14 Jul 2009, 09:39am by Bill Connelly
In the newest Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly introduces a new tool for evaluating college running backs: Points Over Expected (POE).
16 comments, Last at 16 Sep 2010, 6:16am by edwin.
02 Jul 2009, 11:15am by Bill Connelly
Make no mistake: a college football playoff is going to happen someday. In the latest Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly suggests the best possible playoff option.
131 comments, Last at 12 Dec 2010, 8:55pm by Mikey Benny
19 Jun 2009, 11:05am by Bill Connelly
In the latest Varsity Numbers column, Bill Connelly digs deep into defensive numbers and comes up with one key question: Was TCU's defense really as good as the numbers insist?
9 comments, Last at 22 Jun 2009, 9:02am by Theo
28 May 2009, 11:14am by Bill Connelly
In the latest offseason VN column, Bill Connelly dives deep into offensive rankings to see what they may say about 2009.
7 comments, Last at 03 Jun 2009, 4:58pm by bird jam
15 Apr 2009, 03:25pm by Bill Connelly
Bill Connelly looks back at the 2008 Varsity Numbers statistics to see who was underrated or overrated (sorry, Mountaineers fans) last season, then compares his numbers to Brian Fremeau's to see where they disagree.
23 comments, Last at 28 May 2009, 5:58pm by pokes
14 Jan 2009, 05:40pm by Bill Connelly
Many have been assuming for quite a while that he's gone. I know that I assumed that, anyway. Returning to OU will probably make him a better quarterback long-term, as he'll learn how to handle pressure a lot better than he has to date (OU will have almost an entirely new offensive line protecting him), but it will also possibly make his draft stock drop a bit, as with new blockers and new receiving targets his overall his numbers will likely suffer.
Thoughts? Smart move on his part?
55 comments, Last at 17 Jan 2009, 1:08am by An Ominous
08 Jan 2009, 07:45am by Bill Connelly
Naturally, his take is pretty good. His main problems with the system:
1. That there is a profound lack of conceptual clarity about the goals of the method;
2. That there is no genuine interest here in using statistical analysis to figure out how the teams compare with one another. The real purpose is to create some gobbledygook math to endorse the coaches' and sportswriters' vote;
3. That the ground rules of the calculations are irrational and prevent the statisticians from making any meaningful contribution; and
74 comments, Last at 13 Jan 2009, 7:48am by Sancho
07 Jan 2009, 10:37am by Bill Connelly
Our BCS Championship preview is now a three-ring extravaganza. Bill Connelly and Brian Fremeau look at the game through the numbers, and Russell Levine has the SDA podcast featuring both of them plus Orson Swindle. Then it's open discussion as Florida takes on Oklahoma tonight.
47 comments, Last at 09 Jan 2009, 4:38pm by notanOUfan
26 Dec 2008, 12:20pm by Bill Connelly
Bill Connelly looks at the rates for success in college football for different down-and-distance situations. Sometimes you should go for it, and sometimes you should dust off the quick kick.
17 comments, Last at 29 Sep 2009, 4:54pm by Jeff
19 Dec 2008, 03:46pm by Bill Connelly
In Varsity Numbers this week, Bill Connelly takes another look at a pretty basic concept: the correlation between certain stats and good, old-fashioned wins and losses.
2 comments, Last at 20 Dec 2008, 7:16pm by Bowl Game Anomaly