03 Sep 2014, 05:02pm by Aaron Schatz
Our annual DVOA projections are all about probabilities. Thanks in part to their less competitive conference, Denver has the highest probability of walking away from this season as Super Bowl XLIX champion.
77 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2014, 2:14pm by
02 Sep 2014, 03:16pm by Aaron Schatz
Hey kids, B.S. Report! Bill Simmons and I talk about the upcoming season, including our picks for the top teams competing for the Super Bowl, the most likely unexpected Super Bowl contender (we're both on San Diego), and the most likely team to go through a "hell season" (Bill says San Francisco, I say Arizona).
6 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2014, 10:02pm by v3456d
02 Sep 2014, 03:05pm by Aaron Schatz
It's time for the TENTH ANNUAL Football Outsiders Open Loser League competition. Yes, tenth. Kind of nutty. And we haven't changed the rules at all in all that time. Even though we probably should. We're lazy that way. Come pick your roster of bad (but not bad enough to get benched) players for the first half of 2014, with a shot at winning free fantasy projections for 2015. Let's see how many of you can do this without Trent Richardson on your team.
5 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2014, 10:20pm by v3456d
31 Aug 2014, 01:53pm by Aaron Schatz
Well, that was a long wait. The Patriots have dealt Ryan Mallett to Houston for a sixth-round pick. I still think grabbing Mallett in the third round of the 2011 draft was a good gamble, it was just a gamble that didn't work out as hoped. Better a sixth-round pick than nothing, I suppose. Houston now has to decide if they want to try to extend Mallett, or do they just wait to see if he ends up playing later this year and how he does.
42 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2014, 10:19pm by v3456d
29 Aug 2014, 04:01pm by Aaron Schatz
We're so sorry this took so long, but all the FO player pages are now updated with 2013 stats. That includes both offensive and defensive players. All readers can see the last three seasons; FO Premium subscribers can see entire careers. In addition, similarity scores are now updated to reflect last season's performance. So, for example, you can now see that the most similar player to Brandon Marshall's 2013 is Eric Moulds in 2002, and the most similar player to Marshall for 2011-2013 is Roddy White 2009-2011. Most similar is listed for all readers; FO Premium subscribers get a top ten.
29 Aug 2014, 03:54pm by Aaron Schatz
Click here for a running list (and discussion) of bigger-name cuts on August 29-30.
38 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2014, 10:19pm by v3456d
28 Aug 2014, 04:29pm by Aaron Schatz
Football Outsiders is seeking a part-time Business Manager. Click here for details.
27 Aug 2014, 01:06pm by Aaron Schatz
Well, that sucks. Sucks for the Browns, and for all of us who like to watch great football players.
84 comments, Last at 31 Aug 2014, 10:04am by Will Allen
27 Aug 2014, 11:53am by Aaron Schatz
ESPN Insider asked me to give Super Bowl odds for all 32 teams along with a sentence or two about what a championship season would look like for each franchise. These are updated odds that account for the Sam Bradford injury and numerous preseason changes, although not yesterday's New England-Tampa Bay trade. Denver leads at 16.9 percent.
26 Aug 2014, 02:03pm by Aaron Schatz
Wait, what? The Patriots have a habit of doing this right before the season with aging veterans, don't they? First Lawyer Milloy, then Richard Seymour, now they've dealt 32-year-old Pro Bowl guard Logan Mankins to Tampa Bay for tight end Tim Wright (good receiver, can't block) and a pick. Everyone's jumping to conclusions on Twitter, but it's hard to judge the trade until we know what the pick is. But still... it feels like the Pats are always playing fifth dimensional chess. Is Mankins in decline? Is this about the cap space for a Darrelle Revis extension?
171 comments, Last at 30 Aug 2014, 9:06am by Will Allen