Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

28 May 2009, 11:14am by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: 2008 Offensive Buffet

In the latest offseason VN column, Bill Connelly dives deep into offensive rankings to see what they may say about 2009.

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7 comments, Last at 03 Jun 2009, 4:58pm by bird jam

15 Apr 2009, 03:25pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: A '+' look back at 2008

Bill Connelly looks back at the 2008 Varsity Numbers statistics to see who was underrated or overrated (sorry, Mountaineers fans) last season, then compares his numbers to Brian Fremeau's to see where they disagree.

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23 comments, Last at 28 May 2009, 5:58pm by pokes

14 Jan 2009, 05:40pm by Bill Connelly

Bradford Returning To OU, Sanchez Going Pro

Many have been assuming for quite a while that he's gone. I know that I assumed that, anyway. Returning to OU will probably make him a better quarterback long-term, as he'll learn how to handle pressure a lot better than he has to date (OU will have almost an entirely new offensive line protecting him), but it will also possibly make his draft stock drop a bit, as with new blockers and new receiving targets his overall his numbers will likely suffer.

Thoughts? Smart move on his part?

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55 comments, Last at 17 Jan 2009, 1:08am by An Ominous

08 Jan 2009, 07:45am by Bill Connelly

Bill James Takes On The BCS

Naturally, his take is pretty good. His main problems with the system:

1. That there is a profound lack of conceptual clarity about the goals of the method;

2. That there is no genuine interest here in using statistical analysis to figure out how the teams compare with one another. The real purpose is to create some gobbledygook math to endorse the coaches' and sportswriters' vote;

3. That the ground rules of the calculations are irrational and prevent the statisticians from making any meaningful contribution; and

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74 comments, Last at 13 Jan 2009, 7:48am by Sancho

07 Jan 2009, 10:37am by Bill Connelly

BCS Championship Preview

Our BCS Championship preview is now a three-ring extravaganza. Bill Connelly and Brian Fremeau look at the game through the numbers, and Russell Levine has the SDA podcast featuring both of them plus Orson Swindle. Then it's open discussion as Florida takes on Oklahoma tonight.

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47 comments, Last at 09 Jan 2009, 4:38pm by notanOUfan

26 Dec 2008, 12:20pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Bring Back the Quick Kick

Bill Connelly looks at the rates for success in college football for different down-and-distance situations. Sometimes you should go for it, and sometimes you should dust off the quick kick.

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17 comments, Last at 29 Sep 2009, 4:54pm by Jeff

19 Dec 2008, 03:46pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Revisiting Win Correlations

In Varsity Numbers this week, Bill Connelly takes another look at a pretty basic concept: the correlation between certain stats and good, old-fashioned wins and losses.

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2 comments, Last at 20 Dec 2008, 7:16pm by Bowl Game Anomaly

12 Dec 2008, 02:20pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: It's All About Timing

In the latest Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly looks at what down and distance considerations do to the EqPts concept. Who knew that Syracuse's offense was only mediocre?

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2 comments, Last at 17 Dec 2008, 4:00am by John

05 Dec 2008, 02:18pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Conference Breakdowns

What does play-by-play data tell us about the best and worst teams, offenses and defenses in the BCS conferences? Bill Connelly takes a look.

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12 comments, Last at 06 Dec 2008, 10:51pm by Kibbles

21 Nov 2008, 04:17pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Another Big (12) Saturday Night

In the latest Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly takes a look at the latest Game of the Century of the Week, Texas Tech at Oklahoma.

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3 comments, Last at 27 Jul 2009, 1:37am by Malena