Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

26 Dec 2012, 07:12pm by Aaron Schatz

Open Pro Bowl Announcement (and Oversight Bitching) Thread

The NFL Pro Bowl rosters are officially here. Use this thread to start discussing the players who are in and out of the Pro Bowl. Have fun complaining about the snubs, and remember that most of those guys will end up getting invited anyway because players who are sick of going will beg out with meaningless injuries while other players will get pulled because they make the Super Bowl.

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156 comments, Last at 30 Dec 2012, 9:27pm by PatsFan

24 Dec 2012, 03:43pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 16 DVOA Ratings

Russell Wilson knows which team is now number one in the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings. But how much does that home crowd mean to a team that will likely need three road wins to make the Super Bowl? NOTE: Now with corrected WEIGHTED DVOA numbers.

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159 comments, Last at 05 Jan 2013, 4:05pm by Sid

21 Dec 2012, 12:07am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN Upset Watch: Bengals over Steelers

More on the quietest hot team in the NFL, the Cincinnati Bengals, and why they could punch their ticket for a return trip to the playoffs this weekend. Cover Watch looks at the improving Cleveland Browns defense against Peyton Manning.

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5 comments, Last at 23 Dec 2012, 11:12am by erniecohen

18 Dec 2012, 04:27pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 15 DVOA Ratings

Surprise! The top eight teams in Football Outsiders' DVOA ratings remain exactly the same as last week, just with this year's big four packed tighter together. And by "big four," we mean four of the top 20 teams of the last 20 years.

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81 comments, Last at 24 Dec 2012, 2:06am by Big-Hairy-Andy

18 Dec 2012, 12:14pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Titans Should Cut Chris Johnson

Chris Johnson had a 94-yard run last night. He still shows that dynamic speed when he gets loose. The Titans should cut him after the season anyway. Vince Verhei explains why.

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14 comments, Last at 25 Jan 2013, 10:06am by Fred Johnson

14 Dec 2012, 06:52pm by Aaron Schatz

Why Elvis Dumervil Has Simplified His Pass-Rush Repertoire

Thanks to Chase Stuart for pointing out on Twitter this excellent piece from a Denver Broncos blog outlining the way the Broncos are using Elvis Dumervil and Von Miller this year. The suggestion here is that Dumervil's personal sack totals are down because his speed rushes are meant to effect the offense's blocking schemes, which frees things up for Miller as well as the other linemen.

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7 comments, Last at 03 Apr 2013, 1:00am by knight

13 Dec 2012, 02:37pm by Aaron Schatz

FO Mailbag: Hidden Special Teams

Learn about the hidden values that have hurt the Baltimore Ravens and helped the Tampa Bay Bucs. (Click to read more.)

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8 comments, Last at 14 Dec 2012, 2:34pm by tuluse

13 Dec 2012, 01:27pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN Upset Watch: Eagles over Bengals

To play spoiler, Andy Reid is going to have to embrace his inner running back (by which I mean: Bryce Brown). Plus, Cover Watch looks at how the 49ers can keep up with the Patriots. Hi, Vernon Davis. Hi again, Vernon Davis. Hi some more, Vernon Davis.

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2 comments, Last at 14 Dec 2012, 5:17pm by Bjorn Nittmo

12 Dec 2012, 04:06pm by Aaron Schatz

SI: Blessed Are the Geeks...

For those who did not see, there was a big article in the latest issue of Sports Illustrated about football analytics, mostly focused on myself and Brian Burke of Advanced NFL Stats, as well as Tony Khan of the Jaguars. It's now online.

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45 comments, Last at 14 Dec 2012, 3:07pm by Nick Bradley

11 Dec 2012, 06:34pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 14 DVOA Ratings

With their big wins this weekend, New England and Seattle move to the top of the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings. Plus: Why this year's awful offenses—including Arizona—aren't really that bad compared to awful offenses of the past.

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282 comments, Last at 18 Dec 2012, 9:19am by goldlw1