Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

07 May 2013, 02:48pm by Danny Tuccitto

Four Downs: AFC East

The Patriots need the pass rush to step up, the Bills need more consistent work from their cornerbacks, the Dolphins hope Johnathan Martin can adequately protect Ryan Tannehill, and Geno Smith hopes he has someone to throw to in New York.

» More...

25 comments, Last at 28 Oct 2013, 1:21am by sahawilliam

25 Apr 2013, 02:08pm by Danny Tuccitto

Historical Draft Efficiency: Best and Worst Picks

Tom Brady woke up sucking on a lemon. He's one of the best draft picks in NFL history, but not No. 1. Everything in its right place.

» More...

51 comments, Last at 10 Oct 2013, 3:49pm by The Cash Box Blueprint

16 Apr 2013, 12:10pm by Danny Tuccitto

Historical Draft Efficiency: College Rankings

Which colleges have produced the most relative value in the draft? Start with Miami, LSU, Pitt, and a surprisingly productive SWAC school.

» More...

57 comments, Last at 27 Apr 2013, 7:23pm by Ryan Quincy

11 Apr 2013, 11:39am by Danny Tuccitto

Historical Draft Efficiency: Best and Worst Drafts

Ranking 1,094 draft classes is hard, especially when your three metrics say different things. Luckily, they do agree on the four best and the single worst. Pictured: A modern-day metaphor for what happened to one of the best.

» More...

86 comments, Last at 01 May 2013, 8:10am by dmstorm22

09 Apr 2013, 04:49pm by Danny Tuccitto

2013 SSAC Football Analytics Panel Video

If you're interested, the video from this year's football analytics panel at the MIT Sloan conference is finally online. Andrea Kremer moderated; panelists were Rams COO Kevin Demoff, 49ers COO Paraag Marathe, former Patriots and Chiefs executive Scott Pioli, and -- drum roll, please -- Football Outsiders progenitor Aaron Schatz.

I was there, and I'm not saying this because he pays my bills, but Aaron was the star of the discussion. To be fair, though, he was basically the only one at liberty to offer blunt opinions. (I'd say full-throated, but he had lost his voice the day before.)

In any event, click for "Armanti Edwards, c'mon!" Stay for the DeAngelo Hall takedown.

» More...

5 comments, Last at 11 Apr 2013, 11:26pm by Insancipitory

02 Apr 2013, 10:33am by Danny Tuccitto

Historical Draft Efficiency: Franchise Rankings

Since 1970, two franchises have been really good at drafting; two have been really bad. All four are in the AFC, but New England isn't one of them.

» More...

77 comments, Last at 29 Apr 2013, 10:16pm by RSpang

26 Mar 2013, 12:25pm by Danny Tuccitto

Historical Draft Efficiency: An Introduction

Over the next month, we'll be using stats to answer interesting questions about NFL draft history. First, we need an efficiency model that's optimized for comparing across eras.

» More...

43 comments, Last at 03 Apr 2013, 1:13am by Scott C

12 Mar 2013, 06:45pm by Danny Tuccitto

2012 Adjusted Games Lost for Team Units

The first thing Andy Reid did when he moved to Kansas City was ask Jeff Fisher for a copy of "Facial Hair Secrets for Injury Prevention."

» More...

12 comments, Last at 15 Mar 2013, 7:21pm by efox

08 Mar 2013, 04:56pm by Danny Tuccitto

2012 Adjusted Games Lost

Behold our Adjusted Games Lost totals for 2012. The healthiest team went on a Super Bowl run, beating the most injury-riddled team twice along the way. Also, shenanigans in the AFC East!

» More...

25 comments, Last at 21 Mar 2013, 9:36am by Dean

25 Feb 2013, 02:51pm by Danny Tuccitto

ESPN: Speed Score 2013

Official 40-yard dash times for running backs are in the books, and Speed Score has identified one potential diamond in the rough. If only he weren't the wrong kind of ankle-breaking machine or had a positive endorsement from our own Matt Waldman.

» More...

18 comments, Last at 14 Mar 2013, 7:15am by coco peat suppliers