Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

31 Aug 2012, 01:46pm by Bill Connelly

VN: Survival and Last-Second Projections

After the Thursday and Friday undercard, the 2012 college football season starts in earnest tomorrow. It's time for some last-second projections and a conventional wisdom check.

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4 comments, Last at 06 Sep 2012, 8:28am by jgrenci@zoominternet.net

21 Jun 2012, 07:47pm by Bill Connelly

College Football Playoffs Will Still Provide Plenty to Be Mad About

Today at SB Nation, I took a look at how a four-team playoff, and the selection committee allegedly accompanying it, would have impacted the last 14 years of college football. The short version: we're still annoyed, and Boise State is still screwed. At least, the Boise State of the WAC and Mountain West.

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57 comments, Last at 01 Jul 2012, 3:58am by Subrata Sircar

17 May 2012, 07:28pm by Bill Connelly

Relegation Simulation: Rewriting College Football History

We have been having some fun this week at SB Nation, walking through the ins and outs of the promotion-and-relegation system of world soccer and why it would or wouldn't work for college football. My contribution: a rough, seven-year, four-tiered simulation that encompasses the FBS ranks and a good portion of FCS. The result: Akron falls really far, Howard Schnellenberger adds "SEC coach" to his resume, and the Pac-12 is suddenly the deepest conference in the country.

Anyway, it's a fun way to kill some time, even though the top conferences would obviously never agree to such a thing.

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14 comments, Last at 22 May 2012, 9:50am by Revenge of the NURBS

25 Apr 2012, 06:22pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: 2012 Adj. POE and Draftability

It's time for the annual look at advanced college running back statistics and what they may tell us about this weekend's draft prospects.

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5 comments, Last at 22 Feb 2013, 4:18pm by dinelson

19 Apr 2012, 02:58pm by Bill Connelly

2005-11 College Football Receiver Data (Targets and Catches)

At Football Study Hall today, I posted a link to full 2005-11 college football targets-and-catches data. Measures like Catch Rate and Yards Per Target are so much more informative than simple yards and yards per catch, so hopefully people enjoy it. There is a likely essay about the data and its predictive and evaluative potential coming in the Football Outsiders Almanac 2012, but for now, here is all the raw data you can stomach.

And yes, the Big 12 has had some ridiculously prolific passing offenses. Who knew?

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19 comments, Last at 22 Apr 2012, 3:39pm by Bill Connelly

06 Apr 2012, 12:24pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Projections and Whatnot

A look at the state of the 2012 F/+ Projections and what may cause changes between now and the release of the Football Outsiders Almanac 2012.

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7 comments, Last at 15 Apr 2012, 9:09pm by Brian Fremeau

16 Jan 2012, 03:28pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers Puts a Bow on 2011

In the season-ending edition of Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly takes a look at what put Alabama ahead of LSU, both in the BCS title game and in the 2011 F/+ rankings, and looks at the winners and losers of bowl season.

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12 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2012, 9:34am by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

23 Dec 2011, 09:04pm by Bill Connelly

VN: Impressions From House-Cleaning

Bill Connelly gives us the lowdown on some changes to our college stats, then unveils the newly updated F/+ numbers for 2005-2010.

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1 comment, Last at 26 Dec 2011, 1:14am by Steve C

02 Dec 2011, 03:55pm by Bill Connelly

VN: Playoffs, Fairness and LSU

Bill Connelly discusses current BCS championship scenarios and why a college football playoff would not always produce the most optimal, fairest result.

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61 comments, Last at 06 Dec 2011, 12:16am by Alternator

25 Nov 2011, 01:10pm by Bill Connelly

Varsity Numbers: Our Future World

Bill Connelly looks at the impact college football's future conference alignment may have on conference title races.

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5 comments, Last at 27 Nov 2011, 2:09pm by Jeff Fogle