Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

21 Aug 2009, 02:34pm by Bill Connelly

FO in the WSJ: Attention Florida : Huge Favorites Usually Flop

Football Outsiders will be providing occasional content for the Wall Street Journal's daily "The Count" column. First up: A look at overwhelming preseason favorites in college football's past. You might be surprised to learn that Florida will have to seriously buck history in order to win back-to-back titles.

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10 comments, Last at 30 Aug 2009, 7:27pm by Sam II

12 Aug 2009, 12:32pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers' Four-Man Front

In the latest Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly takes a look at the top defensive lines across the nation, and begins the search for the country's top individual linemen.

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3 comments, Last at 13 Aug 2009, 7:57am by Bill Connelly

28 Jul 2009, 03:32pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers Takes on the Hosses

In this edition of Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly takes on the big uglies in the trenches and examines what that could mean for another recent VN topic, POE.

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3 comments, Last at 30 Jul 2009, 11:41am by Mike

14 Jul 2009, 09:39am by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Introducing POE

In the newest Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly introduces a new tool for evaluating college running backs: Points Over Expected (POE).

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16 comments, Last at 16 Sep 2010, 6:16am by edwin.

02 Jul 2009, 11:15am by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: The Perfect Playoff

Make no mistake: a college football playoff is going to happen someday. In the latest Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly suggests the best possible playoff option.

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131 comments, Last at 12 Dec 2010, 8:55pm by Mikey Benny

19 Jun 2009, 11:05am by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers Gets Defensive

In the latest Varsity Numbers column, Bill Connelly digs deep into defensive numbers and comes up with one key question: Was TCU's defense really as good as the numbers insist?

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9 comments, Last at 22 Jun 2009, 9:02am by Theo

28 May 2009, 11:14am by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: 2008 Offensive Buffet

In the latest offseason VN column, Bill Connelly dives deep into offensive rankings to see what they may say about 2009.

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7 comments, Last at 03 Jun 2009, 4:58pm by bird jam

15 Apr 2009, 03:25pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: A '+' look back at 2008

Bill Connelly looks back at the 2008 Varsity Numbers statistics to see who was underrated or overrated (sorry, Mountaineers fans) last season, then compares his numbers to Brian Fremeau's to see where they disagree.

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23 comments, Last at 28 May 2009, 5:58pm by pokes

14 Jan 2009, 05:40pm by Bill Connelly

Bradford Returning To OU, Sanchez Going Pro

Many have been assuming for quite a while that he's gone. I know that I assumed that, anyway. Returning to OU will probably make him a better quarterback long-term, as he'll learn how to handle pressure a lot better than he has to date (OU will have almost an entirely new offensive line protecting him), but it will also possibly make his draft stock drop a bit, as with new blockers and new receiving targets his overall his numbers will likely suffer.

Thoughts? Smart move on his part?

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55 comments, Last at 17 Jan 2009, 1:08am by An Ominous

08 Jan 2009, 07:45am by Bill Connelly

Bill James Takes On The BCS

Naturally, his take is pretty good. His main problems with the system:

1. That there is a profound lack of conceptual clarity about the goals of the method;

2. That there is no genuine interest here in using statistical analysis to figure out how the teams compare with one another. The real purpose is to create some gobbledygook math to endorse the coaches' and sportswriters' vote;

3. That the ground rules of the calculations are irrational and prevent the statisticians from making any meaningful contribution; and

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74 comments, Last at 13 Jan 2009, 7:48am by Sancho