Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

04 Oct 2012, 12:50pm by Bill Connelly

VN: The Weird, Wacky Big 12

Bill Connelly does a simulation to figure out what in the world to expect from the Big 12 over the next two months.

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0 comments

27 Sep 2012, 04:42pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Surprise!

A month into the 2012 college football season, Bill Connelly takes a look at September's surprising teams, for better and for worse.

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4 comments, Last at 04 Oct 2012, 7:45am by DFK

20 Sep 2012, 05:12pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: A Disruptive Presence

In this week's Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly takes a look at the most disruptive defenses in the country, and when "disruptive" and "good" are not actually synonyms.

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2 comments, Last at 21 Sep 2012, 1:56am by Kal

13 Sep 2012, 05:31pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Fun With Early Data

Bill Connelly takes a look at hints early-season data can give us about teams like Nebraska, Penn State, Northwestern and Kansas.

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07 Sep 2012, 02:54pm by Bill Connelly

VN: Embrace The Randomness

Bill Connelly takes a look at the role turnovers played in Week 1 of the college football season. Is there any wonder why college head coaches often go gray faster than U.S. presidents?

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1 comment, Last at 07 Sep 2012, 5:03pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

31 Aug 2012, 01:46pm by Bill Connelly

VN: Survival and Last-Second Projections

After the Thursday and Friday undercard, the 2012 college football season starts in earnest tomorrow. It's time for some last-second projections and a conventional wisdom check.

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4 comments, Last at 06 Sep 2012, 8:28am by jgrenci@zoominternet.net

21 Jun 2012, 07:47pm by Bill Connelly

College Football Playoffs Will Still Provide Plenty to Be Mad About

Today at SB Nation, I took a look at how a four-team playoff, and the selection committee allegedly accompanying it, would have impacted the last 14 years of college football. The short version: we're still annoyed, and Boise State is still screwed. At least, the Boise State of the WAC and Mountain West.

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57 comments, Last at 01 Jul 2012, 3:58am by Subrata Sircar

17 May 2012, 07:28pm by Bill Connelly

Relegation Simulation: Rewriting College Football History

We have been having some fun this week at SB Nation, walking through the ins and outs of the promotion-and-relegation system of world soccer and why it would or wouldn't work for college football. My contribution: a rough, seven-year, four-tiered simulation that encompasses the FBS ranks and a good portion of FCS. The result: Akron falls really far, Howard Schnellenberger adds "SEC coach" to his resume, and the Pac-12 is suddenly the deepest conference in the country.

Anyway, it's a fun way to kill some time, even though the top conferences would obviously never agree to such a thing.

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14 comments, Last at 22 May 2012, 9:50am by Revenge of the NURBS

25 Apr 2012, 06:22pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: 2012 Adj. POE and Draftability

It's time for the annual look at advanced college running back statistics and what they may tell us about this weekend's draft prospects.

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5 comments, Last at 22 Feb 2013, 4:18pm by dinelson

19 Apr 2012, 02:58pm by Bill Connelly

2005-11 College Football Receiver Data (Targets and Catches)

At Football Study Hall today, I posted a link to full 2005-11 college football targets-and-catches data. Measures like Catch Rate and Yards Per Target are so much more informative than simple yards and yards per catch, so hopefully people enjoy it. There is a likely essay about the data and its predictive and evaluative potential coming in the Football Outsiders Almanac 2012, but for now, here is all the raw data you can stomach.

And yes, the Big 12 has had some ridiculously prolific passing offenses. Who knew?

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19 comments, Last at 22 Apr 2012, 3:39pm by Bill Connelly