Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

17 Mar 2004, 09:58am by Michael David Smith

Book Review: Football Clock Management

Mike reviews the new second edition of this book that should help coaches and fans from the high school level to the pros. All you ever wanted to know about knee-taking and more. Someone stick this on Mike Martz's "Amazon Wish List," OK?

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08 Mar 2004, 11:49am by Michael David Smith

Introducing Leader Ratio

Michael David Smith with a new statistic to help us compare today's stars to players from the past in an easy fashion. Learn just how dominant Jim Brown was before he went off to star in such films as I'm Gonna Git You, Sucka! Plus, the first and probably only time mediocre mid-80's running back Greg Bell is mentioned at Football Outsiders.

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1 comment, Last at 02 Nov 2005, 9:48pm by Tom T.

10 Feb 2004, 01:36pm by Michael David Smith

The Coaching Carousel, Part II: Uncoordinated

In The Coaching Carousel, Mike Smith looked at the constant churn of head coaches over the past few NFL offseasons. But that's nothing compared to how often teams change offensive and defensive coordinators. Does it do any good?

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04 Feb 2004, 02:33pm by Michael David Smith

Short-Term Dynasties: Comparing the Patriots with Past Two-Time Super Bowl Champions

All this dynasty talk from a team that's only won two Super Bowls... maybe people need to slow down a little. But while we can't assume the Patriots will become a dynasty over the rest of the decade, we can compare them to other teams that won two Super Bowls over a three-year period. Is it parity, or parody?

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23 Jan 2004, 01:20pm by Michael David Smith

Do Penalties Really Disappear During the Playoffs?

Gregg Easterbrook says that officials seem to allow more contact in the playoffs without calling penalties. NFL Director of Officiating Mike Pereira says that officials call the playoffs the same way they call the regular season. Mike Smith crunches numbers to find out who's right.

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16 Jan 2004, 02:36pm by Michael David Smith

Building a Better Mousetrap, Part II: Clock Management

OK, the DVOA system correlates really well with points and wins. So why does it rate Carolina so darn low? Mike Smith has a theory -- just in time for the NFC Championship -- and it relates to one important statistic that was missing from the logs that built our database.

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11 Jan 2004, 11:54am by Michael David Smith

FO Archives: The Coaching Carousel

Does changing coaches really help a team? Does making the Super Bowl as a coordinator lead to a head coaching role in the next season? Michael David Smith looks at a few issues regarding coaching changes.

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31 Dec 2003, 09:55am by Michael David Smith

Fun With Sacks, Part II

Last Monday, we took a look at sack rate to determine which teams did the best job of protecting the quarterback. What if the sacks are the fault of the quarterback? We break down four years of sack rates to see if some quarterbacks might be responsible for their own demise. For example, quarterbacks whose names rhyme with "Job Bronson."

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1 comment, Last at 13 Jun 2005, 9:24pm by Richie

23 Dec 2003, 01:15pm by Michael David Smith

Are Penalties Overrated?

The Hidden Game of Football says that penalties aren't very important because they even out in the long run. True or false? Michael David Smith has some interesting facts about 2002 numbers as well as 37 years of Super Bowl champions.

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15 Dec 2003, 06:19am by Michael David Smith

The Era of Unpredictability

This year the Raiders and (probably) the Bucs will miss the playoffs. Michael David Smith asks: Why are we so surprised? In the era of unpredictability, Super Bowl teams regularly miss the playoffs the next year... and often return to the playoffs the year after.

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