20 Sep 2016, 06:33pm by Aaron Schatz
Philadelphia is No. 1 after two weeks. The last 13 teams to rank No. 1 after Week 2 averaged 12.5 wins... but all of them were better than the Eagles. Plus: the Texans, Pats, and Giants may be 2-0, but they're surprisingly low in DVOA.
121 comments, Last at 26 Sep 2016, 12:57am by The Hypno-Toad
19 Sep 2016, 02:18pm by Aaron Schatz
Roger Goodell's fickle finger of fate has once again pointed towards an NFL team, this time the Seattle Seahawks. They'll lose a 2017 fifth-round pick for violating offseason rules prohibiting excessive contact in OTAs. At least this penalty seems to be a joint decision of the NFL and the NFLPA after watching practice video of the workout in question, rather than just Goodell's random decision.
13 comments, Last at 28 Sep 2016, 4:43pm by scraps
16 Sep 2016, 01:38pm by Aaron Schatz
This is some varsity-level scapegoating here. Greg Roman took a backup quarterback nobody wanted and turned that into a top-10 offense by DVOA even though LeSean McCoy and Sammy Watkins couldn't always stay healthy. Meanwhile, the Bills defense collapsed last season. And yet, after a 37-31 loss, who gets fired? That's right, goodbye Greg Roman, being replaced by RB coach Anthony Lynn.
34 comments, Last at 21 Sep 2016, 5:36pm by jtr
15 Sep 2016, 04:46pm by Aaron Schatz
Our weekly Football Outsiders podcast is back for the 2016 season, kicking off weekly discussion of the NFL with some talk about the 49ers-Rams game and Tampa Bay's newly bolstered odds of winning the NFC South. (Click for audio link.)
1 comment, Last at 17 Sep 2016, 2:53am by Insancipitory
14 Sep 2016, 12:06pm by Aaron Schatz
New on ESPN Insider, Rivers McCown points out that Jared Goff's preseason stats were actually better than Carson Wentz's preseason stats, and not that dissimilar from some other recent top picks. Meanwhile, the best rookie in the preseason in recent history was Blake Bortles, who finished last in passing DYAR that year.
14 comments, Last at 16 Sep 2016, 11:28pm by LionInAZ
13 Sep 2016, 05:33pm by Aaron Schatz
San Francisco and Philadelphia are surprise leaders in DVOA after Week 1, but you have to remember to apply common-sense opponent adjustments until we have a big enough sample to apply the actual ones.
94 comments, Last at 17 Sep 2016, 4:45pm by LionInAZ
13 Sep 2016, 12:54pm by Aaron Schatz
I figured I should provide a place for FO readers to debate these horrible monstrosities. After all, we've always been about having fun with elements of fandom, not just stat analysis. These uniforms are mostly awful, and the fact that they didn't color coordinate so that both teams in a game would wear them at the same time seems ridiculous too. The whole thing is ridiculous. The best ones are the ones that are naturally traditional, like the Giants in all white with the red and blue trim. Last year's Rams-Bucs game, on the other hand, was a hiddeous affront against nature.
47 comments, Last at 19 Sep 2016, 10:51pm by TomKelso
13 Sep 2016, 11:10am by Aaron Schatz
People were surprised when our preseason DVOA projections had Baltimore as the No. 5 defense in the NFL, but there are plenty of reasons to believe the Ravens are ready to return to their usual form: mediocre offense powered into the playoff race by strong defense and excellent special teams.
08 Sep 2016, 04:28pm by Aaron Schatz
Once again this season, we're partnering with EA Sports to bring special Football Outsiders-branded items to Madden 17 Ultimate Team. Find out the first five players to go into packs this weekend. (Click to read more.)
07 Sep 2016, 07:40pm by Aaron Schatz
Our updated 2016 projections still say the two best teams in the NFL are in the NFC West. Other teams have moved up and down because of quarterback injuries and offensive line changes.
72 comments, Last at 17 Dec 2016, 7:21am by aaliasharma