesting charting stats on Carlos Hyde and how the 49ers running game succeeds despite facing constantly loaded boxes.

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17 Sep 2015, 12:20pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Peyton Manning No Longer Equipped to Save His O-Line

Don't jump to conclusions over just one week, but Peyton Manning's Week 1 struggles echoed some of the negative trends from his second-half decline in 2014. And if Peyton isn't the Peyton of old, then that Denver offensive line is a bigger problem than we thought.

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2 comments, Last at 17 Sep 2015, 4:44pm by cjfarls