Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

01 Apr 2005, 03:22am by Guest

A Revolution in NFL Analysis

Here at Football Outsiders, we're committed to the advancement of football research, even if it means giving equal time to a potential competitor. In this guest article, Dr. William Kilgore explains a new statistical method that may change the way football is watched, played, and talked about.

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2 comments, Last at 07 Dec 2005, 9:02pm by L. Goodman

31 Mar 2005, 02:10pm by Guest

Zone Blocking vs. Man Blocking

Does "the Denver system" really help running backs? What about other teams that switch to a so-called "zone blocking" scheme? In this guest column, Brian Hook looks at the (admittedly limited) data from Denver, Atlanta, and Houston, and tries to discern a trend.

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5 comments, Last at 06 Feb 2007, 7:27am by Frank

17 Mar 2005, 12:01pm by Guest

Tight Ends Break Loose

2004 may have been the best year for passing offense in NFL history. Surely the re-emphasis on illegal contact was the reason, right? Actually, maybe not. Guest columnist Michael Horn shows how the 2004 numbers are the natural culmination of recent expansion in the role of the tight end.

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1 comment, Last at 07 Feb 2006, 4:31am by adam

10 Mar 2005, 02:21pm by Guest

Caponomics Part III: Planning by Position

In Part III of his series on Caponomics, guest columnist Bruce Stram introduces a method for breaking down the relative value of each position as it relates to winning. He also addresses the question of systematic analysis of player performance in football, and to what degree it might be possible.

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1 comment, Last at 10 Nov 2005, 5:59pm by joel iyere

23 Feb 2005, 11:52am by Guest

Caponomics Part II: Cap Management Strategies

Last week, guest columnist Bruce Stram introduced his economic theory for salary cap management. Today, in part two of Caponomics, Bruce expands the model to include bonus payments and amortized money, comments on the Indianapolis cap situation, and addresses two specific strategies: "Even Keel" and "Boom and Bust."

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18 Feb 2005, 01:55pm by Guest

Caponomics Part I

Economists try to learn lessons about the real world by looking at relatively simplistic mathematical models of reality. These simple models have proven valuable in uncovering how markets work. Bruce Stram just happens to be an economist and he's applied the techniques of economic theory to the world of the NFL salary cap. Students, welcome to Caponomics 101.

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07 Jan 2005, 04:31am by Guest

How Play Selection Affects Touchdown Percentage

Some people say that you have to run the ball to win in the NFL. Others say that you score with the pass. Jason McKinley believes the answer is one or the other, and sometimes both. It all depends on which team you examine. This guest column introduces a new metric that measures how often a team scores when it runs compared to when it throws the ball, and gives a closer analysis of this season's 12 playoff contenders.

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31 Aug 2004, 12:54pm by Guest

Guest Column: Strength of Schedule -- A Dynamic Analysis

We're used to seeing strength of schedule listed as the average of last season's records for all 16 opponents. But does that mean anything if last year's opponents were just as good, or bad, as this year's? Anthony Brancato investigates.

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27 Aug 2004, 04:06am by Guest

Guest Column: West Coast Offense Simplified

You hear about it all the time: West Coast Offense. What is it? Who runs it? What's the whole point? Chris Miraglia provides the basics; you provide the discussion.

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1 comment, Last at 13 Mar 2006, 4:11am by PDBIP

25 Aug 2004, 02:38am by Guest

Guest Column: Cornerback Coverage Ratings

Deion Sanders was often criticized for his inability and/or reluctance to make tackles in run support. But like all great cover corners, he wasn't paid to help stop opposing running backs. His job was to keep the other team from throwing to his man, and to deflect or intercept the pass when they dared to challenge him. With this in mind, Michael G. Knight has devised a new statistic that tries to judge a cornerback on more than what he does after his receiver has caught a pass.

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